Trump Establishes a Limited Bitcoin Strategic Reserve via Executive Order

Prediction markets indicate a 50% probability of a broader "National Bitcoin Reserve" being established this year.

President Donald Trump established a limited Bitcoin Strategic Reserve via Executive Order, currently holding only forfeited assets.

Prediction markets indicate a 50% probability of a broader "National Bitcoin Reserve" being established this year.

A full National Bitcoin Reserve could have significant implications for U.S. crypto policy, investor trust, and global digital finance leadership.

On March 6, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump President signed an Executive Order establishing a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. This move integrated digital assets into the U.S. financial framework.

For now, the reserve includes only Bitcoin seized through criminal and civil forfeiture cases. But many believe this could be the beginning of something much bigger.

Is the U.S. Preparing a Full-Scale National Bitcoin Reserve?

Although limited in scope today, talk is growing around a possible expansion into a full National Bitcoin Reserve. The idea would mirror the structure of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but for digital assets.

Prediction market platform Kalshi currently places the chances of such a move at 50%. This potential reserve could include Bitcoin not obtained through seizures – and might even involve other cryptocurrencies.

Importantly, the Kalshi contract requires that the reserve be fully functional and operational, not just announced.

Prediction Market Chances of a U.S. National Bitcoin

The presidential candidate announced his plans to launch a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in December 2024.

Kalshi currently predicts a 50% probability of the broader National Bitcoin Reserve being operational by the end of 2025.

This swing reflects the growing interest and speculation as the administration takes real action on crypto policy.

Timeline: Trump’s Key Moves on Bitcoin and Crypto

Each of these steps suggests a broader digital asset strategy may be in the works.

What a National Bitcoin Reserve Could Mean

If Trump proceeds with a fully operational National Bitcoin Reserve, it could signify a historic turning point in U.S. economic policy. It would position Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a strategic one.

Such a development could:

However, much will depend on how the plan is executed, how it aligns politically, and how other countries respond.

The days of digital assets sitting on the sidelines of U.S. policy may be numbered, and Bitcoin just took one step closer to the main stage.