比特幣（BTC）價格更正可能已經完成，為2025年積極移動奠定了基礎

根據最近的一個加密快速帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能接近完成當前市場週期的價格校正。

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According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) may be close to completing its price correction for the current market cycle. The premier cryptocurrency appears primed for positive movement in 2025, despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainty.

根據最近的一個加密快速帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能接近完成當前市場週期的價格校正。儘管宏觀經濟的不確定性持續存在，但在2025年，主要的加密貨幣似乎是為了積極運動。

Bitcoin Looks Ready To Reverse TrendIn a Quicktake post, CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently undergoing a correction phase similar to the one observed in 2024. The analyst noted that the amount of BTC held for less than one week to one month can serve as an indicator of how “overheated” the crypto market is.

比特幣似乎準備逆轉趨勢，加密貢獻者Crypto Dan強調，BTC目前正在進行與2024年觀察到的校正階段相似的校正階段。分析師指出，BTC的數量持續了少於一個星期到一個月，可以用作“過度降級”的指標。

For context, in markets with high speculative activity – such as crypto – price pullbacks tend to be significant. In contrast, markets with lower speculation, like gold, typically experience shallower corrections.

在上下文中，在高投機活動（例如加密貨幣）的市場中，價格下跌趨勢往往很大。相比之下，猜測較低的市場（例如黃金）通常會經歷較淺的校正。

Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing three major phases of the crypto market – a market rally (red arrow), an increase in the ratio of BTC held for less than one week to one month (green pattern), and a subsequent correction (yellow arrow).

Crypto Dan分享了以下圖表，顯示了加密市場的三個主要階段 - 市場集會（紅色箭頭），持有的BTC比率增加了不到一個星期到一個月（綠色模式），以及隨後的更正（黃色箭頭）。

He explained that this pattern has played out twice during the current bull market, with both instances showing similarly elevated levels of short-term BTC holdings, suggesting a comparable degree of market overheating.

他解釋說，這種模式在當前的牛市中已經兩次發揮作用，這兩個實例都表現出類似的短期BTC持有水平，這表明市場過熱程度相當。

This ratio has now reached a cycle low, highlighted in the yellow-box region of the chart. Notably, the same region also marked the bottom of the 2024 market cycle.

現在，該比率達到了一個循環，在圖表的黃色盒子區域中突出顯示。值得注意的是，同一地區也標誌著2024年市場週期的底部。

If the pattern mirrors its behaviour from 2024, it could indicate that the current cycle has also bottomed out. Crypto Dan explained:

如果該模式從2024年開始反映其行為，則可以表明當前週期也已經觸底了。加密丹解釋說：

In other words, the overheating is now resolved, and although we may need to wait a little longer, with the progress of macroeconomic issues, 2.5 is likely to show a positive movement.

換句話說，現在已經解決了過熱，儘管我們可能需要等待更長的時間，但隨著宏觀經濟問題的進展，2.5可能會顯示出積極的運動。

Adding to the optimism, a separate post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also points to a possible shift in momentum. The analyst noted that BTC recently formed a golden cross on the daily chart – a bullish signal that often suggests a trend reversal is underway.

加密分析師泰坦（Titan）在X上的單獨帖子增加了樂觀，也表明了動量的轉變。分析師指出，BTC最近在每日圖表上形成了一個金十字架 - 看漲信號通常表明趨勢逆轉正在進行中。

For the uninitiated, a golden cross occurs when Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average, signalling a potential long-term bullish trend. It’s widely seen as a buy signal by traders, indicating growing upward momentum.

對於初學者，當比特幣的50天移動平均線超過其200天移動平均線時，就會發生黃金十字架，這表明潛在的長期看漲趨勢。它被廣泛視為交易者的買入信號，表明向上勢頭成長。

BTC Futures Sentiment Index Signals CautionDespite these bullish signals, not all analysts are convinced. Fellow CryptoQuant contributor abramchart recently observed that BTC’s futures sentiment index has continued to decline since February, suggesting a more cautious outlook among derivatives traders.

BTC期貨情緒指數信號提示，儘管這些看漲信號，但並非所有分析師都相信。同胞加密貢獻者Abramchart最近觀察到，自2月以來，BTC的未來情緒指數一直在下降，這表明衍生品交易員的前景更加謹慎。

Adding to the leading digital asset’s woes, a recent report suggested that China may be preparing to sell a large amount of confiscated BTC, which may increase selling pressure and potentially suppress prices in the short term. At press time, BTC trades at $84,766, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours.

除了領先的數字資產的困境外，最近的一份報告表明，中國可能正在準備出售大量沒收的BTC，這可能會增加銷售壓力並在短期內潛在地抑制價格。發稿時，BTC的交易價格為84,766美元，在過去24小時內下跌0.1％。