比特幣（BTC）的價格預測於2024年底與Q1 2025的實際交易

將2024年底進行的價格預測與2025年第一季度的實際交易（第1季度）並列，這表明加密貨幣市場尚未執行

A juxtaposition of the price forecasts made in late 2024 with the actual trading in the first quarter (Q1) of 2025 indicates that the cryptocurrency market has not been performing as expected.

2024年底對價格預測的並置與2025年第一季度（第一季度）的實際交易表明，加密貨幣市場尚未按預期進行。

As the world’s premier and most prominent digital asset, Bitcoin (BTC) perfectly encapsulates this fact. Indeed, not only is the coin 15.14% in the red in 2025, but it has also ended its worst-ever week in terms of a dollar-value drop by the early morning of March 10.

作為世界上首要和最傑出的數字資產，比特幣（BTC）完美地封裝了這一事實。的確，不僅硬幣是2025年紅色的15.14％，而且還結束了有史以來最糟糕的一周，到3月10日清晨，美元價值下降。

Specifically, BTC recorded a massive $13,561 red weekly candle in the 7-day period that started on March 3. Though there was some upward action in the morning of March 10, it was uncertain, and Bitcoin’s price remained depressed at $81,304.

具體而言，BTC在3月3日開始的7天期間記錄了每週的13,561美元的紅色蠟燭。儘管3月10日上午有一些向上的行動，但尚不確定，但比特幣的價格仍為81,304美元。

Interestingly, the situation in the final month of Q1 2025 is that many of the factors expected to provide bullish momentum for the cryptocurrency industry have been fueling the downturn instead.

有趣的是，第1季度第1季度的最後一個月的情況是，許多預期為加密貨幣行業提供看漲勢頭的因素一直在推動衰退。

Why Bitcoin is falling in 2025

為什麼比特幣在2025年掉落

Bitcoin’s rally in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s re-election generated 11,000 new BTC millionaires within hours, eventually leading the coin to reach new all-time highs (ATH) above $107,000.

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）連任後，比特幣的集會在幾個小時內產生了11,000個新的BTC百萬富翁，最終導致硬幣達到了107,000美元以上的新歷史高峰（ATH）。

The Republican was expected to usher in more crypto-friendly policies, e.g., putting an end to the regulatory crackdown on digital assets, establish a strategic reserve either filled with BTC or a selection of coins and tokens, and generally strengthen the U.S. economy.

預計共和黨人將迎來更多對密碼友好的政策，例如，結束了對數字資產的監管鎮壓，建立充滿BTC或選擇硬幣和代幣的戰略儲備，並通常增強美國經濟。

However, in practice, President Donald Trump has – at least in the first month and a half of his second term – caused substantial market turbulence, participated in the launch of a set of opportunistic meme coin launches, damaged diplomatic and economic ties with traditional U.S. allies, and taken no truly decisive steps toward establishing a strategic reserve.

但是，實際上，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）至少在他的第二任期的第一個半月中，造成了大量的市場動盪，參與了一系列機會主義模因硬幣發射，與傳統的美國盟友損害外交和經濟聯繫，並且沒有採取任何真正決定性的步驟來建立戰略儲備。

By press time, the turbulence and uncertainty had been so severe that even the explicit pro-crypto steps taken under the current administration – the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision to drop numerous probes and lawsuits targeting the industry being the chief example – have done little to stem the sell-off.

發稿時，動盪和不確定性變得如此嚴重，以至於即使是當前政府採取的明確的親聯合措施 - 證券和交易委員會（SEC）決定放棄針對行業的大量調查和訴訟的決定，也對拋售了拋售幾乎沒有採取行動。