比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析：多頭目標收復 65,000 美元，黃金 (XAU/USD) 目標為 3,000 美元

BTC 克服了看跌的季節性因素，從 52,500 美元附近的低點上漲了 22%，讓交易者專注於突破 65,000 美元的潛在突破

Precious metals continued to shine on Tuesday as spot gold hit a new record high, while equities and crypto assets saw mixed performance amid news of China’s broad stimulus package.

週二，貴金屬繼續大放異彩，現貨黃金創下歷史新高，而在中國推出廣泛刺激計劃的消息傳出後，股市和加密資產表現參差不齊。

Data provided by TradingView shows that Bitcoin hovered around $63,200 on Tuesday, with resistance at $64,000 continuing to pose a challenge for bulls.

TradingView提供的數據顯示，週二比特幣徘徊在63,200美元附近，64,000美元的阻力位繼續對多頭構成挑戰。

BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

BTC/USD 圖表（TradingView）

According to Secure Digital Markets analysts, Bitcoin has remained in a trading range for over 125 days, yet September has brought unexpected strength.

Secure Digital Markets 分析師表示，比特幣已經在超過 125 天的時間內一直保持在交易區間內，但 9 月卻帶來了意想不到的強勢。

“BTC has defied bearish seasonality with a 22% rally from a low near $52,500, keeping traders focused on a potential break above $65,000,” the analysts said.

分析師表示，“BTC 克服了看跌的季節性因素，從 52,500 美元附近的低點上漲了 22%，這讓交易員關注突破 65,000 美元的潛在突破。”

“Such a move would reestablish bullish sentiment by surpassing previous highs.”

“此舉將超越之前的高點，重新建立看漲情緒。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $64,275, an increase of 1.41% on the 24-hour chart.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 64,275 美元，24 小時圖上漲 1.41%。

Bitcoin saw a bullish turnaround in September after initially falling below $53,000 during the first week of the month.

比特幣在該月第一周最初跌破 53,000 美元後，在 9 月出現看漲轉變。

“We got off to a rocky start in September, very much in line with the historical trend, before things turned around in a big way the other week,” said Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, in a note to Kitco Crypto.

LMAX Group 市場策略師 Joel Kruger 在給 Kitco Crypto 的一份報告中表示：“我們 9 月的開局並不順利，這與歷史趨勢非常一致，但在前一周情況出現了重大轉變。”

“As a reminder, September is the worst month for crypto, with Bitcoin down nearly 5% on an average return basis from 2013 to 2023.”

“提醒一下，9 月是加密貨幣最糟糕的月份，從 2013 年到 2023 年，比特幣的平均回報率下降了近 5%。”

“But as we come into the final days of the month, we’re staring at month-to-date Bitcoin performance of 7.25%,” he noted.

「但當我們進入本月的最後幾天時，我們關注的是本月迄今為止的比特幣表現 7.25%，」他指出。

“Ether has followed along, producing month-to-date returns of 4.90%. A lot of the move has been driven on positive momentum from the Fed decision in which the central bank slashed rates by 50-basis points.”

「以太坊緊隨其後，本月迄今的回報率為 4.90%。聯準會決定將利率削減 50 個基點，這在很大程度上推動了這一舉措的積極勢頭。

“As highlighted on Monday, the Fed move has been extremely bullish for crypto assets as it has made the US Dollar less attractive, invited upside pressure on inflation (making limited supply deflationary crypto assets more attractive), all while inspiring an uptick in overall investor risk appetite,” Kruger said.

「正如週一所強調的，聯準會的舉措對加密資產極為看好，因為它降低了美元的吸引力，引發了通膨上行壓力（使得供應有限的通貨緊縮加密資產更具吸引力），同時激發了整體投資者的上漲風險偏好，」克魯格說。

“We’ve since seen a return of ETF inflows, which has extended to the ETH ETFs as well in recent days. We’ve also seen a continued push higher in the stablecoin market, a positive reflection on demand for the asset class.”

「此後我們看到 ETF 資金流入有所回升，最近幾天這種情況也擴展到了 ETH ETF。我們也看到穩定幣市場持續走高，這是對該資產類別需求的正面反映。

From a technical perspective, Kruger noted that “initial resistance for Bitcoin comes in at $65,000” and said, “We will need to see a clear break of this psychological barrier to open the next wave of upside momentum towards a retest and break of the record high.”

從技術角度來看，克魯格指出，“比特幣的初始阻力位為65,000 美元”，並表示，“我們需要看到這一心理障礙的明顯突破，才能開啟下一波上行勢頭，重新測試並打破紀錄。

Bulls are widely expected to easily clear $65,000 in the months ahead, especially if Bitcoin sees a positive close to September, as history shows it has a strong showing during the fourth quarter in years where it makes gains in September.

人們普遍預計，多頭將在未來幾個月輕鬆突破 65,000 美元，特別是如果比特幣在 9 月份收盤時出現積極表現，歷史表明，在 9 月份上漲的年份中，它在第四季度表現強勁。

“October and November are far and away the best months for crypto asset performance, so the market should be looking forward to making the transition into Q4,” Kruger concluded.

克魯格總結道：“10 月和 11 月無疑是加密資產表現最好的月份，因此市場應該期待過渡到第四季度。”

And with gold’s continued ascent to new record highs, TradingView analyst Arman Shaban said recent developments could soon see the yellow metal surpass $3,000.

TradingView 分析師 Arman Shaban 表示，隨著金價持續升至新紀錄高點，近期的事態發展可能很快就會讓金價突破 3,000 美元。

“By analyzing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has risen to $2640, marking a new high,” he wrote in an update on Tuesday.

「透過分析 2 小時時間範圍內的 #gold 圖表，我們可以看到價格已升至 2640 美元，創下新高，」他在周二的更新中寫道。

“These days, we are witnessing gold setting new all-time highs daily, and many analysts, including myself, expect that if the downward trend in interest rates and the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon continue, we could potentially see gold rise to $3000 in the mid-term,” Shaban said.

「這些天，我們目睹金價每天創下新的歷史高點，包括我自己在內的許多分析師預計，如果利率下降趨勢以及以色列和黎巴嫩真主黨之間的衝突持續下去，我們可能會看到金價上漲至中期 3000 美元，」沙班說。

“However, if the price closes below $2640 today and doesn't break a new high, we could expect a correction down to $2617 as the first target. Gold is currently trading around $2632.”

「然而，如果價格今天收在 2640 美元下方並且沒有突破新高，我們預計將回調至 2617 美元作為第一個目標。黃金目前交易價格約為 2632 美元。

Altcoin uptrend continues

山寨幣上漲趨勢仍在持續

Bitcoin’s resilience has helped encourage traders to re-engage with the riskier altcoin market, with a majority of tokens in the top 200 recording gains on Tuesday.

比特幣的彈性有助於鼓勵交易者重新參與風險較高的山寨幣市場，週二前 200 名中的大多數代幣都錄得漲幅。

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

每日加密貨幣市場表現。來源：Coin360

Echelon Prime (PRIME) was the biggest gainer, increasing 21.3%, followed by a 14.9% rally for dogwifhat (WIF) and a 12.4% spike for Altlayer (ALT). Aave (AAVE) was the biggest loser, falling 6.6%, while Catizen (CATI) lost 6.6%, and MX Token (MX

Echelon Prime (PRIME) 漲幅最大，上漲 21.3%，其次是 Dogwifhat (WIF) 上漲 14.9%，Altlayer (ALT) 上漲 12.4%。 Aave (AAVE) 跌幅最大，下跌 6.6%，Catizen (CATI) 下跌 6.6%，MX Token (MX