比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC會銷售高於$ 86,000還是跌至83,000美元以下？

比特幣現在處於關鍵時刻，因為其價格繼續在狹窄的樂隊內，徘徊在83,000美元以上，低於$ 86,000

Bitcoin is now at a pivotal moment as its price continues to range within a narrow band, hovering above $83,000 and below $86,000 since last Saturday. The tight consolidation reflects market hesitation, as traders and investors brace for a significant move in either direction.

比特幣現在處於關鍵時刻，因為自上週六以來，其價格持續不斷增加，徘徊在83,000美元以上，低於86,000美元。緊張的合併反映了市場猶豫，因為貿易商和投資者為朝任一方向做出重大行動而做好了重大行動。

With global tensions rising and macroeconomic conditions showing no signs of improvement, many analysts argue that a bear market scenario could unfold if economic pressure persists. However, on-chain data tells a slightly more optimistic story, especially when looking at Bitcoin miners.

隨著全球緊張局勢加劇和宏觀經濟狀況沒有改善的跡象，許多分析家認為，如果經濟壓力持續存在，則熊市的情況可能會發生。但是，鍊鍊數據講述了一個更樂觀的故事，尤其是在看比特幣礦工時。

Miners Are Holding Up Well Despite Recent Price Drop

儘管價格下跌，但礦工仍保持良好的狀態

As macroeconomic worries continue to affect market sentiment, a deeper look into on-chain data offers interesting insights, especially for long-term Bitcoin holders.

隨著宏觀經濟的擔憂繼續影響市場的情緒，對鏈上數據的更深入的看法提供了有趣的見解，尤其是對於長期比特幣持有者而言。

The ongoing escalation of tariffs between the United States and China has fueled fears of a prolonged trade war, leading to widespread caution in markets across the globe, and crypto is no exception. Uncertainty around economic policy, inflation, and interest rates has created a risk-off environment that stalls momentum for even top digital assets like Bitcoin.

美國和中國之間關稅的持續升級引起了人們對延長貿易戰爭的擔憂，導致全球市場的普遍謹慎，加密貨幣也不例外。圍繞經濟政策，通貨膨脹和利率的不確定性創造了一個冒險環境，即使比特幣等頂級數字資產也能使勢頭停滯不前。

However, a potential resolution or pause in trade tensions could quickly reignite bullish momentum across markets. According to top analyst Axel Adler, there’s already a strong signal of underlying strength: Bitcoin miners.

但是，貿易緊張局勢的潛在解決方案或停頓可能會迅速在市場之間迅速重新點燃看漲勢頭。據頂級分析師阿克塞爾·阿德勒（Axel Adler）稱，已經有強烈的潛在強度信號：比特幣礦工。

Adler noted that miners are reportedly selling their coins to cover costs, and despite the recent price drop, their sentiment is steadily rising, suggesting they are coping well with the selling pressure. This behavior indicates that the selling is not rooted in panic or capitulation but rather in external economic stress.

阿德勒（Adler）指出，據報導，礦工正在出售硬幣以支付成本，儘管最近的價格下跌，但他們的情緒仍在穩步上升，這表明他們正在很好地應對銷售壓力。這種行為表明，銷售不是源於恐慌或屈服的，而是源於外部經濟壓力。

Miners, often seen as the backbone of the Bitcoin network, appear to be confident in the asset’s long-term value, continuing to mine new coins and contribute to securing the network, even as they adjust to the challenges of the current macroeconomic landscape.

礦工通常被視為比特幣網絡的骨幹，似乎對資產的長期價值充滿信心，繼續挖掘新硬幣並為確保網絡做出貢獻，即使他們適應了當前宏觀經濟景觀的挑戰。

In this context, the current pullback is being interpreted more as a macro-driven correction than the start of a structural bear market. If global tensions ease and BTC reclaims supply zones above $87,000, it could set the stage for a new leg up in the ongoing cycle.

在這種情況下，與結構性熊市的開始相比，當前的回調更被解釋為宏驅動的校正。如果全球緊張局勢緩解和BTC收回了超過87,000美元的供應區，它可能會為正在進行的周期中的新腿奠定基礎。

BTC Price Must Hold Crucial Support to Avoid Deeper Correction

BTC價格必須擁有至關重要的支持，以避免更深入的更正

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,400 after several days of struggling to reclaim momentum above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

經過數天的努力恢復勢頭，比特幣目前的交易價格為84,400美元，高於200天的指數移動平均線（EMA）。

Despite bouncing from recent lows and staging a partial recovery attempt, bulls continue to face strong resistance as they try to regain control of the trend. The key objective now is to reclaim the $89,000 level—a breakout above this point would not only push BTC past the 200-day simple moving average (MA), but also mark a fresh high for the first time since March.

儘管最近的低點彈跳並進行了部分恢復嘗試，但公牛在試圖重新控制趨勢時仍然面臨著強烈的抵抗。現在的關鍵目標是恢復$ 89,000的水平 - 超過這一點的突破不僅將BTC超過200天簡單的移動平均線（MA），而且自3月以來首次是新的高點。

However, the path ahead remains uncertain. To avoid a deeper pullback, bulls must defend the $82,000 level, which now acts as a crucial near-term support.

但是，前進的道路仍然不確定。為了避免更深層的回調，公牛必須捍衛$ 82,000的水平，這現在是至關重要的近期支持。

Holding above this mark is essential to prevent bearish continuation, as any drop below $82K could accelerate losses and send BTC toward the $75,000 zone—a level not seen since the start of the current correction.

在此標記上方保持這一標記對於防止看跌持續性至關重要，因為任何低於$ 82K的跌落都可以加速損失並將BTC送到75,000美元的區域，這是自當前校正開始以來就沒有看到的水平。

Market sentiment remains cautious amid ongoing global tensions and mixed macroeconomic signals. If bulls can manage to reclaim $89K, it could trigger a renewed rally and restore short-term confidence in the broader crypto market. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a fragile consolidation phase, with momentum hinging on reclaiming key resistance levels.

由於持續的全球緊張局勢和混合的宏觀經濟信號，市場情緒仍然謹慎。如果公牛能夠設法回收8.9萬美元，它可能會引發新的集會並恢復對更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的短期信心。在此之前，比特幣仍處於脆弱的鞏固階段，動量鉸接在收回鑰匙電阻水平上。