比特幣（BTC）的價格穩定穩定接近$ 80,00，因為美國貿易戰爭的重新點燃，為突破奠定了基礎

比特幣價格在4月3日保持穩定接近80,00美元，儘管不確定性不確定性，但美國貿易緊張局勢和

NOIDA, INDIA (CoinChapter.com) — Bitcoin price held steady on April 3, showing resilience despite lingering uncertainty from escalating U.S. trade tensions and slowing macroeconomic signals. The cryptocurrency continues consolidating within the $82,000-$85,000 range, with analysts and investors now watching for a macro trigger to break this sideways movement.

印度諾伊達（Coinchapter.com） - 4月3日，比特幣價格穩定，儘管不確定性越來越不確定性，但美國貿易緊張局勢加劇並放緩了宏觀經濟信號。加密貨幣繼續在82,000至85,000美元的範圍內鞏固，分析師和投資者現在正在關注宏觀觸發以打破側向運動。

President Donald Trump reignited trade war rhetoric by announcing a 25% tariff on imported vehicles, with further tariffs on foreign goods expected this month. These policies, aimed at reducing the $1.2 trillion trade deficit, have raised fears of stagflation-slower growth combined with sticky inflation.

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統通過宣布進口車輛的25％關稅，重新點燃了貿易戰爭的言論，本月預計外國商品的徵收進一步關稅。這些政策旨在減少1.2萬億美元的貿易赤字，使人們擔心滯輪速增長與粘性通貨膨脹相結合。

Global markets responded cautiously. Equities failed to reclaim key moving averages, and crypto markets mirrored the indecision. However, signs emerge that the Federal Reserve could step in to offset the economic drag.

全球市場做出了謹慎的反應。股票未能收回關鍵移動平均值，加密貨幣市場反映了猶豫不決。但是，出現跡象表明美聯儲可能會介入以抵消經濟阻力。

Analysts now believe the Fed will lean toward easing, with the first rate cut expected as early as June. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders now assign a 58.5% probability of a rate cut at the June 18 meeting.

分析師現在認為，美聯儲將傾向於放鬆身心，最早在6月的一流削減。根據CME Group的FedWatch工具的數據，交易員現在分配了58.5％的率在6月18日的會議上降低了稅率。

Crypto research firm Nansen estimates a 70% chance that Bitcoin and Ethereum will bottom before that cut materializes. With persistent fears over consumer demand, slowing growth, and the search for liquidity, Bitcoin appears poised to benefit from any Fed-induced tailwind in the coming months.

加密研究公司Nansen估計比特幣和以太坊的機會有70％的機會，然後才能削減。由於對消費者需求的持續擔憂，增長放緩以及對流動性的尋找，比特幣似乎有望在未來幾個月中受益於任何联邦助長的逆風。

Tariffs, Liquidity, and Bitcoin's Historical Setup For Breakout

關稅，流動性和比特幣的歷史設置

關稅，流動性和比特幣的歷史設置

Bitcoin's current range-bound structure could be hiding a bullish macro shift. President Donald Trump's renewed focus on protectionist trade policies has triggered fear of a looming recession.

比特幣的當前距離結構可能隱藏了看漲的宏觀變化。唐納德·特朗普總統對貿易保護主義政策的重新關注引發了人們對迫在眉睫的衰退的恐懼。

Further tariffs on foreign goods are expected to be announced this month, and investors are preparing for more economic disruption.

預計本月將宣布對外國商品的進一步關稅，投資者正在為更加經濟中斷做準備。

As economic pressure builds, markets are adjusting rate expectations. The probability of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's June 18 meeting has risen to 58.5% from 58% last week, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

隨著經濟壓力的建立，市場正在調整利率期望。根據CME Group的FedWatch工具的數據，在聯邦儲備6月18日會議上降低利率的可能性已從上週的58％上升至58.5％。

Though a small shift, it reflects growing conviction that the Fed will act to shield growth from trade-driven drag. More rate cuts mean more liquidity, and Bitcoin tends to benefit when liquidity conditions improve.

儘管發生了很小的轉變，但它反映出越來越多的信念，即美聯儲將採取行動避免增長免受貿易驅動的阻力。削減速度意味著更多的流動性，當流動性條件改善時，比特幣往往會受益。

Crypto intelligence platform Nansen estimates a 70% chance that Bitcoin and Ethereum will find a local bottom before June. Both assets are currently trading significantly below their year-to-date highs.

