比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC会销售高于$ 86,000还是跌至83,000美元以下？

比特币现在处于关键时刻，因为其价格继续在狭窄的乐队内，徘徊在83,000美元以上，低于$ 86,000

Bitcoin is now at a pivotal moment as its price continues to range within a narrow band, hovering above $83,000 and below $86,000 since last Saturday. The tight consolidation reflects market hesitation, as traders and investors brace for a significant move in either direction.

比特币现在处于关键时刻，因为自上周六以来，其价格持续不断增加，徘徊在83,000美元以上，低于86,000美元。紧张的合并反映了市场犹豫，因为贸易商和投资者为朝任一方向做出重大行动而做好了重大行动。

With global tensions rising and macroeconomic conditions showing no signs of improvement, many analysts argue that a bear market scenario could unfold if economic pressure persists. However, on-chain data tells a slightly more optimistic story, especially when looking at Bitcoin miners.

随着全球紧张局势加剧和宏观经济状况没有改善的迹象，许多分析家认为，如果经济压力持续存在，则熊市的情况可能会发生。但是，链链数据讲述了一个更乐观的故事，尤其是在看比特币矿工时。

Miners Are Holding Up Well Despite Recent Price Drop

尽管价格下跌，但矿工仍保持良好的状态

As macroeconomic worries continue to affect market sentiment, a deeper look into on-chain data offers interesting insights, especially for long-term Bitcoin holders.

随着宏观经济的担忧继续影响市场的情绪，对链上数据的更深入的看法提供了有趣的见解，尤其是对于长期比特币持有者而言。

The ongoing escalation of tariffs between the United States and China has fueled fears of a prolonged trade war, leading to widespread caution in markets across the globe, and crypto is no exception. Uncertainty around economic policy, inflation, and interest rates has created a risk-off environment that stalls momentum for even top digital assets like Bitcoin.

美国和中国之间关税的持续升级引起了人们对延长贸易战争的担忧，导致全球市场的普遍谨慎，加密货币也不例外。围绕经济政策，通货膨胀和利率的不确定性创造了一个冒险环境，即使比特币等顶级数字资产也能使势头停滞不前。

However, a potential resolution or pause in trade tensions could quickly reignite bullish momentum across markets. According to top analyst Axel Adler, there’s already a strong signal of underlying strength: Bitcoin miners.

但是，贸易紧张局势的潜在解决方案或停顿可能会迅速在市场之间迅速重新点燃看涨势头。据顶级分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒（Axel Adler）称，已经有强烈的潜在强度信号：比特币矿工。

Adler noted that miners are reportedly selling their coins to cover costs, and despite the recent price drop, their sentiment is steadily rising, suggesting they are coping well with the selling pressure. This behavior indicates that the selling is not rooted in panic or capitulation but rather in external economic stress.

阿德勒（Adler）指出，据报道，矿工正在出售硬币以支付成本，尽管最近的价格下跌，但他们的情绪仍在稳步上升，这表明他们正在很好地应对销售压力。这种行为表明，销售不是源于恐慌或屈服的，而是源于外部经济压力。

Miners, often seen as the backbone of the Bitcoin network, appear to be confident in the asset’s long-term value, continuing to mine new coins and contribute to securing the network, even as they adjust to the challenges of the current macroeconomic landscape.

矿工通常被视为比特币网络的骨干，似乎对资产的长期价值充满信心，继续挖掘新硬币并为确保网络做出贡献，即使他们适应了当前宏观经济景观的挑战。

In this context, the current pullback is being interpreted more as a macro-driven correction than the start of a structural bear market. If global tensions ease and BTC reclaims supply zones above $87,000, it could set the stage for a new leg up in the ongoing cycle.

在这种情况下，与结构性熊市的开始相比，当前的回调更被解释为宏驱动的校正。如果全球紧张局势缓解和BTC收回了超过87,000美元的供应区，它可能会为正在进行的周期中的新腿奠定基础。

BTC Price Must Hold Crucial Support to Avoid Deeper Correction

BTC价格必须拥有至关重要的支持，以避免更深入的更正

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,400 after several days of struggling to reclaim momentum above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

经过数天的努力恢复势头，比特币目前的交易价格为84,400美元，高于200天的指数移动平均线（EMA）。

Despite bouncing from recent lows and staging a partial recovery attempt, bulls continue to face strong resistance as they try to regain control of the trend. The key objective now is to reclaim the $89,000 level—a breakout above this point would not only push BTC past the 200-day simple moving average (MA), but also mark a fresh high for the first time since March.

尽管最近的低点弹跳并进行了部分恢复尝试，但公牛在试图重新控制趋势时仍然面临着强烈的抵抗。现在的关键目标是恢复$ 89,000的水平 - 超过这一点的突破不仅将BTC超过200天简单的移动平均线（MA），而且自3月以来首次是新的高点。

However, the path ahead remains uncertain. To avoid a deeper pullback, bulls must defend the $82,000 level, which now acts as a crucial near-term support.

但是，前进的道路仍然不确定。为了避免更深层的回调，公牛必须捍卫$ 82,000的水平，这现在是至关重要的近期支持。

Holding above this mark is essential to prevent bearish continuation, as any drop below $82K could accelerate losses and send BTC toward the $75,000 zone—a level not seen since the start of the current correction.

在此标记上方保持这一标记对于防止看跌持续性至关重要，因为任何低于$ 82K的跌落都可以加速损失并将BTC送到75,000美元的区域，这是自当前校正开始以来就没有看到的水平。

Market sentiment remains cautious amid ongoing global tensions and mixed macroeconomic signals. If bulls can manage to reclaim $89K, it could trigger a renewed rally and restore short-term confidence in the broader crypto market. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a fragile consolidation phase, with momentum hinging on reclaiming key resistance levels.

由于持续的全球紧张局势和混合的宏观经济信号，市场情绪仍然谨慎。如果公牛能够设法回收8.9万美元，它可能会引发新的集会并恢复对更广泛的加密货币市场的短期信心。在此之前，比特币仍处于脆弱的巩固阶段，动量铰接在收回钥匙电阻水平上。