比特币（BTC）的价格徘徊在$ 85,000，作为贸易商撑起美联储的最新利率决定

在压力下的风险资产下，市场等待美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的明确性，他的立场可以塑造BTC的下一步行动。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered near the $85,000 mark on Wednesday, as traders prepared for the latest interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.

比特币（BTC）的价格徘徊在周三的85,000美元左右，因为交易员为美联储最新的利率决定做准备。

With risk assets coming under pressure, markets looked to clues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose stance could shape Bitcoin’s next move.

随着风险资产承受压力，市场看待美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的线索，杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的立场可以塑造比特币的下一步行动。

Bitcoin Price Holds Above $80K but Faces Resistance

比特币价格售价高于$ 80K，但面对阻力

Bitcoin tested critical resistance levels as it climbed past $84,000 ahead of the March 15 Wall Street open.

比特币测试了关键阻力水平，因为它在3月15日华尔街开放之前攀升了84,000美元。

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting local highs of $84,358 on Bitstamp.

TradingView的数据显示，BTC/USD在Bitstamp上达到了84,358美元的本地高点。

Despite holding above $80,000 for most of the week, the broader market backdrop remained uncertain. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 4% and 8.7% year-to-date, while Bitcoin lost 10% in the same period.

尽管一周的大部分时间都持有超过80,000美元的股份，但更广泛的市场背景仍然不确定。标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数逐年下降4％和8.7％，而比特币同期损失了10％。

Analysts at QCP Capital warned that Bitcoin’s support at $80,000 seemed “tenuous at best” amid growing macroeconomic concerns. The firm noted in its latest bulletin,

QCP Capital的分析师警告说，由于宏观经济问题的越来越多，比特币的支持在80,000美元似乎是“脆弱的”。该公司在其最新公告中指出

“We won’t attempt to call the exact moment when the music stops, but in the short term, we struggle to identify meaningful tailwinds to reverse this rout.”

“我们不会试图调用音乐停止的确切时刻，但是在短期内，我们努力识别有意义的尾风以扭转这一溃败。”

FOMC Decision May Trigger Volatility

FOMC的决定可能会触发波动

The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool placed a 99% probability on policymakers keeping the federal funds rate steady in the 4.25%-4.5% range.

CME集团的FedWatch工具对决策者的概率为99％，使联邦资金率在4.25％-4.4.5％的范围内稳定。

However, Powell’s remarks would be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s direction.

但是，鲍威尔的言论在确定比特币方向方面至关重要。

“A dovish tone that reduces recessionary fears could send Bitcoin price above the 200-day and 21-day moving averages,” said Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators. The two key levels currently stood at $84,995 and $84,350, respectively.

“减少经济衰退恐惧的肮脏语调可能会使比特币价格高于200天和21天的移动平均值，”物料指标的联合创始人基思·艾伦（Keith Alan）说。目前的两个关键水平分别为84,995美元和84,350美元。

Investor sentiment remained fragile, with Bank of America’s latest survey reporting the largest cut in U.S. equity exposure on record.

投资者的情绪仍然脆弱，美国银行的最新调查报告报道了美国股票估计最大的削减。

Retail traders, however, were increasing their stakes in major tech stocks. The Kobeissi Letter noted that net inflows into Nasdaq 100 stocks had doubled recently, with Tesla (TSLA) and Nvidia (NVDA) being the most popular picks.

但是，零售商人正在增加主要技术股票的股份。 Kobeissi的信指出，净流入纳斯达克100股股票最近增加了一倍，特斯拉（TSLA）和NVIDIA（NVDA）是最受欢迎的选择。

$90K For Bitcoin Possible, But Risks Remain

可能的比特币$ 90K，但风险仍然

Despite the uncertainty, some analysts, like Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, saw Bitcoin rebounding toward $90,000 if inflation worries abated and the Fed signaled a less hawkish stance.

尽管存在不确定性，但一些分析师，例如10倍研究的首席执行官马库斯·泰伦（Markus Thielen），如果通货膨胀率减轻，而美联储则表明，比特币会偏向90,000美元。

“There is a good chance the Fed is mildly dovish,” Thielen said, adding,

蒂伦说：“美联储很有可能很糟糕。”

“We think BTC will be in a broader consolidation range, but we could trade back towards $90,000.”

“我们认为BTC将在更广泛的整合范围内，但我们可以回到90,000美元。”

Others remained more cautious. Ki Young Ju, founder of CryptoQuant, believed Bitcoin’s bull cycle had ended. “Expecting 6–12 months of bearish or sideways price action,” he wrote on X, citing weak on-chain metrics and drying liquidity.

其他人仍然更加谨慎。 CryptoFunt的创始人Ki Young Ju认为比特币的公牛循环已经结束。他在X上写道：“预计会有6-12个月的看跌或侧向价格动作。”他写道，链上指标和干燥流动性较弱。

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Continue

比特币ETF流入继续

Institutional interest in Bitcoin showed modest improvement. According to data from Coinglass, Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net inflows of $209.1 million on Tuesday, following a $156.5 million inflow the previous day.

对比特币的机构兴趣显示出适度的改善。根据Coinglass的数据，在前一天出现了1.565亿美元的流入后，周二的现场比特币ETF经历了2.091亿美元的净流入。

A report by K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin’s price remained closely linked to broader risk-off sentiment.

K33 Research的一份报告强调，比特币的价格与更广泛的风险情绪密切相关。

The upcoming FOMC meeting was unlikely to alter this dynamic significantly unless Powell signaled a major shift in monetary policy.

除非鲍威尔表明货币政策发生了重大转变，否则即将举行的FOMC会议不太可能会大大改变这一动态。

Meanwhile, MEXC exchange COO Tracy Jin expected Bitcoin’s price to trade within the $81,000-$86,000 range, with a potential target of $91,000-$92,000.

同时，MEXC Exchange Coo Tracy Jin预计比特币的价格将在81,000-86,000美元之间的交易范围内，潜在目标为91,000美元至92,000美元。

However, breaking $87,000 quickly was crucial for bulls. Jin added,

但是，快速打破87,000美元对于公牛队至关重要。金补充说，

“Major geopolitical events and decisions related to ongoing conflicts may have a stronger impact on Bitcoin’s price than U.S. market developments.”

“与美国市场发展相比，与持续冲突有关的重大地缘政治事件和与持续冲突有关的决策可能对比特币的价格产生更大的影响。”

What’s Next For Bitcoin Price

比特币价格下一步

A dovish tone from the Fed could ignite a rally as traders reacted to reduced macroeconomic risks. However, concerns over sticky inflation or a faster-than-expected tightening of liquidity could push Bitcoin’s price lower.

当交易者对降低的宏观经济风险做出反应时，美联储的肮脏语气可能会激发集会。但是，人们担心粘性通货膨胀或更快的流动性收紧速度可能会降低比特币的价格。

Traders were monitoring $80,000 as key support for Bitcoin, while resistance levels were anticipated around $85,500 and $87,000.

贸易商正在监视80,000美元，作为对比特币的关键支持，而阻力水平预计约为85,500美元和87,000美元。

If Powell signaled a potential shift toward rate cuts later this year, traders could see Bitcoin testing the $90,000 resistance. Conversely, if the Fed maintained its hawkish policies, traders might see the price of Bitcoin dropping toward $76,000.

如果鲍威尔（Powell）在今年晚些时候向削减税率的潜在转变表示，则交易者可以看到比特币测试90,000美元的电阻。相反，如果美联储保持其鹰派政策，则交易员可能会看到比特币的价格下降到76,000美元。