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比特幣在3月6日下降了2%,儘管預計可能會發布美國比特幣儲備的宣布,但市場樂觀卻逐漸消失。
Key Takeaways:
關鍵要點:
* Bitcoin fell 2 percent by 6 March as market optimism waned despite anticipation of a potential U.S. Bitcoin reserve announcement at the White House Crypto Summit.
*比特幣在3月6日下降了2%,儘管預計在白宮加密賽峰會上有潛在的美國比特幣儲備公告,但市場樂觀情緒減弱。
* Bulls failed to sustain gains above $92,000, encountering strong resistance that prevented a breakout into Bitcoin’s previous trading range.
*公牛隊未能維持超過92,000美元的收益,遇到了強烈的阻力,這阻止了比特幣以前的交易範圍的突破。
* Traders remained largely indifferent to the news, preferring to observe the events of March 7 in a neutral fashion.
*交易者在很大程度上對新聞漠不關心,寧願以中立的方式觀察3月7日的事件。
* U.S. jobless claims data increased rate cut expectations, but macroeconomic catalysts had little immediate impact on crypto markets.
*美國失業者索賠增加了數據降低了預期,但是宏觀經濟催化劑對加密貨幣市場的影響很小。
Bitcoin Struggles Below $90K as Bulls Fail to Hold Momentum
由於公牛無法保持動力,比特幣掙扎著$ 90K
Bitcoin's brief push toward $93,000 met strong resistance, leading to a 2 percent decline as market participants remained skeptical about a potential Bitcoin reserve announcement at the White House Crypto Summit.
比特幣的短暫推向93,000美元遇到了強烈的抵抗,導致2%的下降,因為市場參與者對白宮加密賽峰會上潛在的比特幣儲備公告持懷疑態度。
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed that BTC/USD rejected $92,000 for the second time this week, signaling continued resistance at this key level.
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據證實,BTC/USD本週第二次拒絕了92,000美元,這表明在此關鍵水平上繼續阻力。
"There's the retest of $92K resistance. It worked so well the first time bulls wanted to do it again," trader Justin Bennett remarked, disclosing a short position from $91,000.
交易員賈斯汀·貝內特(Justin Bennett)表示:“有92,000美元抵抗的重新測試。這是公牛第一次想重新做到這一點,這是如此出色。”
Traders Await U.S. Crypto Summit Amid Mixed Sentiment
交易者在混合情緒中等待美國加密峰會
Despite growing rumors that the U.S. government may introduce a Bitcoin or crypto reserve policy, traders largely dismissed the news, displaying a preference for caution ahead of the March 7 event.
儘管越來越多的謠言稱美國政府可能會引入比特幣或加密儲備金政策,但交易者在很大程度上駁回了這一消息,在3月7日的活動之前表現出了謹慎的偏愛。
"Still no sign of Bitcoin at the White House. Personally, I'm not expecting any major surprises," said another trader.
另一位交易員說:“在白宮仍然沒有比特幣的跡象。就個人而言,我沒想到會有任何重大驚喜。”
Other analysts, such as eMarketer, highlighted $90,000 as a key decision point for traders, suggesting that a breakdown below this level could push Bitcoin lower toward key support levels.
其他分析師(例如Emarketer)強調了90,000美元作為交易者的關鍵決策點,這表明低於此水平的分解可能會將比特幣降低到關鍵支持水平。
"Will BTC break down below $90K and continue the move lower to touch the 200-week MA at $60K?" the analyst questioned.
“ BTC是否會在$ 90K以下,並繼續下跌以觸摸200週的MA $ 60K?”分析師質疑。
Will the Crypto Summit Spark a Bitcoin Breakout?
加密峰會會激發比特幣的突破嗎?
However, some market participants, such as Crypto Fella, noted that Bitcoin's recent price action could be setting up for a major breakout, considering the expected volatility surrounding the White House Crypto Summit.
但是,一些市場參與者,例如Crypto Fella,指出比特幣最近的價格行動可能正在為重大突圍設置,考慮到白宮加密峰會周圍的預期波動性。
"We're about to see some serious moves in the crypto market with the US government crypto summit on Tuesday," the analyst stated.
分析師說:“我們將在周二與美國政府加密峰會一起看到加密貨幣市場的一些嚴重舉動。”
If policymakers announce a Bitcoin reserve framework, it could act as a catalyst for renewed bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin above $95,000 to test the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
如果政策制定者宣布一個比特幣儲備框架,則可以作為新的看漲勢頭的催化劑,可能會將比特幣超過95,000美元以高於95,000美元以測試0.618 fibonacci的回溯水平。
However, if the announcement is vague or lacks immediate action, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure, with the next support level at $88,000.
但是,如果該公告模糊或缺乏立即行動,則比特幣可能會面臨進一步的下行壓力,下一個支持水平為88,000美元。
Macroeconomic Trends: Fed Rate Cut Speculation Grows
宏觀經濟趨勢:美聯儲降低猜測的增長
Beyond crypto-specific events, traders continue to monitor U.S. macroeconomic trends, particularly interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve.
除了特定於加密貨幣的事件之外,交易者還繼續監控美國宏觀經濟趨勢,尤其是美聯儲的利率預期。
According to Benzinga, U.S. jobless claims came in higher than expected, fueling speculation that the Fed may cut rates sooner to prevent a further economic slowdown.
據本辛加(Benzinga)稱,美國失業者的說法比預期的高於預期,這激發了人們的猜測,即美聯儲可能會更快降低利率,以防止進一步的經濟放緩。
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 45 percent chance of a rate cut in May, a shift that could support Bitcoin and risk assets.
根據CME集團的FedWatch工具的數據,市場的價格在5月份降低的45%的可能性,這一轉變可以支持比特幣和風險資產。
However, inflation remains a wildcard, and the Federal Reserve has yet to confirm any significant policy changes.
但是,通貨膨脹仍然是通配符,美聯儲尚未確認任何重大的政策變化。
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
比特幣的下一步是什麼?
$90,000 remains a key support level – If Bitcoin holds above this threshold, a retest of $92,000 and $95,000 could be possible.
$ 90,000仍然是關鍵支持水平 - 如果比特幣持有以上的門檻,則可以重新獲得$ 92,000的重新支撐和95,000美元。
Crypto Summit’s impact remains uncertain – A strong pro-Bitcoin policy shift could boost market confidence, while a lack of clarity could lead to further declines.
加密峰會的影響仍然不確定 - 強大的親甲幣政策轉變可能會增強市場信心,而缺乏清晰度可能會導致進一步下降。
Macroeconomic trends favor Bitcoin in the long term – If rate cuts materialize, liquidity expansion could support a renewed Bitcoin rally.
從長遠來看,宏觀經濟趨勢有利於比特幣 - 如果降低速度的物質,流動性的擴展可以支持重新的比特幣集會。
Bitcoin's price action throughout the week has largely reflected trader skepticism as markets await concrete policy announcements before taking decisive action. If the U.S. government signals a stronger embrace of Bitcoin, it could provide the momentum needed to break above $95,000 and reach new all-time highs. However, if regulatory uncertainty lingers, Bitcoin may remain range-bound or face further downside pressure.
整個星期,比特幣的價格行動在很大程度上反映了交易者的懷疑,因為市場在採取決定性措施之前正在等待具體的政策公告。如果美國政府對比特幣更強烈地擁抱,它可能會提供超過95,000美元並達到新歷史高潮所需的勢頭。但是,如果調節不確定性持續存在,比特幣可能會保持範圍限製或面臨進一步的下行壓力。
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