比特幣（BTC）價格徘徊在$ 85,000的售價近85,000美元

在壓力下的風險資產下，市場等待美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的明確性，他的立場可以塑造BTC的下一步行動。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered near the $85,000 mark on Wednesday, as traders prepared for the latest interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.

比特幣（BTC）的價格徘徊在周三的85,000美元左右，因為交易員為美聯儲最新的利率決定做準備。

With risk assets coming under pressure, markets looked to clues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose stance could shape Bitcoin’s next move.

隨著風險資產承受壓力，市場看待美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的線索，杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的立場可以塑造比特幣的下一步行動。

Bitcoin Price Holds Above $80K but Faces Resistance

比特幣價格售價高於$ 80K，但面對阻力

Bitcoin tested critical resistance levels as it climbed past $84,000 ahead of the March 15 Wall Street open.

比特幣測試了關鍵阻力水平，因為它在3月15日華爾街開放之前攀升了84,000美元。

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting local highs of $84,358 on Bitstamp.

TradingView的數據顯示，BTC/USD在Bitstamp上達到了84,358美元的本地高點。

Despite holding above $80,000 for most of the week, the broader market backdrop remained uncertain. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 4% and 8.7% year-to-date, while Bitcoin lost 10% in the same period.

儘管一周的大部分時間都持有超過80,000美元的股份，但更廣泛的市場背景仍然不確定。標準普爾500指數和納斯達克綜合指數逐年下降4％和8.7％，而比特幣同期損失了10％。

Analysts at QCP Capital warned that Bitcoin’s support at $80,000 seemed “tenuous at best” amid growing macroeconomic concerns. The firm noted in its latest bulletin,

QCP Capital的分析師警告說，由於宏觀經濟問題的越來越多，比特幣的支持在80,000美元似乎是“脆弱的”。該公司在其最新公告中指出

“We won’t attempt to call the exact moment when the music stops, but in the short term, we struggle to identify meaningful tailwinds to reverse this rout.”

“我們不會試圖調用音樂停止的確切時刻，但是在短期內，我們努力識別有意義的尾風以扭轉這一潰敗。”

FOMC Decision May Trigger Volatility

FOMC的決定可能會觸發波動

The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool placed a 99% probability on policymakers keeping the federal funds rate steady in the 4.25%-4.5% range.

CME集團的FedWatch工具對決策者的概率為99％，使聯邦資金率在4.25％-4.4.5％的範圍內穩定。

However, Powell’s remarks would be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s direction.

但是，鮑威爾的言論在確定比特幣方向方面至關重要。

“A dovish tone that reduces recessionary fears could send Bitcoin price above the 200-day and 21-day moving averages,” said Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators. The two key levels currently stood at $84,995 and $84,350, respectively.

“減少經濟衰退恐懼的骯髒語調可能會使比特幣價格高於200天和21天的移動平均值，”物料指標的聯合創始人基思·艾倫（Keith Alan）說。目前的兩個關鍵水平分別為84,995美元和84,350美元。

Investor sentiment remained fragile, with Bank of America’s latest survey reporting the largest cut in U.S. equity exposure on record.

投資者的情緒仍然脆弱，美國銀行的最新調查報告報導了美國股票估計最大的削減。

Retail traders, however, were increasing their stakes in major tech stocks. The Kobeissi Letter noted that net inflows into Nasdaq 100 stocks had doubled recently, with Tesla (TSLA) and Nvidia (NVDA) being the most popular picks.

但是，零售商人正在增加主要技術股票的股份。 Kobeissi的信指出，淨流入納斯達克100股股票最近增加了一倍，特斯拉（TSLA）和NVIDIA（NVDA）是最受歡迎的選擇。

$90K For Bitcoin Possible, But Risks Remain

可能的比特幣$ 90K，但風險仍然

Despite the uncertainty, some analysts, like Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, saw Bitcoin rebounding toward $90,000 if inflation worries abated and the Fed signaled a less hawkish stance.

