比特币（BTC）价格预测：黄金的价格飙升至每盎司3357美元的新历史高处

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和贸易举动都涉及风险，读者应进行自己的研究

The price of gold surged to a new all-time high of $3,357 per ounce on April 17, igniting speculation on whether Bitcoin (BTC) would follow.

黄金的价格飙升至4月17日的新历史最高高点，每盎司3,357美元，这引发了人们对比特币（BTC）是否会随之而来的猜测。

In 2017, Bitcoin rallied to $19,120 after gold witnessed a 30% hike a few months earlier. Similarly, gold reached a new high near $2,075 in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, which preceded Bitcoin’s surge to $69,000 in 2021.

2017年，比特币在几个月前获得了30％的加息后，提高到19,120美元。同样，在1920年在1920年大流行期间，黄金在2020年达到了2,075美元的新高，这是2021年比特币的激增至69,000美元。

Bitcoin has historically surpassed its previous all-time highs whenever gold rallies, reflecting a dynamic relationship between the two assets during periods of economic uncertainty and when investors look for a US dollar alternative.

历史上，比特币历史上都超过了以前的历史高潮，每当经济不确定性时期以及投资者寻找美元的替代方案时，这两个资产之间的动态关系。

Further highlighting the interconnections between the assets, Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, pointed out that BTC follows gold’s directional bias with a lag of 100-150 days at a time. Consorti said,

HEAA增长负责人Joe Consorti进一步强调了资产之间的互连，他指出，BTC一次遵循Gold的方向偏见，每次延迟100-150天。协会说，

“My directional bias on Gold is bullish. I think it will continue to flow higher over the next 12-18 months. If we were to see new all-time highs in Gold around April 2024, then I think we can expect to see new all-time highs in Bitcoin sometime between Q3 and Q4 of 2025.”

“我对黄金的定向偏见是看好的。我认为在接下来的12-18个月中，它将继续越来越高。如果我们在2024年4月左右看到黄金的新历史最高点，那么我认为我们可以期望在2025年第三季度和第四季度的某个时候看到比特币的新历史最高点。”

Considering Consorti’s view, Bitcoin is expected to potentially attain new all-time highs between Q3 and Q4 of 2025. Anonymous Bitcoin proponent apsk32 expected a similar outcome or bullish period between July and November.

考虑到Consorti的观点，预计比特币有可能在2025年第三季度至第四季度之间获得新的历史最高点。匿名比特币支持者APSK32预计会有类似的结果或7月之间的结果或看涨期。

Looking at data from past Bitcoin price cycles and BTC’s “power curve time contours,” the analyst predicted that Bitcoin will enter a parabolic phase in the latter half of 2025, with a price target as high as $400,000. Using the power law model, the analyst normalized Bitcoin's market cap to gold's and plotted BTC on a logarithmic scale, measuring each Bitcoin in ounces of gold instead of dollars.

查看过去比特币价格周期和BTC的“电力曲线时间轮廓”的数据，分析师预测，比特币将在2025年后半段进入抛物线阶段，目标目标高达40万美元。分析师使用Power Law模型将比特币的市值标准化为Gold's，并以对数尺度绘制BTC，以黄金而不是美元来测量每个比特币。

Related: Bitcoin gold copycat move may top $150K as BTC stays ‘impressive’

相关：BTC保持“令人印象深刻”，比特币金色模仿者的举动可能会超过15万美元

Bitcoin trading like “Mag 8” amid tariff uncertainty

在关税不确定性的情况下，比特币交易

In a recent interview with CNBC, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said that Bitcoin and gold are “key indicators of financial stewardship” amid global macroeconomic uncertainty. Highlighting it as a “Minsky Moment” for the US economy, Novogratz said that Bitcoin thrives in market turbulence, driven by a weakening US dollar and capital flowing into safe havens like gold, which has recently rallied.

Galaxy数字首席执行官Mike Novogratz在最近接受CNBC的采访时说，在全球宏观经济不确定性的情况下，比特币和黄金是“财务管理的主要指标”。 Novogratz表示，这是美国经济的“ Minsky时刻”，他说，比特币在市场动荡方面蓬勃发展，这是由于美元疲软和资本流入诸如黄金之类的安全避风港的驱动，该避风港最近出现了。

Novogratz added that despite a 10% year-to-date drop in equities, markets underestimate the scale of global economic shifts, with tariffs and Trump’s policies adding uncertainty. He cautioned that rising interest rates and a weakening dollar signal the US is behaving like an emerging market, with Bitcoin and gold reflecting growing concerns over unsustainable deficits and the $35 trillion national debt.

Novogratz补充说，尽管股票年初下降了10％，但市场低估了全球经济转变的规模，关税和特朗普的政策增加了不确定性。他警告说，美国的利率上升和美元信号较弱，就像新兴市场一样，比特币和黄金反映了人们对不可持续的赤字以及35万亿美元的国债的日益关注。

Related: Bitcoin online chatter flips bullish as price chops at $85K: Santiment

相关：比特币在线聊天式翻转看涨，价格排在$ 85K：santiment

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。