2024 年比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：今年 BTC 会达到 10 万美元吗？

截至美国东部时间凌晨 04:40，比特币价格在过去 24 小时内小幅下跌，交易价格为 67,353 美元，交易量暴跌 6%。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price fell 0.04% in the past 24 hours to trade at $67,353 as of 04:40 a.m. EST on Monday. Trading volume also dipped 6%.

截至美国东部时间周一凌晨 04:40，比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）价格在过去 24 小时内下跌 0.04%，交易价格为 67,353 美元。交易量也下降了 6%。

The apex cryptocurrency price dropped 3% in the past seven days, but rose 6% in the past 30 days, CoinGecko data showed.

CoinGecko 数据显示，顶级加密货币价格在过去 7 天内下跌了 3%，但在过去 30 天内上涨了 6%。

As Bitcoin price continued to record lower highs with a series of red candlesticks for three consecutive days, 75,516 traders were liquidated across the cryptocurrency market.

随着比特币价格连续三天创下一系列红色烛台的新高，整个加密货币市场有 75,516 名交易者被平仓。

This brought the total liquidations to $158.54 million, Coinglass data showed.

Coinglass 数据显示，这使得清算总额达到 1.5854 亿美元。

The largest single liquidation order happened on the Binance exchange, where the liquidated BTC/USDT value was $2.69 million.

最大单笔清算订单发生在币安交易所，清算的 BTC/USDT 价值为 269 万美元。

Analysts observed that if the downtrend extends for Bitcoin price to slip below the $67,000 threshold, more traders were likely to be liquidated.

分析师观察到，如果比特币价格下跌趋势延续至 67,000 美元以下，则可能会有更多交易者被清算。

Possible sweep of 67K again to nab those last liquidations left on $BTC pic.twitter.com/eKRpLm448d

可能再次扫荡 67K，以获取 BTC 上剩下的最后清算 pic.twitter.com/eKRpLm448d

— Francky (@franckster25) May 30, 2024

- 弗朗基 (@franckster25) 2024 年 5 月 30 日

Trader and analyst Crypto Rover on X said a strong move above the $74,000 threshold would see more than $9 billion worth of BTC shorts liquidated.

X 上的交易员兼分析师 Crypto Rover 表示，如果大幅突破 74,000 美元的门槛，价值超过 90 亿美元的 BTC 空头将被清算。

There will be over $9b worth of #Bitcoin short liquidations if $BTC hits $74k. pic.twitter.com/g579DCxv7h

如果 BTC 触及 7.4 万美元，将会有超过 90 亿美元的 #Bitcoin 空头清算。 pic.twitter.com/g579DCxv7h

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) May 29, 2024

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) 2024 年 5 月 29 日

Meanwhile, all eyes were on BlackRock as the firm’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:IBIT) became the world’s largest Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). It surpassed Grayscale’s Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:GBTC) in terms of BTC holdings.

与此同时，所有人的目光都集中在贝莱德身上，该公司的 iShares 比特币信托基金（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBIT）成为全球最大的比特币现货交易所交易基金（ETF）。就比特币持有量而言，它超过了灰度的灰度比特币信托基金（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GBTC）。

Total assets now approach $20 billion since its listing in the US at the beginning of this year. BlackRock held a total of 288,670 Bitcoin, slightly more than Grayscale’s 287,450 Bitcoin.

自今年年初在美国上市以来，其总资产现已接近200亿美元。贝莱德总共持有 288,670 枚比特币，略多于灰度的 287,450 枚比特币。

#BLACKROCK HAS FLIPPED GRAYSCALE IN TERMS OF THE NUMBER OF #BITCOIN📷 HOLD. 👀 pic.twitter.com/t8PrwEMSho

#BLACKROCK 在 #BITCOIN📷 持有数量方面已经翻转了灰度。 👀 pic.twitter.com/t8PrwEMSho

— hinchibun (@hinchibun) May 30, 2024

- hinchibun (@hinchibun) 2024 年 5 月 30 日

BlackRock also made headlines after filing an updated version of its spot Ethereum ETF S-1 application. It came after VanEck made a similar move, as part of a series of filings expected in the coming weeks as the SEC prepares to review the applications.

