特朗普通過行政命令建立有限的比特幣戰略儲備

預測市場表明，今年建立更廣泛的“國家比特幣儲備”的可能性為50％。

President Donald Trump established a limited Bitcoin Strategic Reserve via Executive Order, currently holding only forfeited assets.

總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）通過行政命令建立了有限的比特幣戰略儲備，目前僅持有被沒收的資產。

Prediction markets indicate a 50% probability of a broader "National Bitcoin Reserve" being established this year.

預測市場表明，今年建立更廣泛的“國家比特幣儲備”的可能性為50％。

A full National Bitcoin Reserve could have significant implications for U.S. crypto policy, investor trust, and global digital finance leadership.

全國性比特幣儲備金可能會對美國加密政策，投資者信任和全球數字財務領導力產生重大影響。

On March 6, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump President signed an Executive Order establishing a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. This move integrated digital assets into the U.S. financial framework.

2025年3月6日，美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統簽署了一項行政命令，建立了比特幣戰略儲備和美國數字資產庫存。此舉將數字資產集成到美國的財務框架中。

For now, the reserve includes only Bitcoin seized through criminal and civil forfeiture cases. But many believe this could be the beginning of something much bigger.

目前，該保護區僅包括通過刑事和民事沒收案件扣押的比特幣。但是許多人認為這可能是更大的事情的開始。

Is the U.S. Preparing a Full-Scale National Bitcoin Reserve?

美國是否準備全面的國家比特幣儲備？

Although limited in scope today, talk is growing around a possible expansion into a full National Bitcoin Reserve. The idea would mirror the structure of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but for digital assets.

儘管今天的範圍有限，但談話圍繞可能擴展到全國性比特幣保護區。這個想法將反映戰略石油儲備的結構，但對於數字資產。

Prediction market platform Kalshi currently places the chances of such a move at 50%. This potential reserve could include Bitcoin not obtained through seizures – and might even involve other cryptocurrencies.

預測市場平台卡爾西目前將這種舉動的機會置於50％。該潛在的儲備可能包括沒有通過癲癇發作獲得的比特幣，甚至可能涉及其他加密貨幣。

Importantly, the Kalshi contract requires that the reserve be fully functional and operational, not just announced.

重要的是，Kalshi合同要求儲備金具有充分的功能和運營，而不僅僅是宣布。

Prediction Market Chances of a U.S. National Bitcoin

美國國家比特幣的預測機會

The presidential candidate announced his plans to launch a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in December 2024.

總統候選人宣布了計劃於2024年12月推出戰略性比特幣保護區的計劃。

Kalshi currently predicts a 50% probability of the broader National Bitcoin Reserve being operational by the end of 2025.

卡爾西目前預測，到2025年底，更廣泛的國家比特幣儲備將在50％的概率上運作。

This swing reflects the growing interest and speculation as the administration takes real action on crypto policy.

隨著政府對加密政策採取真正的行動，這種揮桿反映了日益增長的興趣和猜測。

Timeline: Trump’s Key Moves on Bitcoin and Crypto

時間表：特朗普對比特幣和加密貨幣的關鍵移動

Each of these steps suggests a broader digital asset strategy may be in the works.

這些步驟中的每一個都表明可能正在進行更廣泛的數字資產策略。

What a National Bitcoin Reserve Could Mean

國家比特幣儲備可能意味著什麼

If Trump proceeds with a fully operational National Bitcoin Reserve, it could signify a historic turning point in U.S. economic policy. It would position Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a strategic one.

如果特朗普進行全面運營的國家比特幣儲備，它可能意味著美國經濟政策中的歷史轉折點。它不僅將比特幣視為金融資產，而且將比特幣視為一種戰略資產。

Such a development could:

這樣的發展可能：

However, much will depend on how the plan is executed, how it aligns politically, and how other countries respond.

但是，很大程度上取決於計劃的執行方式，政治上的一致以及其他國家的響應方式。

The days of digital assets sitting on the sidelines of U.S. policy may be numbered, and Bitcoin just took one step closer to the main stage.

在美國政策的旁觀上，數字資產的日子可能被編號了，比特幣距離主階段更近了一步。