比特幣（BTC）價格預測：黃金的價格飆升至每盎司3357美元的新歷史高處

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和貿易舉動都涉及風險，讀者應進行自己的研究

The price of gold surged to a new all-time high of $3,357 per ounce on April 17, igniting speculation on whether Bitcoin (BTC) would follow.

黃金的價格飆升至4月17日的新歷史最高高點，每盎司3,357美元，這引發了人們對比特幣（BTC）是否會隨之而來的猜測。

In 2017, Bitcoin rallied to $19,120 after gold witnessed a 30% hike a few months earlier. Similarly, gold reached a new high near $2,075 in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, which preceded Bitcoin’s surge to $69,000 in 2021.

2017年，比特幣在幾個月前獲得了30％的加息後，提高到19,120美元。同樣，在1920年在1920年大流行期間，黃金在2020年達到了2,075美元的新高，這是2021年比特幣的激增至69,000美元。

Bitcoin has historically surpassed its previous all-time highs whenever gold rallies, reflecting a dynamic relationship between the two assets during periods of economic uncertainty and when investors look for a US dollar alternative.

歷史上，比特幣歷史上都超過了以前的歷史高潮，每當經濟不確定性時期以及投資者尋找美元的替代方案時，這兩個資產之間的動態關係。

Further highlighting the interconnections between the assets, Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, pointed out that BTC follows gold’s directional bias with a lag of 100-150 days at a time. Consorti said,

HEAA增長負責人Joe Consorti進一步強調了資產之間的互連，他指出，BTC一次遵循Gold的方向偏見，每次延遲100-150天。協會說，

“My directional bias on Gold is bullish. I think it will continue to flow higher over the next 12-18 months. If we were to see new all-time highs in Gold around April 2024, then I think we can expect to see new all-time highs in Bitcoin sometime between Q3 and Q4 of 2025.”

“我對黃金的定向偏見是看好的。我認為在接下來的12-18個月中，它將繼續越來越高。如果我們在2024年4月左右看到黃金的新歷史最高點，那麼我認為我們可以期望在2025年第三季度和第四季度的某個時候看到比特幣的新歷史最高點。”

Considering Consorti’s view, Bitcoin is expected to potentially attain new all-time highs between Q3 and Q4 of 2025. Anonymous Bitcoin proponent apsk32 expected a similar outcome or bullish period between July and November.

考慮到Consorti的觀點，預計比特幣有可能在2025年第三季度至第四季度之間獲得新的歷史最高點。匿名比特幣支持者APSK32預計會有類似的結果或7月之間的結果或看漲期。

Looking at data from past Bitcoin price cycles and BTC’s “power curve time contours,” the analyst predicted that Bitcoin will enter a parabolic phase in the latter half of 2025, with a price target as high as $400,000. Using the power law model, the analyst normalized Bitcoin's market cap to gold's and plotted BTC on a logarithmic scale, measuring each Bitcoin in ounces of gold instead of dollars.

查看過去比特幣價格週期和BTC的“電力曲線時間輪廓”的數據，分析師預測，比特幣將在2025年後半段進入拋物線階段，目標目標高達40萬美元。分析師使用Power Law模型將比特幣的市值標準化為Gold's，並以對數尺度繪製BTC，以黃金而不是美元來測量每個比特幣。

Related: Bitcoin gold copycat move may top $150K as BTC stays ‘impressive’

相關：BTC保持“令人印象深刻”，比特幣金色模仿者的舉動可能會超過15萬美元

Bitcoin trading like “Mag 8” amid tariff uncertainty

在關稅不確定性的情況下，比特幣交易

In a recent interview with CNBC, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said that Bitcoin and gold are “key indicators of financial stewardship” amid global macroeconomic uncertainty. Highlighting it as a “Minsky Moment” for the US economy, Novogratz said that Bitcoin thrives in market turbulence, driven by a weakening US dollar and capital flowing into safe havens like gold, which has recently rallied.

Galaxy數字首席執行官Mike Novogratz在最近接受CNBC的採訪時說，在全球宏觀經濟不確定性的情況下，比特幣和黃金是“財務管理的主要指標”。 Novogratz表示，這是美國經濟的“ Minsky時刻”，他說，比特幣在市場動盪方面蓬勃發展，這是由於美元疲軟和資本流入諸如黃金之類的安全避風港的驅動，該避風港最近出現了。

Novogratz added that despite a 10% year-to-date drop in equities, markets underestimate the scale of global economic shifts, with tariffs and Trump’s policies adding uncertainty. He cautioned that rising interest rates and a weakening dollar signal the US is behaving like an emerging market, with Bitcoin and gold reflecting growing concerns over unsustainable deficits and the $35 trillion national debt.

Novogratz補充說，儘管股票年初下降了10％，但市場低估了全球經濟轉變的規模，關稅和特朗普的政策增加了不確定性。他警告說，美國的利率上升和美元信號較弱，就像新興市場一樣，比特幣和黃金反映了人們對不可持續的赤字以及35萬億美元的國債的日益關注。

Related: Bitcoin online chatter flips bullish as price chops at $85K: Santiment

相關：比特幣在線聊天式翻轉看漲，價格排在$ 85K：santiment

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。