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Bitwise 首席投資長(CIO)Matt Hougan 最近做出大膽預測:到 2024 年底,比特幣價格可能達到 8 萬美元。
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Bitwise, has made a striking prediction: Bitcoin could reach a price of $80,000 by the end of 2024.
Bitwise 首席投資長 (CIO) Matt Hougan 做出了一個驚人的預測:到 2024 年底,比特幣的價格可能會達到 8 萬美元。
Hougan's bold Bitcoin price prediction hinges on three key factors: the upcoming presidential election in the United States, the influence of altcoins, and a favorable market environment for cryptocurrencies. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind this forecast and their potential implications for investors in the cryptocurrency realm.
Hougan對比特幣價格的大膽預測取決於三個關鍵因素:即將到來的美國總統選舉、山寨幣的影響以及對加密貨幣有利的市場環境。在本文中,我們將深入探討這項預測背後的原因及其對加密貨幣領域投資者的潛在影響。
1. US Election: A Major Catalyst for Cryptocurrencies
1. 美國大選:加密貨幣的主要催化劑
The first factor highlighted by Hougan is the presidential election in the United States, scheduled for 2024. According to the Bitwise CIO, the outcome of this election could have a substantial impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly on Bitcoin.
Hougan強調的第一個因素是定於2024年舉行的美國總統大選。
US politics exerts a direct influence on global financial markets, and this extends to the cryptocurrency sector as well. During the election, topics such as the regulation of cryptocurrencies, taxation, and monetary policy will be at the center of the discussion.
美國政治對全球金融市場產生直接影響,也延伸到了加密貨幣領域。在選舉期間,加密貨幣監管、稅收和貨幣政策等話題將成為討論的中心。
A potential pro-cryptocurrency stance by the next president or Congress could instill greater confidence in Bitcoin among investors, stimulating demand.
下一任總統或國會可能採取的支持加密貨幣的立場可能會增強投資者對比特幣的信心,從而刺激需求。
Moreover, the debate on the role of the digital dollar and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in the United States could amplify the visibility of the cryptocurrency market to the public, potentially attracting new investors toward Bitcoin.
此外,關於美國數位美元和央行數位貨幣(CBDC)的作用的辯論可能會擴大加密貨幣市場對公眾的知名度,從而可能吸引新投資者轉向比特幣。
The election itself introduces a layer of uncertainty, but for digital assets like Bitcoin, it could present an avenue for growth, especially if they are perceived as a hedge compared to traditional currencies.
選舉本身帶來了一層不確定性,但對於比特幣等數位資產來說,它可能提供成長途徑,特別是如果它們被視為與傳統貨幣相比的對沖工具的話。
2. The Rise of Altcoins and Its Impact on Bitcoin
2.山寨幣的興起及其對比特幣的影響
The second key factor identified by Matt Hougan is the increasing prominence of altcoins. Altcoins, defined as all cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin, are expanding rapidly and introducing innovations in areas such as decentralized finance (DeFi), NFT, and smart contract platforms.
馬特霍根 (Matt Hougan) 指出的第二個關鍵因素是山寨幣的日益突出。山寨幣被定義為除比特幣以外的所有加密貨幣,它們正在迅速擴張,並在去中心化金融 (DeFi)、NFT 和智慧合約平台等領域引入創新。
This growth could indirectly contribute to the performance of Bitcoin by bolstering the overall perception of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate and growing asset class.
這種成長可能會增強人們對加密貨幣作為合法且不斷增長的資產類別的整體認知,從而間接促進比特幣的表現。
Altcoins, despite being competitors of Bitcoin, also play a complementary role in the cryptocurrency market. When projects centered on altcoins thrive, they draw the attention of investors to the entire cryptocurrency sector, including Bitcoin, which serves as the “safe haven” for many traders and investors.
山寨幣儘管是比特幣的競爭對手,但也在加密貨幣市場中發揮補充作用。當以山寨幣為中心的項目蓬勃發展時,它們會將投資者的注意力吸引到整個加密貨幣領域,包括比特幣,比特幣成為許多交易者和投資者的「避風港」。
An increase in demand for altcoins could thus create a drag effect on Bitcoin, propelling it toward new highs.
因此,對山寨幣的需求增加可能會對比特幣產生拖累效應,推動其升至新高。
Another crucial aspect is the integration between different blockchain technologies. The interoperability between the Bitcoin network and those of altcoins could enhance the usability of Bitcoin in sectors like DeFi, thereby increasing its adoption and market value.
另一個關鍵方面是不同區塊鏈技術之間的整合。比特幣網路與山寨幣網路之間的互通性可以增強比特幣在 DeFi 等領域的可用性,從而提高其採用率和市場價值。
This trend, if it continues to gain momentum, could serve as one of the driving forces to reach the $80,000 threshold.
如果這一趨勢繼續增強,可能會成為達到 80,000 美元門檻的驅動力之一。
3. Favorable Market Conditions for Bitcoin
3. 比特幣的有利市場條件
Finally, Hougan suggested that the third key factor for Bitcoin to reach new highs by the end of 2024 will be the bull market conditions favoring cryptocurrencies.
最後,Hougan 表示,比特幣在 2024 年底創下新高的第三個關鍵因素將是有利於加密貨幣的多頭條件。
This encompasses a range of economic and financial elements that could bolster the Bitcoin market in the bull and bear term.
這涵蓋了一系列可能在牛市和熊市期間提振比特幣市場的經濟和金融因素。
One of these factors is the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin. Several large financial players, such as hedge funds, asset management companies, and even central banks, are starting to include Bitcoin in their portfolios.
這些因素之一是機構對比特幣的興趣日益濃厚。對沖基金、資產管理公司甚至央行等幾家大型金融機構都開始將比特幣納入其投資組合。
This increase in institutional demand not only brings greater liquidity to the market but also confers additional legitimacy to Bitcoin as a store of value.
機構需求的增加不僅為市場帶來了更大的流動性,而且還賦予比特幣作為價值儲存手段的額外合法性。
Another important aspect is the possible launch of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. An ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) would allow traditional investors to easily buy and hold Bitcoin through regulated markets, boosting demand significantly.
另一個重要方面是可能在美國推出比特幣 ETF。 ETF(交易所交易基金)將允許傳統投資者透過受監管的市場輕鬆購買和持有比特幣,從而顯著提振需求。
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