比特币（BTC）的价格预测于2024年底与Q1 2025的实际交易

将2024年底进行的价格预测与2025年第一季度的实际交易（第1季度）并列，这表明加密货币市场尚未执行

A juxtaposition of the price forecasts made in late 2024 with the actual trading in the first quarter (Q1) of 2025 indicates that the cryptocurrency market has not been performing as expected.

2024年底对价格预测的并置与2025年第一季度（第一季度）的实际交易表明，加密货币市场尚未按预期进行。

As the world’s premier and most prominent digital asset, Bitcoin (BTC) perfectly encapsulates this fact. Indeed, not only is the coin 15.14% in the red in 2025, but it has also ended its worst-ever week in terms of a dollar-value drop by the early morning of March 10.

作为世界上首要和最杰出的数字资产，比特币（BTC）完美地封装了这一事实。的确，不仅硬币是2025年红色的15.14％，而且还结束了有史以来最糟糕的一周，到3月10日清晨，美元价值下降。

Specifically, BTC recorded a massive $13,561 red weekly candle in the 7-day period that started on March 3. Though there was some upward action in the morning of March 10, it was uncertain, and Bitcoin’s price remained depressed at $81,304.

具体而言，BTC在3月3日开始的7天期间记录了每周的13,561美元的红色蜡烛。尽管3月10日上午有一些向上的行动，但尚不确定，但比特币的价格仍为81,304美元。

Interestingly, the situation in the final month of Q1 2025 is that many of the factors expected to provide bullish momentum for the cryptocurrency industry have been fueling the downturn instead.

有趣的是，第1季度第1季度的最后一个月的情况是，许多预期为加密货币行业提供看涨势头的因素一直在推动衰退。

Why Bitcoin is falling in 2025

为什么比特币在2025年掉落

Bitcoin’s rally in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s re-election generated 11,000 new BTC millionaires within hours, eventually leading the coin to reach new all-time highs (ATH) above $107,000.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）连任后，比特币的集会在几个小时内产生了11,000个新的BTC百万富翁，最终导致硬币达到了107,000美元以上的新历史高峰（ATH）。

The Republican was expected to usher in more crypto-friendly policies, e.g., putting an end to the regulatory crackdown on digital assets, establish a strategic reserve either filled with BTC or a selection of coins and tokens, and generally strengthen the U.S. economy.

预计共和党人将迎来更多对密码友好的政策，例如，结束了对数字资产的监管镇压，建立充满BTC或选择硬币和代币的战略储备，并通常增强美国经济。

However, in practice, President Donald Trump has – at least in the first month and a half of his second term – caused substantial market turbulence, participated in the launch of a set of opportunistic meme coin launches, damaged diplomatic and economic ties with traditional U.S. allies, and taken no truly decisive steps toward establishing a strategic reserve.

但是，实际上，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）至少在他的第二任期的第一个半月中，造成了大量的市场动荡，参与了一系列机会主义模因硬币发射，与传统的美国盟友损害外交和经济联系，并且没有采取任何真正决定性的步骤来建立战略储备。

By press time, the turbulence and uncertainty had been so severe that even the explicit pro-crypto steps taken under the current administration – the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision to drop numerous probes and lawsuits targeting the industry being the chief example – have done little to stem the sell-off.

发稿时，动荡和不确定性变得如此严重，以至于即使是当前政府采取的明确的亲联合措施 - 证券和交易委员会（SEC）决定放弃针对行业的大量调查和诉讼的决定，也对抛售了抛售几乎没有采取行动。