2024 年比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：今年 BTC 會達到 10 萬美元嗎？

截至美國東部時間凌晨 04:40，比特幣價格在過去 24 小時內小幅下跌，交易價格為 67,353 美元，交易量暴跌 6%。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price fell 0.04% in the past 24 hours to trade at $67,353 as of 04:40 a.m. EST on Monday. Trading volume also dipped 6%.

截至美國東部時間週一凌晨 04:40，比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）價格在過去 24 小時內下跌 0.04%，交易價格為 67,353 美元。交易量也下降了 6%。

The apex cryptocurrency price dropped 3% in the past seven days, but rose 6% in the past 30 days, CoinGecko data showed.

CoinGecko 數據顯示，頂級加密貨幣價格在過去 7 天內下跌了 3%，但在過去 30 天內上漲了 6%。

As Bitcoin price continued to record lower highs with a series of red candlesticks for three consecutive days, 75,516 traders were liquidated across the cryptocurrency market.

隨著比特幣價格連續三天創下一系列紅色燭台的新高，整個加密貨幣市場有 75,516 名交易者被平倉。

This brought the total liquidations to $158.54 million, Coinglass data showed.

Coinglass 數據顯示，這使得清算總額達到 1.5854 億美元。

The largest single liquidation order happened on the Binance exchange, where the liquidated BTC/USDT value was $2.69 million.

最大單筆清算訂單發生在幣安交易所，清算的 BTC/USDT 價值為 269 萬美元。

Analysts observed that if the downtrend extends for Bitcoin price to slip below the $67,000 threshold, more traders were likely to be liquidated.

分析師觀察到，如果比特幣價格下跌趨勢延續至 67,000 美元以下，則可能會有更多交易者被清算。

Possible sweep of 67K again to nab those last liquidations left on $BTC pic.twitter.com/eKRpLm448d

可能再次掃蕩 67K，以獲取 BTC 上剩下的最後清算 pic.twitter.com/eKRpLm448d

— Francky (@franckster25) May 30, 2024

- 弗朗基 (@franckster25) 2024 年 5 月 30 日

Trader and analyst Crypto Rover on X said a strong move above the $74,000 threshold would see more than $9 billion worth of BTC shorts liquidated.

X 上的交易員兼分析師 Crypto Rover 表示，如果大幅突破 74,000 美元的門檻，價值超過 90 億美元的 BTC 空頭將被清算。

There will be over $9b worth of #Bitcoin short liquidations if $BTC hits $74k. pic.twitter.com/g579DCxv7h

如果 BTC 觸及 7.4 萬美元，將會有超過 90 億美元的 #Bitcoin 空頭清算。 pic.twitter.com/g579DCxv7h

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) May 29, 2024

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) 2024 年 5 月 29 日

Meanwhile, all eyes were on BlackRock as the firm’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:IBIT) became the world’s largest Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). It surpassed Grayscale’s Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:GBTC) in terms of BTC holdings.

同時，所有人的目光都集中在貝萊德身上，該公司的 iShares 比特幣信託基金（NYSE：IBIT）成為全球最大的比特幣現貨交易所交易基金（ETF）。就比特幣持有量而言，它超過了灰階的灰階比特幣信託基金（NYSE：GBTC）。

Total assets now approach $20 billion since its listing in the US at the beginning of this year. BlackRock held a total of 288,670 Bitcoin, slightly more than Grayscale’s 287,450 Bitcoin.

自今年初在美國上市以來，其總資產現已接近200億美元。貝萊德總共持有 288,670 枚比特幣，略多於灰階的 287,450 枚比特幣。

#BLACKROCK HAS FLIPPED GRAYSCALE IN TERMS OF THE NUMBER OF #BITCOIN📷 HOLD. 👀 pic.twitter.com/t8PrwEMSho

#BLACKROCK 在 #BITCOIN📷 持有數量方面已經翻轉了灰階。 👀 pic.twitter.com/t8PrwEMSho

— hinchibun (@hinchibun) May 30, 2024

- hinchibun (@hinchibun) 2024 年 5 月 30 日

BlackRock also made headlines after filing an updated version of its spot Ethereum ETF S-1 application. It came after VanEck made a similar move, as part of a series of filings expected in the coming weeks as the SEC prepares to review the applications.

