比特幣（BTC）以$ 81K的價格定價，因為熊的目標是更縮小的尺寸

比特幣（BTC）在周四繼續為吸引人而掙扎，顯示出波動的距離動作。

Bitcoin (BTC) price continued its descent on Thursday, struggling to hold $81,000 amid renewed trade tensions between the US and its North American neighbors.

比特幣（BTC）的價格在周四繼續下降，在美國和北美鄰國之間的貿易緊張局勢之間努力持有81,000美元。

Despite lower inflation figures, bearish sentiment persists. After tumbling below $80,000 in three consecutive days, is BTC price at risk of losing the $75,000 support?

儘管通貨膨脹率較低，但看跌情緒仍然存在。在連續三天內跌破80,000美元之後，BTC價格是否有失去75,000美元支持的風險？

Bitcoin (BTC) settles at $81K as bears target more downsizing

比特幣（BTC）以$ 81K的價格定價，因為熊的目標是更縮小的尺寸

Bitcoin continued to struggle for traction on Thursday, displaying volatile yet range-bound movements. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) data confirmed that industrial inflation is cooling, aligning with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on Wednesday.

比特幣在周四繼續為吸引力而掙扎，顯示出動盪但距離界限的動作。美國最新的生產商價格指數（PPI）數據證實，工業通貨膨脹正在冷卻，與週三發布的消費者價格指數（CPI）報告保持一致。

Despite these indicators reinforcing an easing inflation trend, Bitcoin failed to capitalize on the news, instead extending its decline for the third consecutive day.

儘管這些指標加強了通貨膨脹趨勢，但比特幣仍未利用這一消息，而是連續第三天擴大了其下降。

Bitcoin opened trading on Thursday at $83,700 but quickly faced selling pressure, declining by 4% to hover just above $81,000 at press time. The $79,000 level was tested earlier in the session, signalling weakening support as market sentiment remained fragile.

比特幣在周四開業，價格為83,700美元，但迅速面臨銷售壓力，在發稿時徘徊在81,000美元以上的懸停下下降了4％。 $ 79,000的水平在會議早些時候進行了測試，這表明由於市場情緒仍然脆弱，支持削弱。

With persistent macroeconomic uncertainties and looming trade policy concerns, traders continue to tread cautiously, avoiding aggressive buy-ins even amid positive inflation data.

由於持續存在的宏觀經濟不確定性和迫在眉睫的貿易政策問題，交易者繼續謹慎行事，避免了積極的購買，甚至在積極的通貨膨脹數據中。

Why is Bitcoin price going down?

為什麼比特幣價格下跌？

Bitcoin briefly attempted a recovery, nearing $82,000 within hours of the PPI data release, but the gains were short-lived. Investors interpreted the lower inflation figures as a potential signal that the Trump administration could extend existing tariffs on Canada and Mexico for a longer period, rather than easing them.

比特幣短暫地嘗試了恢復，在PPI數據發布後的數小時內接近82,000美元，但收益是短暫的。投資者將較低的通貨膨脹數字解釋為潛在的信號，即特朗普政府可以將現有的對加拿大和墨西哥的現有關稅延長，而不是減輕它們。

This stance has raised concerns that prolonged trade tensions could dampen retail traders’ investment capacity and appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin.

這種立場引起了人們的擔憂，即長時間的貿易緊張局勢會抑制零售商人的投資能力和對比特幣等風險資產的需求。

Validating these concerns, Polymarket odds on Trump ending the trade war with Canada before May 2025 plunged by 18% following the PPI data release. Historical trends suggest that when odds on trade war resolution decline, risk appetite among investors also weakens, leading to capital outflows from speculative markets. The chart below reflects the sharp downturn in sentiment regarding a potential tariff rollback.

在驗證這些問題時，在PPI數據發布後，在2025年5月之前結束與加拿大貿易戰結束的多個賠率下降了18％。歷史趨勢表明，當解決貿易戰爭的賠率下降時，投資者的風險食慾也會減弱，從而導致投機市場的資本流出。下圖反映了潛在的關稅回滾情緒中的急劇下滑。

Polymarket betting trends often serve as a market-neutral gauge of investor expectations around key policy decisions.

多聚市場的投注趨勢通常是圍繞關鍵政策決策的投資者期望的市場中和市場。

The notable 18% drop in odds suggests that instead of taking advantage of lower inflation to drive bullish momentum, crypto investors remain wary. Prevailing sentiment fears that policymakers might use the inflation cushion to justify higher tariffs for a prolonged period, contributing to Bitcoin’s latest 4% price drop on Thursday.

賠率下降的18％表明，加密投資者仍然保持警惕，而不是利用較低的通貨膨脹來推動看漲的勢頭。普遍的情緒擔心決策者可能會使用通貨膨脹墊來證明長時間的更高關稅是合理的，這導致比特幣在周四的最新4％價格下跌。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: $75K support as Risk if Bearish Sentiment Lingers

比特幣價格預測：$ 75K的支持作為看跌情緒徘徊的風險

Bitcoin price forecast signals continued on a downward trajectory on Thursday, trading at $80,981 after a volatile session that saw a drop below $79,955. The daily chart reflects persistent bearish sentiment, with Bitcoin struggling to reclaim key moving averages.

比特幣價格預測信號在周四的下行軌跡上繼續進行，在一次動蕩的會議下，跌至79,955美元以下的交易價格為80,981美元。每日圖表反映了持續的看跌情緒，比特幣努力收回關鍵移動平均值。

The 50-day moving average at $87,034 remains a key resistance, while the lower Bollinger Band at $77,361 signals potential downside risk if bearish pressure intensifies.

50天的搬家平均值為87,034美元仍然是主要阻力，而下Bollinger頻段則以77,361美元的信號潛在的下行風險增加，如果看跌壓力加劇。

A break below this level could expose Bitcoin to a test of the psychological $75,000 support.

低於此水平的休息可能會使比特幣對75,000美元的支持測試。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers at 38.35, reflecting weakening momentum and suggesting Bitcoin is approaching oversold conditions.

目前，相對強度指數（RSI）在38.35處徘徊，反映了動量弱，並且暗示比特幣接近過多的條件。

However, the RSI has not yet dipped below 30, indicating that further downside remains possible before buyers step in. A decisive break above the RSI midline at 50 would confirm a bullish reversal, but for now, sentiment remains fragile.

但是，RSI尚未下降到30歲以下，這表明在買家介入之前，進一步的缺點仍然有可能。高於RSI中線的決定性突破將證實看漲的逆轉，但就目前而言，情緒仍然脆弱。

Volume Delta indicators confirm ongoing selling pressure, with red bars dominating the lower section of the chart. Consecutive days of negative volume delta suggest that bears are absorbing any attempts at recovery.

數量增量指標證實了持續的銷售壓力，紅色條在圖表的下部占主導地位。連續數量的負數Delta表明，熊正在吸收任何恢復嘗試。

If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $83,700 resistance, the risk of a deeper correction remains, potentially testing $75,000 in the coming sessions.

如果比特幣未能收回83,700美元的電阻，則仍然存在更深入的更正的風險，在即將到來的會議中可能會測試75,000美元。