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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測:多頭會重整旗鼓,再次嘗試 9.5 萬美元,還是空頭會佔據主導地位?

2024/12/31 17:53

比特幣價格面臨看跌壓力,跌破93,000美元,過去24小時下跌1.12%。 CMC 恐懼與貪婪指數已降至 48

比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測:多頭會重整旗鼓,再次嘗試 9.5 萬美元,還是空頭會佔據主導地位?

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price faces bearish pressure on Monday, with a breakdown below the $93,000 level, marking a 1.12% drop in the past 24 hours. The Fear and Greed Index has also declined to 48, indicating growing uncertainty among investors.

比特幣(BTC)價格週一面臨看跌壓力,跌破 93,000 美元水平,過去 24 小時內下跌 1.12%。恐懼和貪婪指數也下降至 48,顯示投資者的不確定性不斷增加。

As BTC struggles to break past key resistance levels, technical indicators are suggesting potential downside risks, while analysts remain divided on the possibility of a bullish rebound.

隨著比特幣難以突破關鍵阻力位,技術指標顯示潛在的下行風險,而分析師對看漲反彈的可能性仍有分歧。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特幣價格分析

Respecting the long-coming resistance trend line in the 4-hour chart, the BTC price continues a bearish trend. As expected in our last article, the crucial support level at $92,750 failed to absorb the incoming supply.

4小時圖中長期阻力趨勢線,BTC價格持續看跌趨勢。正如我們在上一篇文章中所預期的那樣,92,750 美元的關鍵支撐位未能吸收即將到來的供應。

The breakdown rally almost reached the $90,000 level as predicted, making a low of $91,315. With the lower price rejections, the BTC price experienced an early reversal from the estimated target of $90,742.

突破反彈幾乎達到預期的 90,000 美元水平,最低點為 91,315 美元。隨著價格被拒絕,比特幣價格從預計目標 90,742 美元開始出現早期逆轉。

However, the bullish recovery to $92,748 failed to surpass the 20-EMA line and the resistance trendline. This led to a quick pullback below the $93,000 mark.

然而,看漲反彈至 92,748 美元,未能突破 20 日均線和阻力趨勢線。這導致價格快速回落至 93,000 美元大關以下。

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $92,748, with a minor recovery of 0.43% in the past 4 hours. The 4-hour RSI line shows a quick turnaround from the oversold region, suggesting a possibility of sideways continuation.

目前,比特幣交易價格為 92,748 美元,過去 4 小時小幅回升 0.43%。 4小時RSI線顯示從超賣區域快速轉向,表明可能繼續橫盤整理。

The consolidation range is expected to respect the $90,742 support zone while struggling to break through the resistance trendline.

盤整區間預計將尊重 90,742 美元的支撐區域,同時努力突破阻力趨勢線。

Fidelity Leads the Outflow Pack on December 30

富達 (Fidelity) 領先 12 月 30 日流出包

As the market experiences a pullback, institutional support for Bitcoin declines. On December 30, the daily total net inflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF registered an outflow of $426.13 million.

隨著市場回調,機構對比特幣的支持度下降。 12月30日,美國現貨比特幣ETF每日淨流入總額為4.2613億美元。

Leading the bearish pack, Fidelity saw an outflow of $154.64 million, followed by Grayscale with an exit of $134.5 million.

富達 (Fidelity) 的資金流出量為 1.5464 億美元,其次是灰階 (Grayscale),流出量為 1.345 億美元。

BTC Price Targets

比特幣價格目標

With the new year on the horizon, growing bullish anticipation may push Bitcoin above the resistance trendline.

隨著新的一年即將到來,日益增長的看漲預期可能會推動比特幣突破阻力趨勢線。

In this case, the BTC price could reach the immediate resistance level of $95,119. This is extremely close to the dynamic average line of the 50-EMA.

在這種情況下,BTC 價格可能會達到 95,119 美元的直接阻力位。這非常接近 50-EMA 的動態平均線。

On a side note, the 50-EMA has generated a death cross with the 200-EMA, signaling a potential sell-off. Furthermore, the declining 100-EMA is approaching the 200-EMA for another bearish crossover event.

順便說一句,50 日均線與 200 日均線形成死亡交叉,預示著潛在的拋售。此外,下降的 100 日均線正在逼近 200 日均線,這是另一個看跌交叉事件。

On the bearish front, a breakdown below $90,742 would open the door to the next support level at $86,707.

在看跌方面,跌破 90,742 美元將為下一個支撐位 86,707 美元打開大門。

Analyst Lights Hope for 2025

分析師點亮 2025 年的希望

Despite multiple sell signals, independent analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a massive potential for growth in Bitcoin.

儘管有多個賣出訊號,獨立分析師阿里·馬丁內斯還是強調了比特幣的巨大成長潛力。

Finding a correlation between the monthly RSI in previous market peaks and the Bitcoin Liquid Index, Martinez expects the BTC price trend to continue its bullish trajectory.

馬丁內斯發現先前市場高峰的月度 RSI 與比特幣流動性指數之間存在相關性,預計 BTC 價格趨勢將繼續其看漲軌跡。

In previous bull market peaks, the monthly RSI reached 92 before the start of the next bear market. Currently, the monthly RSI line sits at 75, suggesting that the ongoing bull run has more fuel left than the bears anticipate.

在之前的多頭高峰中,月度RSI在下一次熊市開始之前達到92。目前,月度 RSI 線位於 75,顯示持續的牛市剩餘燃料比空頭預期的還要多。

新聞來源:thecryptobasic.com

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