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交易员认为,过去 30 天内比特币兑美元上涨 8% 是今年最后一个季度可能出现的走势的前兆。
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) traders are looking ahead to the final quarter of the year with optimism, especially considering BTC/USD is up 8% over the past 30 days.
比特币 (CRYPTO: BTC) 交易者对今年最后一个季度持乐观态度,特别是考虑到 BTC/USD 在过去 30 天内上涨了 8%。
Here’s a look at what some traders are saying about what may be in store for Bitcoin in Q4.
以下是一些交易员对第四季度比特币前景的看法。
‘Millionaire Trader’ Bullish On Bitcoin In Q4, Especially In Election Years
“百万富翁交易员”在第四季度看好比特币,尤其是在选举年
“Millionaire trader” Unipcs noted on Twitter that out of the past ten Octobers, Bitcoin has closed up in value eight of those times.
“百万富翁交易员”Unipcs 在 Twitter 上指出,在过去 10 个月中,比特币的价值有 8 次上涨。
“Also interesting to note that in election years, Bitcoin has performed well in Q4 of the year.”
“还值得注意的是,在选举年,比特币在当年第四季度表现良好。”
With the U.S. and China both cutting interest rates aggressively and the U.S. elections now 36 days away, the trader said the environment is setting up well for crypto bulls.
该交易员表示,随着美国和中国都大幅降息,而且距离美国大选还有 36 天,加密货币多头的环境正在良好。
“Also interesting to note that in election years, Bitcoin has performed well in Q4 of the year.
“还值得注意的是,在选举年,比特币在当年第四季度表现良好。
With both U.S. and China cutting rates aggressively and the election now 36 days away, it seems like a good environment for crypto bulls.”
随着美国和中国大幅降息,距离大选还有 36 天,这对于加密货币多头来说似乎是一个良好的环境。”
Unipcs also highlighted the upcoming distribution of FTX’s stimulus, which may boost the crypto market further.
Unipcs 还强调了 FTX 即将发布的刺激措施,这可能会进一步提振加密货币市场。
“Stimulus will be paid out to users who hold at least 100,000 points (roughly $16 billion) on March 24.”
“将于 3 月 24 日向持有至少 100,000 积分(约 160 亿美元)的用户发放奖励。”
CryptoQuant Founder: Bitcoin Still In Bull Cycle
CryptoQuant创始人:比特币仍处于牛市周期
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju noted on Twitter that Bitcoin is still in the bull cycle as its market cap is growing faster than realized cap.
CryptoQuant 创始人 Ki Young Ju 在 Twitter 上指出,比特币仍处于牛市周期,因为其市值增长速度快于实际市值。
“Bitcoin is still in a bull cycle (realized cap < market cap).”
“比特币仍处于牛市周期(已实现市值<市值)。”
Back in May, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin will peak in April 2025 based on this signal.
早在5月,分析师就根据这一信号预测比特币将在2025年4月见顶。
“Based on the realized cap < market cap signal, Bitcoin will peak in April 2025.”
“根据已实现上限<市值信号,比特币将于 2025 年 4 月见顶。”
Crypto Trader Jelle Noted On Monday that Bitcoin may break out again later in the week with a shallow higher low forming.
加密货币交易员 Jelle 周一指出,比特币可能会在本周晚些时候再次突破,并形成浅层走高的低点。
“Shallow HL forming, might see another breakout later this week.”
“浅层 HL 形成,本周晚些时候可能会出现另一次突破。”
The trader also highlighted that with Q3 now over, Bitcoin’s performance in the fourth quarter is worth noting.
该交易员还强调,随着第三季度现已结束,比特币第四季度的表现值得注意。
“Also interesting to note that in previous Q4’s, Bitcoin has performed well on average, with an average return of 88% and a median return of 57%.”
“还值得注意的是,在之前的第四季度,比特币平均表现良好,平均回报率为 88%,中位回报率为 57%。”
One more day until Q4 starts, and Q3 is behind us.
距离第四季度开始还有一天,第三季度已经过去了。
We move from what tends to be the worst-performing quarter of the year, into what tends to be the best-performing quarter of the year.
我们从往往是一年中表现最差的季度,进入了往往是一年中表现最好的季度。
Average return for Q4: 88%
第四季度平均回报率:88%
Median return for Q4: 57%.
第四季度回报率中位数:57%。
We're in for a ride.
我们是来兜风的
#Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/nHACNroSVm
#比特币 pic.twitter.com/nHACNroSVm
Bitcoin’s 22% Rally Isn’t Enough, It Must Break August High To Overcome Downtrend, Bitfinex Analysts Say
Bitfinex 分析师表示,比特币 22% 的反弹还不够,必须突破 8 月高点才能克服下跌趋势
Data From IntoTheBlock
来自 IntoTheBlock 的数据
Large transaction volume increased by 6.05%, daily active addresses rose by 4.9% and exchange netflows are down by around 70%.
大额交易量增长6.05%,日活跃地址增长4.9%,交易所净流量下降70%左右。
With prices making positive moves, 86% of Bitcoin holders are in profit and 5% are at breakeven.
随着价格上涨,86% 的比特币持有者实现盈利,5% 的持有者实现盈亏平衡。
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