儘管存在不確定性，但一些分析師，例如10倍研究的首席執行官馬庫斯·泰倫（Markus Thielen），如果通貨膨脹率減輕，而美聯儲則表明，比特幣會偏向90,000美元。

“There is a good chance the Fed is mildly dovish,” Thielen said, adding,

蒂倫說：“美聯儲很有可能很糟糕。”

“We think BTC will be in a broader consolidation range, but we could trade back towards $90,000.”

“我們認為BTC將在更廣泛的整合範圍內，但我們可以回到90,000美元。”

Others remained more cautious. Ki Young Ju, founder of CryptoQuant, believed Bitcoin’s bull cycle had ended. “Expecting 6–12 months of bearish or sideways price action,” he wrote on X, citing weak on-chain metrics and drying liquidity.

其他人仍然更加謹慎。 CryptoFunt的創始人Ki Young Ju認為比特幣的公牛循環已經結束。他在X上寫道：“預計會有6-12個月的看跌或側向價格動作。”他寫道，鏈上指標和乾燥流動性較弱。

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Continue

比特幣ETF流入繼續

Institutional interest in Bitcoin showed modest improvement. According to data from Coinglass, Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net inflows of $209.1 million on Tuesday, following a $156.5 million inflow the previous day.

對比特幣的機構興趣顯示出適度的改善。根據Coinglass的數據，在前一天出現了1.565億美元的流入後，週二的現場比特幣ETF經歷了2.091億美元的淨流入。

A report by K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin’s price remained closely linked to broader risk-off sentiment.

K33 Research的一份報告強調，比特幣的價格與更廣泛的風險情緒密切相關。

The upcoming FOMC meeting was unlikely to alter this dynamic significantly unless Powell signaled a major shift in monetary policy.

除非鮑威爾表明貨幣政策發生了重大轉變，否則即將舉行的FOMC會議不太可能會大大改變這一動態。

Meanwhile, MEXC exchange COO Tracy Jin expected Bitcoin’s price to trade within the $81,000-$86,000 range, with a potential target of $91,000-$92,000.

同時，MEXC Exchange Coo Tracy Jin預計比特幣的價格將在81,000-86,000美元之間的交易範圍內，潛在目標為91,000美元至92,000美元。

However, breaking $87,000 quickly was crucial for bulls. Jin added,

但是，快速打破87,000美元對於公牛隊至關重要。金補充說，

“Major geopolitical events and decisions related to ongoing conflicts may have a stronger impact on Bitcoin’s price than U.S. market developments.”

“與美國市場發展相比，與持續衝突有關的重大地緣政治事件和與持續衝突有關的決策可能對比特幣的價格產生更大的影響。”

What’s Next For Bitcoin Price

比特幣價格下一步

A dovish tone from the Fed could ignite a rally as traders reacted to reduced macroeconomic risks. However, concerns over sticky inflation or a faster-than-expected tightening of liquidity could push Bitcoin’s price lower.

當交易者對降低的宏觀經濟風險做出反應時，美聯儲的骯髒語氣可能會激發集會。但是，人們擔心粘性通貨膨脹或更快的流動性收緊速度可能會降低比特幣的價格。

Traders were monitoring $80,000 as key support for Bitcoin, while resistance levels were anticipated around $85,500 and $87,000.

貿易商正在監視80,000美元作為比特幣的關鍵支持，而阻力水平預計約為85,500美元和87,000美元。

If Powell signaled a potential shift toward rate cuts later this year, traders could see Bitcoin testing the $90,000 resistance. Conversely, if the Fed maintained its hawkish policies, traders might see the price of Bitcoin dropping toward $76,000.

如果鮑威爾（Powell）在今年晚些時候向削減稅率的潛在轉變表示，則交易者可以看到比特幣測試90,000美元的電阻。相反，如果美聯儲保持其鷹派政策，則交易員可能會看到比特幣的價格下降到76,000美元。