比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：隨著 ETF 流入激增，BTC/USD 多頭目標為 11 萬美元

比特幣/美元貨幣對的漲勢在日線圖上形成十字燭台圖案和上升楔形後暫停。

Bearish View

看跌觀點

The BTC/USD pair’s recent rally took a breather after forming a doji candlestick pattern and a rising wedge on the daily chart. Bitcoin remained stuck below $101,000 after the recent strong rally, with some traders booking profits.

在日線圖上形成十字燭台圖案和上升楔形後，比特幣/美元近期的漲勢暫停了。在最近的強勁反彈之後，比特幣仍停留在 101,000 美元下方，一些交易者獲利了結。

However, BTC’s pullback occurred despite the coin continuing to enjoy strong fundamentals. The most critical one is the ongoing ETF inflows.

然而，儘管比特幣繼續享有強勁的基本面，但比特幣還是出現了回檔。最關鍵的是ETF資金持續流入。

Since November 27, spot Bitcoin ETFs have had a strong net inflow in each trading session. The total inflows have risen to over $36.7 billion, while the total assets under management have increased to over $121 billion.

自11月27日以來，現貨比特幣ETF在每個交易日都有強勁的淨流入。總流入額已增至超過 367 億美元，而管理的總資產已增至超過 1,210 億美元。

Blackrock’s ETF has emerged as the biggest player in the industry, with over $58.57 billion in assets. It is followed by Grayscale’s GBTC, with $22.3 billion, and Fidelity’s ETF, with $22.16 billion in assets. These assets are set to continue rising as demand increases.

Blackrock 的 ETF 已成為該行業最大的參與者，資產超過 585.7 億美元。其次是 Grayscale 的 GBTC（資產 223 億美元）和 Fidelity 的 ETF（資產 221.6 億美元）。隨著需求的增加，這些資產將持續增加。

The BTC/USD pair also retreated following the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. As widely anticipated, the bank slashed interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the year-to-date cuts to 1%.

在聯準會利率決定後，比特幣/美元匯率也有所回落。正如廣泛預期的那樣，該銀行將利率下調了 0.25%，使年初至今的降息幅度達到 1%。

Moreover, the bank hinted at future rate cuts, albeit at a gradual pace. The bank is concerned about the labor market, with inflation rising to 4.2% in November. It is also worried about inflation, which has remained above the 2% target rate.

此外，該銀行暗示未來將降息，儘管是漸進的。該銀行對勞動市場表示擔憂，11 月通膨率升至 4.2%。它還擔心通膨率仍高於2%的目標率。

BTC/USD Technical Analysis:

比特幣/美元技術分析：

On the daily chart, we can see that the BTC/USD pair has been in an uptrend, recently hitting the critical resistance level at 100,000. It has formed an ascending channel, which appears to be a rising wedge pattern, a common bearish technical indicator.

從日線圖上我們可以看到，BTC/USD貨幣對一直處於上升趨勢，最近觸及100,000點的關鍵阻力位。它已經形成了一個上升通道，看起來是一個上升楔形形態，是一種常見的看跌技術指標。

Bitcoin also formed a small doji candlestick pattern, which is a reversal signal. This pattern consists of a very small body and an upper and lower shadow, indicating that the asset opened and closed at the same price during the session. The formation of a doji often precedes further downtrends.

比特幣還形成了小十字燭台圖案，這是一個反轉訊號。該形態由非常小的實體和上下影線組成，表明資產在交易期間以相同的價格開盤和收盤。十字星的形成通常先於進一步的下跌趨勢。

The BTC/USD pair has been trading above the 50-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. Therefore, the pair will likely experience a brief pullback, possibly retesting the support at 99,000 before continuing its uptrend.

BTC/USD 貨幣對一直在 50 日移動均線上方交易，這是一個看漲訊號。因此，該貨幣對可能會經歷短暫回調，並可能在繼續上升趨勢之前重新測試 99,000 點的支撐位。

If the BTC/USD pair rises above the year-to-date high of 108,250, it will confirm further upside potential. In this scenario, the pair could advance towards the next critical resistance level at 110,000.

如果 BTC/USD 貨幣對升至今年迄今高點 108,250 上方，則將確認進一步的上漲潛力。在這種情況下，該貨幣對可能會升至下一個關鍵阻力位 110,000 點。

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