链上分析显示，比特币（BTC）价格在年底飙升之前提供了难得的上涨机会

尽管许多人预测比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会在年底前飙升至 120,000 美元，但比特币却遭遇了挫折，目前交易价格低于 97,000 美元。

Despite earlier forecasts predicting a Bitcoin (BTC) price surge to $120,000 by year-end, the coin has experienced a setback and is now trading below $97,000. However, a closer examination of historical data suggests that such pullbacks often present an opportune moment for new Bitcoin buyers to accumulate.

尽管早期预测比特币 (BTC) 价格到年底将飙升至 120,000 美元，但该币经历了挫折，目前交易价格低于 97,000 美元。然而，对历史数据的仔细研究表明，这种回调往往为新的比特币买家提供了积累比特币的好时机。

If this pattern holds true, Bitcoin’s price could close the year on a higher note. This on-chain analysis reveals how this scenario might play out.

如果这种模式成立，比特币的价格可能会在今年结束时走高。这种链上分析揭示了这种情况可能会如何发展。

Bitcoin Presents Another Rare Chance

比特币提供了另一个难得的机会

Over the past seven days, the price of Bitcoin has decreased by 12%, which could be attributed to increased selling pressure as the holiday season intensifies.

在过去 7 天里，比特币的价格下跌了 12%，这可能是由于随着假期季节的加剧，抛售压力加大。

This pressure is evident in the sharp decline of the Coinbase Premium Index, which gauges buying and selling activity in the United States. A rising index indicates strong buying pressure, while a decline signifies heightened selling.

这种压力在衡量美国买卖活动的 Coinbase 溢价指数的急剧下跌中显而易见。指数上升表明强劲的购买压力，而下降则意味着抛售加剧。

Currently, the index indicates significant selling pressure. However, in previous cycles, such intensified selling attracted new buyers who saw it as an opportunity to purchase Bitcoin at a discount. If this pattern repeats, BTC could experience renewed accumulation and potentially climb higher.

目前，该指数显示出巨大的抛售压力。然而，在之前的周期中，这种加剧的抛售吸引了新买家，他们将其视为以折扣价购买比特币的机会。如果这种模式重复，比特币可能会经历新的积累并可能攀升。

notably, crypto analyst MAC_D also agrees with this sentiment, observing that the cryptocurrency might soon experience a bounce.

值得注意的是，加密货币分析师 MAC_D 也同意这种观点，认为加密货币可能很快就会出现反弹。

“Historically, this phenomenon has been temporary during bull markets, often attracting new buyers who saw it as an opportunity. While it’s uncertain whether the price following this sharp decline represents the bottom, if the bull market continues, a bottom may form soon, potentially leading to a rebound.” MAC_D noted on CryptoQuant.

“从历史上看，这种现象在牛市期间一直是暂时的，通常会吸引将其视为机会的新买家。虽然目前还不确定这次大幅下跌后的价格是否代表底部，但如果牛市持续下去，底部可能很快就会形成，并有可能导致反弹。” MAC_D 在 CryptoQuant 上注明。

Furthermore, the rate of profit-taking among Bitcoin holders also supports this outlook. On December 16, the on-chain transaction volume in profit was over 250,000 BTC.

此外，比特币持有者的获利回吐率也支持了这一前景。 12月16日，链上交易盈利额超过25万BTC。

As of this writing, the value has decreased to 58,1000, indicating that the decline in Bitcoin’s price has forced investors to keep HODLing instead of liquidating their assets. Should this value continue to decrease, then a BTC rebound could likely occur.

截至撰写本文时，比特币价值已跌至 58,1000，表明比特币价格下跌迫使投资者继续持有而不是清算资产。如果这个值继续下降，那么比特币可能会出现反弹。

BTC Price Prediction: Back Above $100,000 Soon

BTC价格预测：很快将回到10万美元以上

Based on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has found support at $92,888. As a result, the price has found another stronger support at $95,871. However, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has remained negative, which suggests bearish momentum.

根据 4 小时图，比特币在 92,888 美元找到支撑。结果，价格找到了另一个更强的支撑位 95,871 美元。然而，动量震荡指标（AO）仍然为负值，这表明看跌势头。

However, with green histogram bars appearing, BTC could evade another notable decline and trade higher. If that is the case, Bitcoin’s price could reach $104,299 in the short term. In a highly bullish market condition, the value could rise to $108,386.

然而，随着绿色柱状图的出现，比特币可能会避免另一次显着下跌并走高。如果真是这样，比特币的价格短期内可能会达到 104,299 美元。在高度看涨的市场条件下，其价值可能会升至 108,386 美元。

On the other hand, a decline below the support level mentioned above could invalidate this prediction. If that were to happen, Bitcoin’s price might decline to $92,144.

另一方面，跌破上述支撑位可能会使这一预测无效。如果这种情况发生，比特币的价格可能会跌至 92,144 美元。