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比特幣似乎正在迎來轉機。在周末飆升至 2 個月高點後,該代幣尚未回落,跌破 65,000 美元。
Bitcoin price showed no signs of slowing down when last checked, trading above $64,000. The coin’s 2-month highs came after a sharp rally from the sub-$60,000 levels encountered last week.
上次檢查時,比特幣價格沒有顯示出放緩的跡象,交易價格高於 64,000 美元。該代幣自上週低於 6 萬美元的水平大幅反彈後創下兩個月高點。
Bitcoin price action, from the looks of it, appeared to be setting up for another leg up, especially after registering 2-month highs over the weekend. At the time of writing, however, the coin’s price action seemed to be turning a corner.
從表面上看,比特幣的價格走勢似乎正在為另一輪上漲做好準備,尤其是在周末創下兩個月高點之後。然而,在撰寫本文時,代幣的價格走勢似乎正在出現轉折點。
After a sharp rally from the sub-$60,000 levels encountered last week, BTC price showed no signs of slowing down when last checked, especially after trading above the $64,000 mark.
在上週從 60,000 美元以下的水平大幅上漲後,比特幣價格在上次檢查時沒有顯示出放緩的跡象,特別是在交易至 64,000 美元大關之上之後。
However, optimism remained high with some traders expecting the coin to print higher. Not everyone seemed to be bullish, especially given the price action.
然而,樂觀情緒仍然很高,一些交易員預計硬幣會走高。並非所有人都看漲,尤其是考慮到價格走勢。
In a post on X, a trader noted that the current Bitcoin price action was “noise” and, to worsen matters, there was no organic interest in BTC, as seen by Google searches.
在 X 上的一篇貼文中,一位交易員指出,當前的比特幣價格走勢是“噪音”,更糟糕的是,從谷歌搜尋中可以看出,人們對比特幣沒有任何興趣。
If Bitcoin is forming a cup-and-handle pattern, then the trader predicted even more gains in the coming days.
如果比特幣正在形成杯柄模式,那麼交易員預計未來幾天會有更多漲幅。
The technical pattern is usually bullish and used to gauge the strength of reversals. As things stand, the resistance is around $70,000, an all-time high.
技術形態通常是看漲的,用來衡量反轉的強度。目前來看,阻力位在 7 萬美元左右,為歷史新高。
If there is a solid breakout above this zone, the probability of Bitcoin floating to a fresh high remains.
如果突破該區域,比特幣仍有可能升至新高。
According to the analyst, the coin will likely hit $194,000 on the lower end and $352,000 if the upside momentum is maintained.
該分析師表示,如果保持上漲勢頭,該代幣的低端價格可能會達到 194,000 美元,如果上漲勢頭保持不變,則可能會達到 352,000 美元。
The long-term price targets could be substantial if Bitcoin forms a cup-and-handle pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern often associated with bullish reversals.
如果比特幣形成杯柄模式(通常與看漲逆轉相關的技術分析圖表模式),那麼長期價格目標可能會很大。
According to the trader’s analysis, the target range for Bitcoin could be between $194,000 and $352,000.
根據交易員的分析,比特幣的目標範圍可能在 194,000 美元至 352,000 美元之間。
All the same, for this leg up to take shape, there must be a solid backing.
儘管如此,這條腿要成形,就必須有堅實的後盾。
Besides fundamental factors, traders use organic search interest in Bitcoin from Google.
除了基本面因素外,交易者還使用谷歌對比特幣的自然搜尋興趣。
Presently, even with Bitcoin trending higher, interest in Bitcoin appears to be non-existent—and even decreasing.
目前,即使比特幣趨勢走高,人們對比特幣的興趣似乎也不存在,甚至在下降。
What this suggests is that there is no FOMO, and bulls are drawing benefits from fundamental factors.
這表明不存在“錯失恐懼症”,多頭正在從基本面因素中獲益。
From Halving To Elections: BTC Demand Likely To Rise
從減半到選舉:比特幣需求可能會上升
Indeed, this appears to be the case. Besides the expectations that Q4 2024 will be bullish, as seen from trends in the past, the fact that there is rising demand from institutions after Halving in April may prop up bulls.
確實,情況似乎確實如此。除了從過去的趨勢來看,2024年第四季將是牛市的預期之外,4月份減半後機構需求的增加也可能會支撐牛市。
Usually, prices tend to recover sharply a few months after Halving. It has been nearly six months since this event happened, and buyers expect prices to correct higher as a result.
通常,價格往往會在減半後幾個月大幅回升。該事件發生已近六個月,買家預計價格將因此上漲。
At the same time, regardless of the outcome of the presidential election in the United States, Bitcoin may draw benefits. Both parties are eager to address the mounting debts and rising deficits.
同時,無論美國總統選舉結果如何,比特幣都可能從中受益。雙方都渴望解決不斷增加的債務和不斷增加的赤字問題。
As of September 30, Polymarket places Kamala Harris ahead at 50% versus Donald Trump, 49%.
截至 9 月 30 日,Polymarket 認為卡馬拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 的支持率為 50%,而唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 的支持率為 49%。
A Trump win might see the United States establish a BTC reserve and foster growth in Bitcoin mining activity.
川普獲勝可能會導緻美國建立比特幣儲備並促進比特幣挖礦活動的成長。
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