隨著市場樂觀情緒消退，比特幣（BTC）面臨潛在的短期調整

由於比特幣 (BTC) 似乎正在努力突破 10 萬美元的阻力位，技術指標表明可能會出現調整。

Bitcoin (BTC) technicals hint at a possible correction below the $90,000 mark as the asset struggles to breach the key resistance at $100,000.

比特幣 (BTC) 技術面暗示，由於該資產難以突破 10 萬美元的關鍵阻力，因此可能會跌破 9 萬美元大關。

After hitting a new record high above $99,000 on November 22, Bitcoin has shown a sell signal on the 12-hour chart based on the TD Sequential indicator. This indicates a potential drop below the $90,000 level, as noted by Ali Martinez in his analysis on November 23.

在 11 月 22 日觸及 99,000 美元上方的新紀錄高點後，基於 TD 順序指標，比特幣在 12 小時圖表上顯示出賣出訊號。正如 Ali Martinez 在 11 月 23 日的分析中指出的那樣，這表明價格可能會跌破 90,000 美元。

In this scenario, key Fibonacci retracement levels could serve as potential downside targets, with the 61.8% Fib at $91,583 and the 78.6% Fib at $85,610.

在這種情況下，關鍵的斐波那契回檔位可能成為潛在的下行目標，其中 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位為 91,583 美元，78.6% 斐波那契回檔位為 85,610 美元。

However, there's still a chance for Bitcoin to invalidate this bearish signal. According to Martinez, if BTC closes above a critical resistance level of $100,535, the bearish setup will be canceled.

然而，比特幣仍有機會使這一看跌訊號失效。馬丁內斯表示，如果 BTC 收盤價高於 100,535 美元的關鍵阻力位，則看跌設定將被取消。

Bitcoin’s bearish outlook emerging

比特幣的看跌前景正在顯現

In another development, Scott Melker, host of The Wolf Of All Streets, highlighted a high probability of Bitcoin correcting below the $90,000 mark in an X post on November 2024.

另一方面，《The Wolf Of All Streets》的主持人 Scott Melker 在 2024 年 11 月的 X 貼文中強調，比特幣很有可能回調至 9 萬美元大關以下。

He noted that the flagship cryptocurrency is showing signs of a potential local top, with significant bearish divergence forming on multiple timeframes along with an overbought RSI. Such setups have historically signaled price corrections, although no indicator can guarantee an outcome.

他指出，旗艦加密貨幣正顯示出潛在局部頂部的跡象，在多個時間框架內形成顯著的看跌背離以及超買的 RSI。儘管沒有指標可以保證結果，但此類設定在歷史上曾發出價格修正的訊號。

In the short term, Melker noted that the most likely pullback zones are around the low $90,000s to high $80,000s.

梅爾克指出，短期內最有可能的回檔區域是 9 萬美元低點至 8 萬美元高點附近。

“Significant bearish divergence with overbought RSI on most time frames. Usually a clear signal of a local top, at the very least. <…> Most likely place for a pullback is the low 90s or high 80s,” he stated.

「在大多數時間範圍內，RSI 都處於超買狀態，存在顯著的看跌背離。通常至少是當地頂部的明確訊號。 <...> 最有可能回調的地方是 90 年代低點或 80 年代高點，」他表示。

He added that it's crucial to note that Bitcoin's previous all-time high of $74,000 is yet to be tested as support, which could be interesting to watch.

他補充說，值得注意的是，比特幣之前的歷史高點 74,000 美元尚未經過支撐位測試，這一點值得關注。

Meanwhile, on-chain metrics indicate a potential sustained correction for Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark. There seems to be a growing presence of spoofing on trading platforms, where large walls of sell orders (ask liquidity) are strategically placed to push the market lower toward support levels.

同時，鏈上指標顯示比特幣可能會持續修正至 10 萬美元大關以下。交易平台上的欺騙行為似乎越來越多，這些平台上策略性地放置了大量的賣單（要求流動性），以將市場推向支撐位。

This creates bearish sentiment, as these walls are often used to manipulate short-term price movements, contributing to the volatility below $100,000.

這會產生看跌情緒，因為這些牆壁經常被用來操縱短期價格走勢，導致波動性低於 10 萬美元。

Amid the current market momentum, the overall sentiment remains bullish on Bitcoin hitting the next $100,000 resistance, despite the uncertainty about the asset's next move after this target.

在當前的市場動能中，儘管該資產在該目標之後的下一步走勢存在不確定性，但整體情緒仍然看漲比特幣觸及下一個 10 萬美元阻力位。

While some anticipate a sharp correction, other analysts maintain that Bitcoin will likely target as high as $150,000.

雖然有些人預計比特幣將大幅調整，但其他分析師則堅持認為比特幣的目標可能高達 15 萬美元。

For example, Caleb Franzen, founder of financial research resource Cubic Analytics, stated on November 23 that the asset could target $175,000 by 2025, adding that the current bull market is “right on schedule.”

例如，金融研究資源 Cubic Analytics 創始人 Caleb Franzen 於 11 月 23 日表示，該資產到 2025 年的目標可能是 175,000 美元，並補充說當前的牛市「正按計劃進行」。

On the other hand, technical indicators and historical price movement suggest that the premier digital asset might target the $135,000 level in December 2024.

另一方面，技術指標和歷史價格走勢表明，這一主要數位資產可能會在 2024 年 12 月達到 135,000 美元的目標。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin's price stood at $97,390 at the time of writing, showing a 1.1% decrease over the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, BTC is still up over 7%.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣的價格為 97,390 美元，在過去 24 小時內下跌了 1.1%。週線圖上，BTC漲幅仍超過7%。

In conclusion, Bitcoin faces potential short-term corrections, but the overall market sentiment remains bullish on claiming the $100,000 mark. However, with technicals indicating a possible pullback, bulls must aim to keep the asset's valuation above the $97,000 resistance.

總而言之，比特幣面臨潛在的短期調整，但整體市場情緒仍然看漲，預計將突破 10 萬美元大關。然而，由於技術面顯示可能出現回調，多頭必須致力於將資產估值保持在 97,000 美元阻力位之上。

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