比特币（BTC）以$ 81K的价格定价，因为熊的目标是更缩小的尺寸

比特币（BTC）在周四继续为吸引人而挣扎，显示出波动的距离动作。

Bitcoin (BTC) price continued its descent on Thursday, struggling to hold $81,000 amid renewed trade tensions between the US and its North American neighbors.

比特币（BTC）的价格在周四继续下降，在美国和北美邻国之间的贸易紧张局势之间努力持有81,000美元。

Despite lower inflation figures, bearish sentiment persists. After tumbling below $80,000 in three consecutive days, is BTC price at risk of losing the $75,000 support?

尽管通货膨胀率较低，但看跌情绪仍然存在。在连续三天内跌破80,000美元之后，BTC价格是否有失去75,000美元支持的风险？

Bitcoin (BTC) settles at $81K as bears target more downsizing

比特币（BTC）以$ 81K的价格定价，因为熊的目标是更缩小的尺寸

Bitcoin continued to struggle for traction on Thursday, displaying volatile yet range-bound movements. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) data confirmed that industrial inflation is cooling, aligning with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on Wednesday.

比特币在周四继续为吸引力而挣扎，显示出动荡但距离界限的动作。美国最新的生产商价格指数（PPI）数据证实，工业通货膨胀正在冷却，与周三发布的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告保持一致。

Despite these indicators reinforcing an easing inflation trend, Bitcoin failed to capitalize on the news, instead extending its decline for the third consecutive day.

尽管这些指标加强了通货膨胀趋势，但比特币仍未利用这一消息，而是连续第三天扩大了其下降。

Bitcoin opened trading on Thursday at $83,700 but quickly faced selling pressure, declining by 4% to hover just above $81,000 at press time. The $79,000 level was tested earlier in the session, signalling weakening support as market sentiment remained fragile.

比特币在周四开业，价格为83,700美元，但迅速面临销售压力，在发稿时徘徊在81,000美元以上的悬停下下降了4％。 $ 79,000的水平在会议早些时候进行了测试，这表明由于市场情绪仍然脆弱，支持削弱。

With persistent macroeconomic uncertainties and looming trade policy concerns, traders continue to tread cautiously, avoiding aggressive buy-ins even amid positive inflation data.

由于持续存在的宏观经济不确定性和迫在眉睫的贸易政策问题，交易者继续谨慎行事，避免了积极的购买，甚至在积极的通货膨胀数据中。

Why is Bitcoin price going down?

为什么比特币价格下跌？

Bitcoin briefly attempted a recovery, nearing $82,000 within hours of the PPI data release, but the gains were short-lived. Investors interpreted the lower inflation figures as a potential signal that the Trump administration could extend existing tariffs on Canada and Mexico for a longer period, rather than easing them.

比特币短暂地尝试了恢复，在PPI数据发布后的数小时内接近82,000美元，但收益是短暂的。投资者将较低的通货膨胀数字解释为潜在的信号，即特朗普政府可以将现有的对加拿大和墨西哥的现有关税延长，而不是减轻它们。

This stance has raised concerns that prolonged trade tensions could dampen retail traders’ investment capacity and appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin.

这种立场引起了人们的担忧，即长时间的贸易紧张局势会抑制零售商人的投资能力和对比特币等风险资产的需求。

Validating these concerns, Polymarket odds on Trump ending the trade war with Canada before May 2025 plunged by 18% following the PPI data release. Historical trends suggest that when odds on trade war resolution decline, risk appetite among investors also weakens, leading to capital outflows from speculative markets. The chart below reflects the sharp downturn in sentiment regarding a potential tariff rollback.

在验证这些问题时，在PPI数据发布后，在2025年5月之前结束与加拿大贸易战结束的多个赔率下降了18％。历史趋势表明，当解决贸易战争的赔率下降时，投资者的风险食欲也会减弱，从而导致投机市场的资本流出。下图反映了潜在的关税回滚情绪中的急剧下滑。

Polymarket betting trends often serve as a market-neutral gauge of investor expectations around key policy decisions.

多聚市场的投注趋势通常是围绕关键政策决策的投资者期望的市场中和市场。

The notable 18% drop in odds suggests that instead of taking advantage of lower inflation to drive bullish momentum, crypto investors remain wary. Prevailing sentiment fears that policymakers might use the inflation cushion to justify higher tariffs for a prolonged period, contributing to Bitcoin’s latest 4% price drop on Thursday.

赔率下降的18％表明，加密投资者仍然保持警惕，而不是利用较低的通货膨胀来推动看涨的势头。普遍的情绪担心决策者可能会使用通货膨胀垫来证明长时间的更高关税是合理的，这导致比特币在周四的最新4％价格下跌。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: $75K support as Risk if Bearish Sentiment Lingers

比特币价格预测：$ 75K的支持作为看跌情绪徘徊的风险

Bitcoin price forecast signals continued on a downward trajectory on Thursday, trading at $80,981 after a volatile session that saw a drop below $79,955. The daily chart reflects persistent bearish sentiment, with Bitcoin struggling to reclaim key moving averages.

比特币价格预测信号在周四的下行轨迹上继续进行，在一次动荡的会议下，跌至79,955美元以下的交易价格为80,981美元。每日图表反映了持续的看跌情绪，比特币努力收回关键移动平均值。

The 50-day moving average at $87,034 remains a key resistance, while the lower Bollinger Band at $77,361 signals potential downside risk if bearish pressure intensifies.

50天的搬家平均值为87,034美元仍然是主要阻力，而下Bollinger频段则以77,361美元的信号潜在的下行风险增加，如果看跌压力加剧。

A break below this level could expose Bitcoin to a test of the psychological $75,000 support.

低于此水平的休息可能会使比特币对75,000美元的支持测试。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers at 38.35, reflecting weakening momentum and suggesting Bitcoin is approaching oversold conditions.

目前，相对强度指数（RSI）在38.35处徘徊，反映了动量弱，并且暗示比特币接近过多的条件。

However, the RSI has not yet dipped below 30, indicating that further downside remains possible before buyers step in. A decisive break above the RSI midline at 50 would confirm a bullish reversal, but for now, sentiment remains fragile.

但是，RSI尚未下降到30岁以下，这表明在买家介入之前，进一步的缺点仍然有可能。高于RSI中线的决定性突破将证实看涨的逆转，但就目前而言，情绪仍然脆弱。

Volume Delta indicators confirm ongoing selling pressure, with red bars dominating the lower section of the chart. Consecutive days of negative volume delta suggest that bears are absorbing any attempts at recovery.

数量增量指标证实了持续的销售压力，红色条在图表的下部占主导地位。连续数量的负数Delta表明，熊正在吸收任何恢复尝试。

If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $83,700 resistance, the risk of a deeper correction remains, potentially testing $75,000 in the coming sessions.

如果比特币未能收回83,700美元的电阻，则仍然存在更深入的更正的风险，在即将到来的会议中可能会测试75,000美元。