比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC是否會在86,000美元以上突破以表明恢復的開始？

比特幣目前的水平高於81,000美元的水平，但公牛繼續在收回86,000美元的大關方面掙扎 - 這是必須損壞的關鍵阻力，以表明有意義的恢復的開始。

The average funding rate across four major exchanges (Binance, ByBit, OKX, and Deribit) has recently dropped into negative territory and is now hovering just above zero, according to top analyst Axel Adler.

根據頂級分析師Axel Adler的說法，根據頂級分析師Axel Adler的說法，跨四個主要交易所（Binance，Bybit，Okx和Deribit）的平均融資率最近降至負領土，現在徘徊在零以上。

This setup has occurred five times in the current cycle, and four of those instances led to price increases, while only one resulted in a further decline, making it a potentially important signal to watch.

在當前週期中，這種設置發生了五次，其中四個實例導致價格上漲，而只有一個導致了進一步的下降，這使其成為一個潛在的重要信號。

As macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating trade war fears continue to dominate headlines, bulls are struggling to reclaim the $86,000 mark — a key resistance that must be broken to signal the start of a meaningful recovery.

隨著宏觀經濟的不確定性和不斷升級的貿易戰爭的恐懼繼續主導著頭條新聞，公牛隊正在努力奪回86,000美元的大關，這是必須打破的關鍵抵抗，以表明有意義的恢復的開始。

However, the lack of bullish momentum has left traders somewhat pessimistic, especially with several analysts expecting a deeper breakdown if crucial support levels are lost.

但是，缺乏看漲的勢頭使交易者有些悲觀，尤其是在幾位分析師期望失去關鍵支持水平的情況下會更深的崩潰。

Global markets remain fragile, and high-risk assets like Bitcoin are feeling the pressure as a result. Despite managing to hold above a critical support zone, the cryptocurrency's inability to push higher has left traders cautious and sentiment subdued.

全球市場仍然脆弱，因此，像比特幣這樣的高風險資產正在感覺到壓力。儘管設法超過了關鍵的支持區，但加密貨幣無法推動更高的推動，這使交易者謹慎而情緒。

"Several on-chain signals are quietly turning positive," said Adler as he shared new insights.

阿德勒分享了新見解時說：“幾個鏈上信號悄悄地轉向積極。”

"The corporate sector has resumed accumulating Bitcoin, spot market selling pressure is low, experienced investors have stopped selling, and LTHs are back in accumulation mode. These signs suggest that market conditions are normalizing after a period of overheating."

“公司部門已經恢復了積累比特幣，現貨市場銷售壓力很低，經驗豐富的投資者停止銷售，而LTHS又重新累積了。這些跡象表明，過熱一段時間後市場條件正常化。”

However, he believes that the key issue now is the macro backdrop. Only positive signals from the Fed or the Trump Administration can reintroduce strong inflows — particularly through ETFs. A renewed cash influx could act as the catalyst for a major breakout.

但是，他認為現在的關鍵問題是宏觀背景。只有來自美聯儲或特朗普政府的積極信號才能重新引入大量的流入，尤其是通過ETF。新的現金湧入可以充當重大突破的催化劑。

"Major speculators also need a clear target to aim for in the next quarter," he said.

他說：“主要投機者還需要一個明確的目標才能在下一個季度實現目標。”

"Considering the significant price appreciation since the start of the year, aiming for another 50% price increase seems like a logical goal, which would put a $130,000 price target in sight."

“考慮到自今年年初以來的價格讚賞，目標是又有50％的價格上漲似乎是一個合乎邏輯的目標，這將使目標價為130,000美元。”

For now, Bitcoin's next move will depend on whether macro conditions ease — or continue to weigh down an otherwise structurally strong market.

目前，比特幣的下一步行動將取決於宏觀條件是否緩解 - 還是繼續壓低原本結構強的市場。