比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：多头会重整旗鼓，再次尝试 9.5 万美元，还是空头会占据主导地位？

比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93,000美元，过去24小时下跌1.12%。 CMC 恐惧与贪婪指数已降至 48

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price faces bearish pressure on Monday, with a breakdown below the $93,000 level, marking a 1.12% drop in the past 24 hours. The Fear and Greed Index has also declined to 48, indicating growing uncertainty among investors.

比特币（BTC）价格周一面临看跌压力，跌破 93,000 美元水平，过去 24 小时内下跌 1.12%。恐惧和贪婪指数也下降至 48，表明投资者的不确定性不断增加。

As BTC struggles to break past key resistance levels, technical indicators are suggesting potential downside risks, while analysts remain divided on the possibility of a bullish rebound.

随着比特币难以突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对看涨反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

Respecting the long-coming resistance trend line in the 4-hour chart, the BTC price continues a bearish trend. As expected in our last article, the crucial support level at $92,750 failed to absorb the incoming supply.

4小时图中长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续看跌趋势。正如我们在上一篇文章中所预期的那样，92,750 美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应。

The breakdown rally almost reached the $90,000 level as predicted, making a low of $91,315. With the lower price rejections, the BTC price experienced an early reversal from the estimated target of $90,742.

突破反弹几乎达到预期的 90,000 美元水平，最低点为 91,315 美元。随着价格被拒绝，比特币价格从预计目标 90,742 美元开始出现早期逆转。

However, the bullish recovery to $92,748 failed to surpass the 20-EMA line and the resistance trendline. This led to a quick pullback below the $93,000 mark.

然而，看涨反弹至 92,748 美元，未能突破 20 日均线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格快速回落至 93,000 美元大关以下。

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $92,748, with a minor recovery of 0.43% in the past 4 hours. The 4-hour RSI line shows a quick turnaround from the oversold region, suggesting a possibility of sideways continuation.

目前，比特币交易价格为 92,748 美元，过去 4 小时小幅回升 0.43%。 4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明可能继续横盘整理。

The consolidation range is expected to respect the $90,742 support zone while struggling to break through the resistance trendline.

盘整区间预计将尊重 90,742 美元的支撑区域，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。

Fidelity Leads the Outflow Pack on December 30

富达 (Fidelity) 领跑 12 月 30 日流出包

As the market experiences a pullback, institutional support for Bitcoin declines. On December 30, the daily total net inflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF registered an outflow of $426.13 million.

随着市场回调，机构对比特币的支持下降。 12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。

Leading the bearish pack, Fidelity saw an outflow of $154.64 million, followed by Grayscale with an exit of $134.5 million.

富达 (Fidelity) 的资金流出量为 1.5464 亿美元，其次是灰度 (Grayscale)，流出量为 1.345 亿美元。

BTC Price Targets

比特币价格目标

With the new year on the horizon, growing bullish anticipation may push Bitcoin above the resistance trendline.

随着新的一年即将到来，日益增长的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。

In this case, the BTC price could reach the immediate resistance level of $95,119. This is extremely close to the dynamic average line of the 50-EMA.

在这种情况下，BTC 价格可能会达到 95,119 美元的直接阻力位。这非常接近 50-EMA 的动态平均线。

On a side note, the 50-EMA has generated a death cross with the 200-EMA, signaling a potential sell-off. Furthermore, the declining 100-EMA is approaching the 200-EMA for another bearish crossover event.

顺便说一句，50 日均线与 200 日均线形成死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下降的 100 均线正在逼近 200 均线，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。

On the bearish front, a breakdown below $90,742 would open the door to the next support level at $86,707.

在看跌方面，跌破 90,742 美元将为下一个支撑位 86,707 美元打开大门。

Analyst Lights Hope for 2025

分析师点亮 2025 年的希望

Despite multiple sell signals, independent analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a massive potential for growth in Bitcoin.

尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯还是强调了比特币的巨大增长潜力。

Finding a correlation between the monthly RSI in previous market peaks and the Bitcoin Liquid Index, Martinez expects the BTC price trend to continue its bullish trajectory.

马丁内斯发现之前市场峰值的月度 RSI 与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，预计 BTC 价格趋势将继续其看涨轨迹。

In previous bull market peaks, the monthly RSI reached 92 before the start of the next bear market. Currently, the monthly RSI line sits at 75, suggesting that the ongoing bull run has more fuel left than the bears anticipate.

在之前的牛市高峰中，月度RSI在下一次熊市开始之前达到92。目前，月度 RSI 线位于 75，表明持续的牛市剩余燃料比空头预期的要多。