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交易員認為,過去 30 天內比特幣兌美元上漲 8% 是今年最後一季可能出現的走勢的前兆。
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) traders are looking ahead to the final quarter of the year with optimism, especially considering BTC/USD is up 8% over the past 30 days.
比特幣 (CRYPTO: BTC) 交易者對今年最後一個季度持樂觀態度,特別是考慮到 BTC/USD 在過去 30 天內上漲了 8%。
Here’s a look at what some traders are saying about what may be in store for Bitcoin in Q4.
以下是一些交易員對第四季比特幣前景的看法。
‘Millionaire Trader’ Bullish On Bitcoin In Q4, Especially In Election Years
「百萬富翁交易員」在第四季看好比特幣,尤其是在選舉年
“Millionaire trader” Unipcs noted on Twitter that out of the past ten Octobers, Bitcoin has closed up in value eight of those times.
「百萬富翁交易員」Unipcs 在 Twitter 上指出,在過去 10 個月中,比特幣的價值有 8 次上漲。
“Also interesting to note that in election years, Bitcoin has performed well in Q4 of the year.”
“還值得注意的是,在選舉年,比特幣在當年第四季表現良好。”
With the U.S. and China both cutting interest rates aggressively and the U.S. elections now 36 days away, the trader said the environment is setting up well for crypto bulls.
該交易員表示,隨著美國和中國都大幅降息,而且距離美國大選還有 36 天,加密貨幣多頭的環境正在良好。
“Also interesting to note that in election years, Bitcoin has performed well in Q4 of the year.
「也值得注意的是,在選舉年,比特幣在當年第四季表現良好。
With both U.S. and China cutting rates aggressively and the election now 36 days away, it seems like a good environment for crypto bulls.”
隨著美國和中國大幅降息,距離大選還有 36 天,這對於加密貨幣多頭來說似乎是一個良好的環境。
Unipcs also highlighted the upcoming distribution of FTX’s stimulus, which may boost the crypto market further.
Unipcs 也強調了 FTX 即將發布的刺激措施,這可能會進一步提振加密貨幣市場。
“Stimulus will be paid out to users who hold at least 100,000 points (roughly $16 billion) on March 24.”
“將於 3 月 24 日向持有至少 100,000 積分(約 160 億美元)的用戶發放獎勵。”
CryptoQuant Founder: Bitcoin Still In Bull Cycle
CryptoQuant創辦人:比特幣仍處於牛市週期
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju noted on Twitter that Bitcoin is still in the bull cycle as its market cap is growing faster than realized cap.
CryptoQuant 創辦人 Ki Young Ju 在 Twitter 上指出,比特幣仍處於多頭週期,因為其市值成長速度快於實際市值。
“Bitcoin is still in a bull cycle (realized cap < market cap).”
“比特幣仍處於牛市週期(已實現市值<市值)。”
Back in May, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin will peak in April 2025 based on this signal.
早在5月,分析師就根據這項訊號預測比特幣將在2025年4月見頂。
“Based on the realized cap < market cap signal, Bitcoin will peak in April 2025.”
“根據已實現上限<市值訊號,比特幣將於 2025 年 4 月見頂。”
Crypto Trader Jelle Noted On Monday that Bitcoin may break out again later in the week with a shallow higher low forming.
加密貨幣交易員 Jelle 週一指出,比特幣可能會在本週稍後再次突破,並形成淺層走高的低點。
“Shallow HL forming, might see another breakout later this week.”
“淺層 HL 形成,本週晚些時候可能會出現另一次突破。”
The trader also highlighted that with Q3 now over, Bitcoin’s performance in the fourth quarter is worth noting.
該交易員也強調,隨著第三季現已結束,比特幣第四季的表現值得注意。
“Also interesting to note that in previous Q4’s, Bitcoin has performed well on average, with an average return of 88% and a median return of 57%.”
“還值得注意的是,在之前的第四季度,比特幣平均表現良好,平均回報率為 88%,中位數回報率為 57%。”
One more day until Q4 starts, and Q3 is behind us.
距離第四季開始還有一天,第三季已經過去了。
We move from what tends to be the worst-performing quarter of the year, into what tends to be the best-performing quarter of the year.
我們從往往是一年中表現最差的季度,進入了往往是一年中表現最好的季度。
Average return for Q4: 88%
第四季平均回報率:88%
Median return for Q4: 57%.
第四季回報率中位數:57%。
We're in for a ride.
我們是來兜風的
#Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/nHACNroSVm
#比特幣 pic.twitter.com/nHACNroSVm
Bitcoin’s 22% Rally Isn’t Enough, It Must Break August High To Overcome Downtrend, Bitfinex Analysts Say
Bitfinex 分析師表示,比特幣 22% 的反彈還不夠,必須突破 8 月高點才能克服下跌趨勢
Data From IntoTheBlock
來自 IntoTheBlock 的數據
Large transaction volume increased by 6.05%, daily active addresses rose by 4.9% and exchange netflows are down by around 70%.
大額交易量成長6.05%,每日活躍地址成長4.9%,交易所淨流量下降70%左右。
With prices making positive moves, 86% of Bitcoin holders are in profit and 5% are at breakeven.
隨著價格上漲,86% 的比特幣持有者實現盈利,5% 的持有者實現盈虧平衡。
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