贝莱德在提交其现货以太坊 ETF S-1 申请的更新版本后也成为头条新闻。此前 VanEck 也采取了类似的举措，作为 SEC 准备审查申请的未来几周预计将提交的一系列文件的一部分。

The filing sparked optimism among crypto enthusiasts, who anticipated significant price movements for Ethereum after ETH ETF approvals on May 23.

该文件激发了加密货币爱好者的乐观情绪，他们预计 ETH ETF 于 5 月 23 日获得批准后，以太坊的价格将出现大幅波动。

BLACKROCK FILED AN UPDATED VERSION OF ITS SPOT ETHEREUM ETF S-1 APPLICATIONhttps://t.co/FqVaudgusR pic.twitter.com/n3RoETGIsY

贝莱德提交了现货以太坊 ETF S-1 申请的更新版本https://t.co/FqVaudgusR pic.twitter.com/n3RoETGIsY

— Phoenix » PhoenixNews.io (@PhoenixTrades_) May 29, 2024

— 凤凰城 » PhoenixNews.io (@PhoenixTrades_) 2024 年 5 月 29 日

Bitcoin Price Prediction

比特币价格预测

Bitcoin price showed signs of dumping, testing immediate support at the Bollinger indicator’s centerline at $66,825 (Chart).

比特币价格显示出抛售迹象，测试布林线指标中心线 66,825 美元的即时支撑（图表）。

The confluence of this buyer congestion level and the support offered at $66,547 was critical for Bitcoin price. If it breaks, BTC could spiral all the way to the $60,500 support.

买家拥挤程度和 66,547 美元的支撑位的结合对于比特币价格至关重要。如果突破，BTC 可能会一路飙升至 60,500 美元的支撑位。

A breakdown of the $60,500 threshold, followed by an extended leg down to record a lower low near the $55,000 threshold, would negate the big-picture bullish outlook.

如果跌破 60,500 美元关口，随后进一步下跌，创下接近 55,000 美元关口的较低低点，则大局看涨前景将被否定。

Notice the Relative Strength Index (RSI) that is subdued and could drop below the mean threshold of 50 if the bears have their way. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also hinted at a possible sell signal, which though already executed, is pending confirmation. An extended slip below the orange band of the signal line could trigger more selling pressure.

请注意，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 受到抑制，如果空头得逞，可能会跌至平均阈值 50 以下。移动平均线趋同分歧（MACD）也暗示可能出现卖出信号，尽管该信号已被执行，但仍有待确认。如果长期跌破信号线的橙色带，可能会引发更大的抛售压力。

It is also impossible to ignore the red histogram nodes on the volume profile whose sizes are dwindling. This suggests a burgeoning bearish sentiment that could see the downtrend extend for Bitcoin price.

也不可能忽略体积轮廓上尺寸正在缩小的红色直方图节点。这表明看跌情绪正在兴起，比特币价格的下跌趋势可能会延续。

GeckoTerminal: BTC/USD 1-day chart

GeckoTerminal：BTC/USD 1 日图表

On the other hand, if the RSI holds above the threshold of 50, Bitcoin price could bounce above the $66,547 support level. To confirm the continuation of the climb, however, BTC bulls must achieve a stable close above $71,147 in the one-day timeframe.

另一方面，如果 RSI 保持在 50 之上，比特币价格可能会反弹至 66,547 美元的支撑位之上。然而，为了确认继续上涨，BTC 多头必须在一日时间内稳定收于 71,147 美元上方。

While Bitcoin price maintained the risk of more bearish sentiment, some trader are pivoting to 99BTC, a new learn-to-earn ICO that YouTuber Crypto Boy said had the potential

尽管比特币价格仍存在进一步看跌情绪的风险，但一些交易者正在转向 99BTC，这是一种新的学习赚钱 ICO，YouTuber Crypto Boy 表示该项目具有潜力