比特币 (BTC) 价格重新测试 50 日均线 — 接下来会发生什么？

比特币以强劲的势头开启了 2025 年，在其诞生 16 周年之际再次挑战 10 万美元大关。

Bitcoin (BTC) began 2025 on a strong footing, flirting with the $100,000 mark again on its 16th anniversary. Having lost the $100,000 level on December 19, 2024, the premier cryptocurrency has failed to gather any significant bullish momentum.

比特币 (BTC) 在 2025 年伊始就表现强劲，在其诞生 16 周年之际再次突破 10 万美元大关。在 2024 年 12 月 19 日跌破 100,000 美元水平后，这种主要的加密货币未能聚集任何显着的看涨势头。

However, the BTC price seems to be in the recovery phase at the moment, with an almost 5% increase in the past week. According to a prominent crypto analyst on the social media platform X, the current price setup suggests that Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal juncture.

然而，BTC价格目前似乎处于恢复阶段，过去一周上涨了近5%。社交媒体平台 X 上的一位著名加密货币分析师表示，当前的价格设置表明比特币目前正处于关键时刻。

Bitcoin Price Retests 50-Day MA — What Next?

比特币价格重新测试 50 日均线——接下来会发生什么？

Popular crypto pundit Ali Martinez took to the X platform to reveal the current layout of the Bitcoin price and the potential impact on its future trajectory. According to the analyst, the flagship cryptocurrency’s price is at a “critical point.”

热门加密货币专家 Ali Martinez 在 X 平台上揭示了比特币价格的当前布局以及对其未来轨迹的潜在影响。这位分析师表示，旗舰加密货币的价格正处于“临界点”。

The rationale behind this claim is Bitcoin’s action around the 50-day moving average (50MA) on the daily price chart. The 50-day MA is a common technical indicator used to track the medium-term trend of an asset’s price (Bitcoin, in this scenario).

这一说法背后的理由是比特币在每日价格图表上围绕 50 日移动平均线 (50MA) 的走势。 50 天移动平均线是一种常见的技术指标，用于跟踪资产价格（在本例中为比特币）的中期趋势。

In Bitcoin’s case — from the highlighted charts, the 50-day moving average has served as significant support and resistance points in the past. It appears that the Bitcoin price successfully broke underneath the 50-day MA and has climbed back to retest the breached support.

就比特币而言，从突出显示的图表来看，50 天移动平均线在过去一直是重要的支撑和阻力点。比特币价格似乎成功跌破 50 日均线，并回升至重新测试突破的支撑位。

According to Martinez, the price of the premier cryptocurrency is at risk of moving to the downside once the retest is complete. However, the analyst noted that a sustained close above the 50-day moving average could invalidate the bearish projection for Bitcoin and perhaps signal the end of the ongoing price correction.

马丁内斯表示，一旦重新测试完成，主要加密货币的价格就有下跌的风险。然而，分析师指出，持续收于 50 日移动均线上方可能会使比特币的看跌预测失效，并可能标志着持续价格调整的结束。

As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at around $98,358, reflecting a 1% increase in the past day. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is up by nearly 5% in the last seven days.

截至撰写本文时，比特币的价格约为 98,358 美元，较过去一天上涨 1%。根据 CoinGecko 的数据，旗舰加密货币在过去 7 天内上涨了近 5%。

Can Growing Exchange Outflows Trigger Fresh Bullish Momentum?

不断增长的外汇流出能否引发新的看涨势头？

In another post on X, Martinez revealed that significant amounts of Bitcoin have been flowing out of exchanges in the past week. Data from CryptoQuant shows that over 48,000 BTC (worth more than $4.5 billion) have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past seven days.

在 X 上的另一篇帖子中，马丁内斯透露，过去一周有大量比特币流出交易所。 CryptoQuant 的数据显示，过去 7 天内已有超过 48,000 枚 BTC（价值超过 45 亿美元）从交易所撤出。

This funds’ movement signals a shift in sentiment, as investors are moving their coins to non-custodial wallets possibly for long-term storage. This could suggest that investors are becoming increasingly confident in the future promise of the market leader.

该基金的走势标志着情​​绪的转变，因为投资者正在将其代币转移到非托管钱包中，可能用于长期存储。这可能表明投资者对市场领导者的未来承诺越来越有信心。

The increased flow of coins from centralized exchanges could also indicate fresh buying activity, with investors choosing to store their newly acquired assets off the trading platforms. Ultimately, this exchange outflow could be a bullish signal for the Bitcoin price.

来自中心化交易所的代币流量增加也可能表明新的购买活动，投资者选择将新获得的资产存储在交易平台之外。最终，这种交易流出可能是比特币价格的看涨信号。