比特币（BTC）价格更正可能已经完成，为2025年积极移动奠定了基础

根据最近的一个加密快速帖子，比特币（BTC）可能接近完成当前市场周期的价格校正。

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According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) may be close to completing its price correction for the current market cycle. The premier cryptocurrency appears primed for positive movement in 2025, despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainty.

根据最近的一个加密快速帖子，比特币（BTC）可能接近完成当前市场周期的价格校正。尽管宏观经济的不确定性持续存在，但在2025年，主要的加密货币似乎是为了积极运动。

Bitcoin Looks Ready To Reverse TrendIn a Quicktake post, CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently undergoing a correction phase similar to the one observed in 2024. The analyst noted that the amount of BTC held for less than one week to one month can serve as an indicator of how “overheated” the crypto market is.

比特币似乎准备逆转趋势，加密贡献者Crypto Dan强调，BTC目前正在进行与2024年观察到的校正阶段相似的校正阶段。分析师指出，BTC的数量持续了少于一个星期到一个月，可以用作“过度降级”的指标。

For context, in markets with high speculative activity – such as crypto – price pullbacks tend to be significant. In contrast, markets with lower speculation, like gold, typically experience shallower corrections.

在上下文中，在高投机活动（例如加密货币）的市场中，价格下跌趋势往往很大。相比之下，猜测较低的市场（例如黄金）通常会经历较浅的校正。

Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing three major phases of the crypto market – a market rally (red arrow), an increase in the ratio of BTC held for less than one week to one month (green pattern), and a subsequent correction (yellow arrow).

Crypto Dan分享了以下图表，显示了加密市场的三个主要阶段 - 市场集会（红色箭头），持有的BTC比率增加了不到一个星期到一个月（绿色模式），以及随后的更正（黄色箭头）。

He explained that this pattern has played out twice during the current bull market, with both instances showing similarly elevated levels of short-term BTC holdings, suggesting a comparable degree of market overheating.

他解释说，这种模式在当前的牛市中已经两次发挥作用，这两个实例都表现出类似的短期BTC持有水平，这表明市场过热程度相当。

This ratio has now reached a cycle low, highlighted in the yellow-box region of the chart. Notably, the same region also marked the bottom of the 2024 market cycle.

现在，该比率达到了一个循环，在图表的黄色盒子区域中突出显示。值得注意的是，同一地区也标志着2024年市场周期的底部。

If the pattern mirrors its behaviour from 2024, it could indicate that the current cycle has also bottomed out. Crypto Dan explained:

如果该模式从2024年开始反映其行为，则可以表明当前周期也已经触底了。加密丹解释说：

In other words, the overheating is now resolved, and although we may need to wait a little longer, with the progress of macroeconomic issues, 2.5 is likely to show a positive movement.

换句话说，现在已经解决了过热，尽管我们可能需要等待更长的时间，但随着宏观经济问题的进展，2.5可能会显示出积极的运动。

Adding to the optimism, a separate post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also points to a possible shift in momentum. The analyst noted that BTC recently formed a golden cross on the daily chart – a bullish signal that often suggests a trend reversal is underway.

加密分析师泰坦（Titan）在X上的单独帖子增加了乐观，也表明了动量的转变。分析师指出，BTC最近在每日图表上形成了一个金十字架 - 看涨信号通常表明趋势逆转正在进行中。

For the uninitiated, a golden cross occurs when Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average, signalling a potential long-term bullish trend. It’s widely seen as a buy signal by traders, indicating growing upward momentum.

对于初学者，当比特币的50天移动平均线超过其200天移动平均线时，就会发生黄金十字架，这表明潜在的长期看涨趋势。它被广泛视为交易者的买入信号，表明向上势头成长。

BTC Futures Sentiment Index Signals CautionDespite these bullish signals, not all analysts are convinced. Fellow CryptoQuant contributor abramchart recently observed that BTC’s futures sentiment index has continued to decline since February, suggesting a more cautious outlook among derivatives traders.

BTC期货情绪指数信号提示，尽管这些看涨信号，但并非所有分析师都相信。同胞加密贡献者Abramchart最近观察到，自2月以来，BTC的未来情绪指数一直在下降，这表明衍生品交易员的前景更加谨慎。

Adding to the leading digital asset’s woes, a recent report suggested that China may be preparing to sell a large amount of confiscated BTC, which may increase selling pressure and potentially suppress prices in the short term. At press time, BTC trades at $84,766, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours.

除了领先的数字资产的困境外，最近的一份报告表明，中国可能正在准备出售大量没收的BTC，这可能会增加销售压力并在短期内潜在地抑制价格。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为84,766美元，在过去24小时内下跌0.1％。