加密情報平台Nansen估計比特幣和以太坊將在6月之前找到本地底部的機會70％。目前，這兩種資產的交易均高於其年初高點。

Analysts believe the conclusion of tariff negotiations could reduce uncertainty and provide a macro catalyst for risk assets.

分析師認為，關稅談判的結論可以減少不確定性，並為風險資產提供宏觀催化劑。

Historical parallels support that view. During the 2019 U.S.-China trade war, Bitcoin rallied from $3,300 to over $13,800 as the Fed pivoted to rate cuts.

歷史相似之處支持這種觀點。在2019年美國 - 中國貿易戰期間，比特幣從3,300美元上漲至13,800美元以上，因為美聯儲轉為削減稅率。

Goldman Sachs now expects three cuts in 2025, citing higher unemployment and weaker GDP growth.

高盛（Goldman Sachs）現在預計在2025年將有3次削減，理由是GDP的增長較高，而GDP的增長較弱。

Real yields are also slipping again. Bitcoin has historically surged during negative real rate environments, particularly in 2012-2013 and 2020-2021, reinforcing the potential for a breakout in Q2.

實際產量也再次滑倒。歷史上，比特幣在負面速率環境中飆升，尤其是在2012年至2013年和2020-2021，增強了第2季度突破的可能性。

A multi-cycle view of Bitcoin against U.S. real yields reinforces the outlook. In both 2012-2013 and 2020-2021, BTC staged powerful rallies during extended periods of negative real interest rates. The chart highlights these phases with shaded zones, showing how falling inflation-adjusted bond returns coincided with Bitcoin's steepest upside moves.

比特幣與美國的多周期視圖產生了前景。在2012 - 2013年和2020-2021中，BTC在負面利率的延長期間進行了強大的集會。該圖表以陰影區域突出顯示了這些階段，顯示了通貨膨脹調整後的債券的下降如何與比特幣最陡峭的上行移動相吻合。

As real yields begin slipping again in 2025, the structure resembles prior pre-breakout periods. Bitcoin's current consolidation under $85,000 may not be a sign of weakness, but a pause before liquidity conditions trigger the next leg higher.

隨著實際產量在2025年再次開始滑倒，該結構類似於先前的爆發前期。比特幣的當前合併在$ 85,000以下可能不是弱點的跡象，但是在流動性條件觸發下一條腿之前，請停下來。

Ascending Triangle Pattern Puts Bitcoin On Path To Retest Record Highs

上升的三角形模式使比特幣走上重新測試高點的路徑

上升的三角形模式使比特幣走上重新測試高點的路徑

The BTC USD pair has formed a bullish technical pattern called the ‘ascending triangle‘, which is clearly visible on the weekly chart. The setup is a textbook continuation pattern that signals pressure building for a breakout. A rising lower trendline, showing buyers stepping in at higher levels, and a flat upper resistance at around $104,800.

BTC USD對形成了一種看漲的技術模式，稱為“上升三角”，在每週圖表上清楚地看到了該模式。該設置是一種教科書延續模式，該模式向壓力構建發出標誌以進行突破。較低的趨勢線的上升，顯示買家介入較高的水平，平坦的上部阻力約為104,800美元。

Historically, this structure reflects a tightening battle between bulls and bears, typically resolved to the upside.

從歷史上看，這種結構反映了公牛與熊之間的緊縮戰鬥，通常可以在上升空間。

The triangle's price target is calculated by measuring its vertical height and then projecting that distance above the breakout point. The resulting target is approximately $170,565. While this is theoretical, even a partial move—just 40% of the projected breakout—would lift BTC above $121,000, enough to confirm a new all-time high.

三角形的目標目標是通過測量其垂直高度，然後將突破點上方的距離投影而計算得出的。最終的目標約為170,565美元。雖然這是理論上的，但即使是部分舉動（僅預計突破的40％）也可以將BTC提升到121,000美元以上，足以確認新的歷史最高水平。

The setup grows more compelling as macro conditions tilt in Bitcoin's favor. Real yields are turning negative again, rate cut probabilities are rising, and recession expectations are creeping into major investment forecasts.

隨著宏觀條件傾斜比特幣有利，該設置變得更加引人注目。實際收益率再次變成負面，降低率的概率正在上升，經濟衰退期望正逐漸發展為重大投資預測。

If Bitcoin reaches

如果比特幣達到