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由於交易員減少了對聯準會降息的押注,且中國的巨額刺激措施未達市場預期,比特幣已從近期高點回落。
A closely-watched bitcoin stock market indicator has crashed back toward $60,000 per bitcoin after touching $70,000 over the summer.
備受關注的比特幣股市指標在夏季觸及 7 萬美元後,已回落至 6 萬美元。
Now, as “crazy” Federal Reserve predictions push the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq stock market indices back to their record highs, analysts are warning “something’s got to give” as bitcoin price sentiment plummets into “fear” territory.
現在,隨著“瘋狂”的美聯儲預測將標準普爾500 指數、道指和納斯達克股市指數推回到歷史新高,分析師警告說,隨著比特幣價格情緒跌入“恐懼”區域,“必須做出一些讓步」。
Bitcoin, a leading stock market indicator that’s closely watched for signs of stock market corrections, has fallen back this week despite JPMorgan analysts (NYSE:JPM) tipping the bitcoin price for a $7.5 trillion earthquake.
儘管摩根大通分析師(NYSE:JPM)將比特幣價格預測為 7.5 兆美元的地震,但比特幣是受到密切關注的股市調整跡象的領先股市指標,但本週仍出現回落。
The bitcoin price, which has doubled over the last year amid fears fanned by Elon Musk that the U.S. could collapse into bankruptcy, has crashed back toward $60,000 per bitcoin after touching $70,000 over the summer.
由於馬斯克(Elon Musk)煽動美國可能陷入破產的擔憂,比特幣價格在去年翻了一番,在夏季觸及 7 萬美元後,比特幣價格已回落至 6 萬美元。
Now, as “crazy” Federal Reserve predictions push the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq stock market indices back to their record highs, analysts are warning “something’s got to give” as bitcoin price sentiment plummets into “fear” territory.
現在,隨著“瘋狂”的美聯儲預測將標準普爾500 指數、道指和納斯達克股市指數推回到歷史新高,分析師警告說,隨著比特幣價格情緒跌入“恐懼”區域,“必須做出一些讓步」。
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell last month began an interest rate cutting cycle that’s already boosted the S&P 500, the Dow Jones, the Nasdaq and the bitcoin price. Following Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell announcing a 50 basis point interest rate cut last month, meeting minutes have shown officials were at odds over the decision.
聯準會主席鮑威爾上個月開始了降息週期,這已經提振了標準普爾 500 指數、道瓊斯指數、納斯達克指數和比特幣價格。繼聯準會主席鮑威爾上個月宣布降息 50 個基點後,會議紀錄顯示官員對這項決定意見分歧。
Traders could be left scrambling if consumer price index (CPI) data due at 8:30am on Thursday misses the steady 3.2% year-on-year reading expected by a Reuters poll of economists.
如果週四上午 8:30 公佈的消費者物價指數 (CPI) 數據未能達到路透經濟學家調查所預期的穩定的 3.2% 同比增幅,交易員可能會手忙腳亂。
“Something’s got to give, and both stocks and bonds could be vulnerable if expectations are disappointed,” Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Wealth Management’s chief investment officer, warned in a Monday note to clients seen by Fortune, pointing to the market still pricing in Federal Reserve interest rate cuts usually seen in recessions.
摩根士丹利(NYSE:MS) 財富管理公司首席投資官麗莎·沙萊特(Lisa Shalett) 在《財富》雜誌看到的周一給客戶的報告中警告說:「必須有所放棄,如果預期落空,股票和債券都可能會受到影響。
Markets are now pricing in a more than 80% chance of a 25 basis point cut next month, the CME FedWatch tool showed, after the hot U.S. jobs report last week torpedoed expectations of a second 0.5% cut.
CME FedWatch 工具顯示,在上週熱門的美國就業報告破壞了第二次降息 0.5% 的預期後,市場目前預計下個月降息 25 個基點的可能性超過 80%。
“I am getting increasingly queasy about the fact that the equity market keeps on pricing in a soft landing,” JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) Asset Management’s David Kelly told Business Insider, warning investors “should dial back” exposure to risk assets such as bitcoin.
摩根大通(NYSE:JPM)資產管理公司的戴維·凱利(David Kelly)對《商業內幕》表示:「我對股市持續軟著陸定價這一事實感到越來越不安。」他警告投資者「應該減少”對比特幣等風險資產的投資。
Last month, Mark Spitznagel, founder and chief investment officer of Universa Investments, warned a broad market crash is about to hit gold, stocks and the bitcoin price.
上個月,Universa Investments 創始人兼首席投資官 Mark Spitznagel 警告稱,大範圍的市場崩盤即將打擊黃金、股票和比特幣價格。
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The bitcoin price has surged this year, climbing along with S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq stock markets, but sentiment has now fallen into “fear” territory.
今年比特幣價格飆升,與標準普爾 500 指數、道瓊斯指數和納斯達克股市一起上漲,但市場情緒目前已陷入「恐懼」區間。
“Gold is going to go down, cryptocurrencies will go down along with risk assets,” Spitznagel told Bloomberg, putting the stock market, bitcoin and gold in “black swan territory”—referring to sudden, unexpected shocks that can wipe out traders.
斯皮茨納格爾對彭博社表示:「黃金將會下跌,加密貨幣將會與風險資產一起下跌。」他將股市、比特幣和黃金置於「黑天鵝領域」——指的是突然的、意想不到的衝擊,可能會消滅交易者。
Bitcoin price correlation to stock markets has increased in recent months, with data from The Block showing bitcoin is trading in sync with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq indices.
近幾個月來,比特幣價格與股市的相關性增加,The Block 的數據顯示,比特幣的交易與標準普爾 500 指數和納斯達克指數同步。
The bitcoin price has fallen back from its recent highs as traders scale back bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and huge stimulus measures out of China fall short of market expectations.
由於交易員減少了對聯準會降息的押注,而且中國的大規模刺激措施未能達到市場預期,比特幣價格已從近期高點回落。
“Crypto sentiment has moved back into the fear zone,” Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro senior market analyst, wrote in an emailed note, pointing to the closely-watched bitcoin fear and greed index that has dropped sharply this week.
FxPro 高級市場分析師 Alex Kuptsikevich 在電子郵件報告中寫道:「加密貨幣情緒已回到恐懼區域。」他指出,備受關注的比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數本周大幅下跌。
“Volatility risks for the financial market will revolve around the monthly U.S. inflation report in case it deviates from expectations. For bitcoin, this is enough to both break support and start a new rally.”
「金融市場的波動風險將圍繞美國月度通膨報告展開,以防其偏離預期。對於比特幣來說,這足以打破支撐並開始新的反彈。
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