鏈上分析顯示，比特幣（BTC）價格在年底飆升之前提供了難得的上漲機會

儘管許多人預測比特幣 (BTC) 的價格可能會在年底前飆升至 12 萬美元，但比特幣卻遭遇了挫折，目前交易價格低於 9.7 萬美元。

Despite earlier forecasts predicting a Bitcoin (BTC) price surge to $120,000 by year-end, the coin has experienced a setback and is now trading below $97,000. However, a closer examination of historical data suggests that such pullbacks often present an opportune moment for new Bitcoin buyers to accumulate.

儘管早期預測比特幣 (BTC) 價格到年底將飆升至 12 萬美元，但該幣經歷了挫折，目前交易價格低於 97,000 美元。然而，對歷史數據的仔細研究表明，這種回調往往為新的比特幣買家提供了累積比特幣的好時機。

If this pattern holds true, Bitcoin’s price could close the year on a higher note. This on-chain analysis reveals how this scenario might play out.

如果這種模式成立，比特幣的價格可能會在今年結束時走高。這種鏈上分析揭示了這種情況可能會如何發展。

Bitcoin Presents Another Rare Chance

比特幣提供了另一個難得的機會

Over the past seven days, the price of Bitcoin has decreased by 12%, which could be attributed to increased selling pressure as the holiday season intensifies.

在過去 7 天裡，比特幣的價格下跌了 12%，這可能是由於隨著假期季節的加劇，拋售壓力加大。

This pressure is evident in the sharp decline of the Coinbase Premium Index, which gauges buying and selling activity in the United States. A rising index indicates strong buying pressure, while a decline signifies heightened selling.

這種壓力在衡量美國買賣活動的 Coinbase 溢價指數的急劇下跌中顯而易見。指數上升表示強勁的購買壓力，而下降則意味著拋售加劇。

Currently, the index indicates significant selling pressure. However, in previous cycles, such intensified selling attracted new buyers who saw it as an opportunity to purchase Bitcoin at a discount. If this pattern repeats, BTC could experience renewed accumulation and potentially climb higher.

目前，該指數顯示出巨大的拋售壓力。然而，在先前的周期中，這種加劇的拋售吸引了新買家，他們將其視為以折扣價購買比特幣的機會。如果這種模式重複，比特幣可能會經歷新的累積並可能攀升。

notably, crypto analyst MAC_D also agrees with this sentiment, observing that the cryptocurrency might soon experience a bounce.

值得注意的是，加密貨幣分析師 MAC_D 也同意這種觀點，認為加密貨幣可能很快就會出現反彈。

“Historically, this phenomenon has been temporary during bull markets, often attracting new buyers who saw it as an opportunity. While it’s uncertain whether the price following this sharp decline represents the bottom, if the bull market continues, a bottom may form soon, potentially leading to a rebound.” MAC_D noted on CryptoQuant.

「從歷史上看，這種現像在牛市期間一直是暫時的，通常會吸引將其視為機會的新買家。雖然目前還不確定這次大幅下跌後的價格是否代表底部，但如果牛市持續下去，底部可能很快就會形成，並有可能導致反彈。 MAC_D 在 CryptoQuant 上註明。

Furthermore, the rate of profit-taking among Bitcoin holders also supports this outlook. On December 16, the on-chain transaction volume in profit was over 250,000 BTC.

此外，比特幣持有者的獲利回吐率也支持了這個前景。 12月16日，鏈上交易獲利額超過25萬BTC。

As of this writing, the value has decreased to 58,1000, indicating that the decline in Bitcoin’s price has forced investors to keep HODLing instead of liquidating their assets. Should this value continue to decrease, then a BTC rebound could likely occur.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣價值已跌至 58,1000，表明比特幣價格下跌迫使投資者繼續持有而不是清算資產。如果這個值繼續下降，那麼比特幣可能會出現反彈。

BTC Price Prediction: Back Above $100,000 Soon

BTC價格預測：很快將回到10萬美元以上

Based on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has found support at $92,888. As a result, the price has found another stronger support at $95,871. However, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has remained negative, which suggests bearish momentum.

根據 4 小時圖，比特幣在 92,888 美元找到支撐。結果，價格找到了另一個更強的支撐位 95,871 美元。然而，動量震盪指標（AO）仍然為負值，這表示看跌勢頭。

However, with green histogram bars appearing, BTC could evade another notable decline and trade higher. If that is the case, Bitcoin’s price could reach $104,299 in the short term. In a highly bullish market condition, the value could rise to $108,386.

然而，隨著綠色長條圖的出現，比特幣可能會避免另一次顯著下跌並走高。如果是這樣，比特幣的價格短期內可能會達到 104,299 美元。在高度看漲的市場條件下，其價值可能會升至 108,386 美元。

On the other hand, a decline below the support level mentioned above could invalidate this prediction. If that were to happen, Bitcoin’s price might decline to $92,144.

另一方面，跌破上述支撐位可能會使這項預測無效。如果這種情況發生，比特幣的價格可能會跌至 92,144 美元。