比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：多头目标收复 65,000 美元，黄金 (XAU/USD) 目标为 3,000 美元

BTC 克服了看跌的季节性因素，从 52,500 美元附近的低点上涨了 22%，让交易者关注突破 65,000 美元的潜在突破

Precious metals continued to shine on Tuesday as spot gold hit a new record high, while equities and crypto assets saw mixed performance amid news of China’s broad stimulus package.

周二，贵金属继续大放异彩，现货黄金创下历史新高，而在中国推出广泛刺激计划的消息传出后，股市和加密资产表现参差不齐。

Data provided by TradingView shows that Bitcoin hovered around $63,200 on Tuesday, with resistance at $64,000 continuing to pose a challenge for bulls.

TradingView提供的数据显示，周二比特币徘徊在63,200美元附近，64,000美元的阻力位继续对多头构成挑战。

BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

BTC/USD 图表（TradingView）

According to Secure Digital Markets analysts, Bitcoin has remained in a trading range for over 125 days, yet September has brought unexpected strength.

Secure Digital Markets 分析师表示，比特币已经在超过 125 天的时间里一直保持在交易区间内，但 9 月份却带来了意想不到的强势。

“BTC has defied bearish seasonality with a 22% rally from a low near $52,500, keeping traders focused on a potential break above $65,000,” the analysts said.

分析师表示，“BTC 克服了看跌的季节性因素，从 52,500 美元附近的低点上涨了 22%，这让交易员关注突破 65,000 美元的潜在突破。”

“Such a move would reestablish bullish sentiment by surpassing previous highs.”

“此举将超越之前的高点，重新建立看涨情绪。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $64,275, an increase of 1.41% on the 24-hour chart.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 64,275 美元，24 小时图上涨 1.41%。

Bitcoin saw a bullish turnaround in September after initially falling below $53,000 during the first week of the month.

比特币在该月第一周最初跌破 53,000 美元后，在 9 月份出现看涨转变。

“We got off to a rocky start in September, very much in line with the historical trend, before things turned around in a big way the other week,” said Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, in a note to Kitco Crypto.

LMAX Group 市场策略师 Joel Kruger 在给 Kitco Crypto 的一份报告中表示：“我们 9 月份的开局并不顺利，这与历史趋势非常一致，但在前一周情况出现了重大转变。”

“As a reminder, September is the worst month for crypto, with Bitcoin down nearly 5% on an average return basis from 2013 to 2023.”

“提醒一下，9 月是加密货币最糟糕的月份，从 2013 年到 2023 年，比特币的平均回报率下降了近 5%。”

“But as we come into the final days of the month, we’re staring at month-to-date Bitcoin performance of 7.25%,” he noted.

“但当我们进入本月的最后几天时，我们关注的是本月迄今为止的比特币表现 7.25%，”他指出。

“Ether has followed along, producing month-to-date returns of 4.90%. A lot of the move has been driven on positive momentum from the Fed decision in which the central bank slashed rates by 50-basis points.”

“以太坊紧随其后，本月迄今的回报率为 4.90%。美联储决定将利率削减 50 个基点，这在很大程度上推动了这一举措的积极势头。”

“As highlighted on Monday, the Fed move has been extremely bullish for crypto assets as it has made the US Dollar less attractive, invited upside pressure on inflation (making limited supply deflationary crypto assets more attractive), all while inspiring an uptick in overall investor risk appetite,” Kruger said.

“正如周一所强调的，美联储的举措对加密资产极为看好，因为它降低了美元的吸引力，引发了通胀上行压力（使得供应有限的通货紧缩加密资产更具吸引力），同时激发了整体投资者的上涨风险偏好，”克鲁格说。

“We’ve since seen a return of ETF inflows, which has extended to the ETH ETFs as well in recent days. We’ve also seen a continued push higher in the stablecoin market, a positive reflection on demand for the asset class.”

“此后我们看到 ETF 资金流入有所回升，最近几天这种情况也扩展到了 ETH ETF。我们还看到稳定币市场持续走高，这是对该资产类别需求的积极反映。”

From a technical perspective, Kruger noted that “initial resistance for Bitcoin comes in at $65,000” and said, “We will need to see a clear break of this psychological barrier to open the next wave of upside momentum towards a retest and break of the record high.”

从技术角度来看，克鲁格指出，“比特币的初始阻力位为 65,000 美元”，并表示，“我们需要看到这一心理障碍的明显突破，才能开启下一波上行势头，重新测试并打破纪录。”高的。”

Bulls are widely expected to easily clear $65,000 in the months ahead, especially if Bitcoin sees a positive close to September, as history shows it has a strong showing during the fourth quarter in years where it makes gains in September.

人们普遍预计，多头将在未来几个月轻松突破 65,000 美元，特别是如果比特币在 9 月份收盘时出现积极表现，历史表明，在 9 月份上涨的年份中，它在第四季度表现强劲。

“October and November are far and away the best months for crypto asset performance, so the market should be looking forward to making the transition into Q4,” Kruger concluded.

克鲁格总结道：“10 月和 11 月无疑是加密资产表现最好的月份，因此市场应该期待过渡到第四季度。”

And with gold’s continued ascent to new record highs, TradingView analyst Arman Shaban said recent developments could soon see the yellow metal surpass $3,000.

TradingView 分析师 Arman Shaban 表示，随着金价持续升至新纪录高点，近期的事态发展可能很快会让金价突破 3,000 美元。

“By analyzing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has risen to $2640, marking a new high,” he wrote in an update on Tuesday.

“通过分析 2 小时时间范围内的 #gold 图表，我们可以看到价格已升至 2640 美元，创下新高，”他在周二的更新中写道。

“These days, we are witnessing gold setting new all-time highs daily, and many analysts, including myself, expect that if the downward trend in interest rates and the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon continue, we could potentially see gold rise to $3000 in the mid-term,” Shaban said.

“这些天，我们目睹金价每天创下新的历史高点，包括我自己在内的许多分析师预计，如果利率下降趋势以及以色列和黎巴嫩真主党之间的冲突持续下去，我们可能会看到金价上涨至中期 3000 美元，”沙班说。

“However, if the price closes below $2640 today and doesn't break a new high, we could expect a correction down to $2617 as the first target. Gold is currently trading around $2632.”

“然而，如果价格今天收于 2640 美元下方并且没有突破新高，我们预计将回调至 2617 美元作为第一个目标。黄金目前交易价格约为 2632 美元。”

Altcoin uptrend continues

山寨币上涨趋势仍在继续

Bitcoin’s resilience has helped encourage traders to re-engage with the riskier altcoin market, with a majority of tokens in the top 200 recording gains on Tuesday.

比特币的弹性有助于鼓励交易者重新参与风险较高的山寨币市场，周二前 200 名中的大多数代币都录得涨幅。

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

每日加密货币市场表现。来源：Coin360

Echelon Prime (PRIME) was the biggest gainer, increasing 21.3%, followed by a 14.9% rally for dogwifhat (WIF) and a 12.4% spike for Altlayer (ALT). Aave (AAVE) was the biggest loser, falling 6.6%, while Catizen (CATI) lost 6.6%, and MX Token (MX

Echelon Prime (PRIME) 涨幅最大，上涨 21.3%，其次是 Dogwifhat (WIF) 上涨 14.9%，Altlayer (ALT) 上涨 12.4%。 Aave (AAVE) 跌幅最大，下跌 6.6%，Catizen (CATI) 下跌 6.6%，MX Token (MX