比特幣 (BTC) 價格重新測試 50 日均線 — 接下來會發生什麼？

比特幣以強勁的勢頭開啟了 2025 年，在其誕生 16 週年之際再次挑戰 10 萬美元大關。

Bitcoin (BTC) began 2025 on a strong footing, flirting with the $100,000 mark again on its 16th anniversary. Having lost the $100,000 level on December 19, 2024, the premier cryptocurrency has failed to gather any significant bullish momentum.

比特幣 (BTC) 在 2025 年開始表現強勁，在其誕生 16 週年之際再次突破 10 萬美元大關。在 2024 年 12 月 19 日跌破 10 萬美元水平後，這種主要的加密貨幣未能聚集任何顯著的看漲勢頭。

However, the BTC price seems to be in the recovery phase at the moment, with an almost 5% increase in the past week. According to a prominent crypto analyst on the social media platform X, the current price setup suggests that Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal juncture.

然而，BTC價格目前似乎處於恢復階段，過去一周上漲了近5%。社群媒體平台 X 上一位著名的加密貨幣分析師表示，目前的價格設定表明比特幣目前正處於關鍵時刻。

Bitcoin Price Retests 50-Day MA — What Next?

比特幣價格重新測試 50 日均線——接下來會發生什麼？

Popular crypto pundit Ali Martinez took to the X platform to reveal the current layout of the Bitcoin price and the potential impact on its future trajectory. According to the analyst, the flagship cryptocurrency’s price is at a “critical point.”

熱門加密貨幣專家 Ali Martinez 在 X 平台上揭示了比特幣價格的當前佈局以及對其未來軌蹟的潛在影響。這位分析師表示，旗艦加密貨幣的價格正處於「臨界點」。

The rationale behind this claim is Bitcoin’s action around the 50-day moving average (50MA) on the daily price chart. The 50-day MA is a common technical indicator used to track the medium-term trend of an asset’s price (Bitcoin, in this scenario).

這一說法背後的理由是比特幣在每日價格圖表上圍繞 50 日移動平均線 (50MA) 的走勢。 50 天移動平均線是一種常見的技術指標，用於追蹤資產價格（在本例中為比特幣）的中期趨勢。

In Bitcoin’s case — from the highlighted charts, the 50-day moving average has served as significant support and resistance points in the past. It appears that the Bitcoin price successfully broke underneath the 50-day MA and has climbed back to retest the breached support.

就比特幣而言，從突出顯示的圖表來看，50 天移動平均線在過去一直是重要的支撐和阻力點。比特幣價格似乎成功跌破 50 日均線，並回升至重新測試突破的支撐位。

According to Martinez, the price of the premier cryptocurrency is at risk of moving to the downside once the retest is complete. However, the analyst noted that a sustained close above the 50-day moving average could invalidate the bearish projection for Bitcoin and perhaps signal the end of the ongoing price correction.

馬丁內斯表示，一旦重新測試完成，主要加密貨幣的價格就有下跌的風險。然而，分析師指出，持續收盤於 50 日移動均線上方可能會使比特幣的看跌預測失效，並可能標誌著持續價格調整的結束。

As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at around $98,358, reflecting a 1% increase in the past day. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is up by nearly 5% in the last seven days.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣的價格約為 98,358 美元，較過去一天上漲 1%。根據 CoinGecko 的數據，旗艦加密貨幣在過去 7 天內上漲了近 5%。

Can Growing Exchange Outflows Trigger Fresh Bullish Momentum?

不斷增長的外匯流出能否引發新的看漲動能？

In another post on X, Martinez revealed that significant amounts of Bitcoin have been flowing out of exchanges in the past week. Data from CryptoQuant shows that over 48,000 BTC (worth more than $4.5 billion) have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past seven days.

在 X 上的另一篇貼文中，馬丁內斯透露，過去一周有大量比特幣流出交易所。 CryptoQuant 的數據顯示，過去 7 天內已有超過 48,000 枚 BTC（價值超過 45 億美元）從交易所撤出。

This funds’ movement signals a shift in sentiment, as investors are moving their coins to non-custodial wallets possibly for long-term storage. This could suggest that investors are becoming increasingly confident in the future promise of the market leader.

該基金的走勢標誌著情緒的轉變，因為投資者正在將其代幣轉移到非託管錢包中，可能用於長期儲存。這可能表明投資者對市場領導者的未來承諾越來越有信心。

The increased flow of coins from centralized exchanges could also indicate fresh buying activity, with investors choosing to store their newly acquired assets off the trading platforms. Ultimately, this exchange outflow could be a bullish signal for the Bitcoin price.

來自中心化交易所的代幣流量增加也可能表明新的購買活動，投資者選擇將新獲得的資產儲存在交易平台之外。最終，這種交易流出可能是比特幣價格的看漲訊號。