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比特幣(BTC)最近幾天出現了令人難以置信的上漲,突破了 89,000 美元,並升至 90,000 美元大關。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been impressive over the past week, surging past the $89,000 level and eyeing the $90,000 mark. As BTC rallied, investors anticipated further gains; however, analysts at QCP Capital highlighted a potential correction.
過去一周,比特幣 (BTC) 的價格走勢令人印象深刻,飆升至 89,000 美元大關,直指 9 萬美元大關。隨著比特幣上漲,投資者預期會進一步上漲;然而,QCP Capital 的分析師強調了潛在的調整。
According to the analysts, Bitcoin futures-based returns hit a seven-month peak, and leveraged positions also increased. Interestingly, futures-based returns didn’t last very long historically, and such rapid increases were followed by corrections, the analysts noted.
分析師表示,基於比特幣期貨的回報率創下七個月以來的新高,槓桿部位也增加。有趣的是,分析師指出,從歷史上看,基於期貨的回報並沒有持續很長時間,如此快速的成長之後就會出現調整。
With Bitcoin hovering just below the crucial $90,000 level, the analysts noted that the basis rate at the end of November was over 18%.
分析師指出,由於比特幣徘徊在略低於 9 萬美元的關鍵水平,11 月底的基準利率超過 18%。
"High leverage and high 7-month basis (suggesting any pullbacks will be bought aggressively, especially by leveraged longs).
「高槓桿率和高 7 個月基差(表明任何回檔都會被積極買入,尤其是槓桿多頭)。
While Bitcoin remains structurally bullish, we caution against any pullbacks, particularly from leveraged liquidations."
雖然比特幣在結構上仍然看漲,但我們警告不要出現任何回調,尤其是槓桿清算。
The analysts warned of a pullback due to leveraged positions but added that there was strong demand in the options market, with key interest in expiry prices of $110,000 and $120,000.
分析師警告稱,槓桿頭寸將導致回調,但補充稱,期權市場需求強勁,主要關注者對到期價格為 110,000 美元和 120,000 美元。
Bitcoin Could Hit $97,000
比特幣可能觸及 97,000 美元
In a recent analysis, QCP Capital highlighted how Bitcoin cemented the "digital gold" narrative with a 30% rally after the election.
在最近的分析中,QCP Capital 強調了比特幣如何在大選後以 30% 的漲幅鞏固了「數位黃金」的敘事。
According to the analysts, Bitcoin surged by 30% since the US elections, while gold dropped by 5%, bolstering BTC's role as "digital gold."
分析師表示,自美國大選以來,比特幣飆升了 30%,而黃金則下跌了 5%,支撐了 BTC 作為「數位黃金」的角色。
With demand for Bitcoin intensifying and calls for more upside potential, the analysts suggested that a 1% reallocation from gold to Bitcoin could propel BTC to $97,000.
隨著對比特幣需求的增強以及對更大上漲潛力的呼聲,分析師表示,從黃金到比特幣的 1% 重新配置可能會將 BTC 推升至 97,000 美元。
"Recently, capital has been reallocated from traditional safe havens like gold to BTC. Currently at $1.73 trillion, Bitcoin’s market cap recently surpassed silver’s but remains well below gold’s $17.5 trillion.
「最近,資本已從黃金等傳統避風港重新配置到比特幣。目前,比特幣的市值為 1.73 兆美元,最近超過了白銀,但仍遠低於黃金的 17.5 兆美元。
Even if 1% of the capital flowing from gold into BTC, it could push Bitcoin to around $97,000."
即使 1% 的資金從黃金流向 BTC,也可能將比特幣推至 97,000 美元左右。
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