貝萊德在提交其現貨以太坊 ETF S-1 申請的更新版本後也成為頭條新聞。先前 VanEck 也採取了類似的舉措，作為 SEC 準備審查申請的未來幾週預計將提交的一系列文件的一部分。

The filing sparked optimism among crypto enthusiasts, who anticipated significant price movements for Ethereum after ETH ETF approvals on May 23.

該文件激發了加密貨幣愛好者的樂觀情緒，他們預計 ETH ETF 於 5 月 23 日獲得批准後，以太坊的價格將大幅波動。

BLACKROCK FILED AN UPDATED VERSION OF ITS SPOT ETHEREUM ETF S-1 APPLICATIONhttps://t.co/FqVaudgusR pic.twitter.com/n3RoETGIsY

貝萊德提交了現貨以太坊 ETF S-1 申請的更新版本https://t.co/FqVaudgusR pic.twitter.com/n3RoETGIsY

— Phoenix » PhoenixNews.io (@PhoenixTrades_) May 29, 2024

— 鳳凰城 » PhoenixNews.io (@PhoenixTrades_) 2024 年 5 月 29 日

Bitcoin Price Prediction

比特幣價格預測

Bitcoin price showed signs of dumping, testing immediate support at the Bollinger indicator’s centerline at $66,825 (Chart).

比特幣價格顯示出拋售跡象，測試布林線指標中心線 66,825 美元的即時支撐（圖表）。

The confluence of this buyer congestion level and the support offered at $66,547 was critical for Bitcoin price. If it breaks, BTC could spiral all the way to the $60,500 support.

買家擁擠程度和 66,547 美元的支撐位的結合對於比特幣價格至關重要。如果突破，BTC 可能會一路飆升至 60,500 美元的支撐位。

A breakdown of the $60,500 threshold, followed by an extended leg down to record a lower low near the $55,000 threshold, would negate the big-picture bullish outlook.

如果跌破 60,500 美元關口，隨後進一步下跌，創下接近 55,000 美元關卡的較低低點，則大局看漲前景將被否定。

Notice the Relative Strength Index (RSI) that is subdued and could drop below the mean threshold of 50 if the bears have their way. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also hinted at a possible sell signal, which though already executed, is pending confirmation. An extended slip below the orange band of the signal line could trigger more selling pressure.

請注意，相對強弱指數 (RSI) 受到抑制，如果空頭得逞，可能會跌至平均閾值 50 以下。移動平均線趨同分歧（MACD）也暗示可能出現賣出訊號，儘管該訊號已被執行，但仍有待確認。如果長期跌破訊號線的橘色帶，可能會引發更大的拋售壓力。

It is also impossible to ignore the red histogram nodes on the volume profile whose sizes are dwindling. This suggests a burgeoning bearish sentiment that could see the downtrend extend for Bitcoin price.

也不可能忽略體積輪廓上尺寸正在縮小的紅色直方圖節點。這顯示看跌情緒正在興起，比特幣價格的下跌趨勢可能會延續。

GeckoTerminal: BTC/USD 1-day chart

GeckoTerminal：BTC/USD 1 日圖表

On the other hand, if the RSI holds above the threshold of 50, Bitcoin price could bounce above the $66,547 support level. To confirm the continuation of the climb, however, BTC bulls must achieve a stable close above $71,147 in the one-day timeframe.

另一方面，如果 RSI 保持在 50 之上，比特幣價格可能會反彈至 66,547 美元的支撐位之上。然而，為了確認繼續上漲，BTC 多頭必須在一日時間內穩定收在 71,147 美元上方。

While Bitcoin price maintained the risk of more bearish sentiment, some trader are pivoting to 99BTC, a new learn-to-earn ICO that YouTuber Crypto Boy said had the potential

儘管比特幣價格仍有進一步看跌情緒的風險，但一些交易者正在轉向 99BTC，這是一種新的學習賺錢 ICO，YouTuber Crypto Boy 表示該項目具有潛力