随着市场乐观情绪消退，比特币（BTC）面临潜在的短期调整

由于比特币 (BTC) 似乎正在努力突破 100,000 美元的阻力位，技术指标表明可能会出现调整。

Bitcoin (BTC) technicals hint at a possible correction below the $90,000 mark as the asset struggles to breach the key resistance at $100,000.

比特币 (BTC) 技术面暗示，由于该资产难以突破 100,000 美元的关键阻力，因此可能会跌破 90,000 美元大关。

After hitting a new record high above $99,000 on November 22, Bitcoin has shown a sell signal on the 12-hour chart based on the TD Sequential indicator. This indicates a potential drop below the $90,000 level, as noted by Ali Martinez in his analysis on November 23.

在 11 月 22 日触及 99,000 美元上方的新纪录高位后，基于 TD 顺序指标，比特币在 12 小时图表上显示出卖出信号。正如 Ali Martinez 在 11 月 23 日的分析中指出的那样，这表明价格可能会跌破 90,000 美元。

In this scenario, key Fibonacci retracement levels could serve as potential downside targets, with the 61.8% Fib at $91,583 and the 78.6% Fib at $85,610.

在这种情况下，关键的斐波那契回撤位可能成为潜在的下行目标，其中 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位为 91,583 美元，78.6% 斐波那契回撤位为 85,610 美元。

However, there's still a chance for Bitcoin to invalidate this bearish signal. According to Martinez, if BTC closes above a critical resistance level of $100,535, the bearish setup will be canceled.

然而，比特币仍有机会使这一看跌信号失效。马丁内斯表示，如果 BTC 收盘价高于 100,535 美元的关键阻力位，则看跌设置将被取消。

Bitcoin’s bearish outlook emerging

比特币的看跌前景正在显现

In another development, Scott Melker, host of The Wolf Of All Streets, highlighted a high probability of Bitcoin correcting below the $90,000 mark in an X post on November 2024.

另一方面，《The Wolf Of All Streets》的主持人 Scott Melker 在 2024 年 11 月的 X 帖子中强调，比特币很有可能回调至 90,000 美元大关以下。

He noted that the flagship cryptocurrency is showing signs of a potential local top, with significant bearish divergence forming on multiple timeframes along with an overbought RSI. Such setups have historically signaled price corrections, although no indicator can guarantee an outcome.

他指出，旗舰加密货币正显示出潜在局部顶部的迹象，在多个时间框架内形成显着的看跌背离以及超买的 RSI。尽管没有指标可以保证结果，但此类设置在历史上曾发出过价格修正的信号。

In the short term, Melker noted that the most likely pullback zones are around the low $90,000s to high $80,000s.

梅尔克指出，短期内最有可能的回调区域是 90,000 美元低点至 80,000 美元高点附近。

“Significant bearish divergence with overbought RSI on most time frames. Usually a clear signal of a local top, at the very least. <…> Most likely place for a pullback is the low 90s or high 80s,” he stated.

“在大多数时间范围内，RSI 都处于超买状态，存在显着的看跌背离。通常至少是当地顶部的明确信号。 <...> 最有可能回调的地方是 90 年代低点或 80 年代高点，”他表示。

He added that it's crucial to note that Bitcoin's previous all-time high of $74,000 is yet to be tested as support, which could be interesting to watch.

他补充说，值得注意的是，比特币之前的历史高点 74,000 美元尚未经过支撑位测试，这一点值得关注。

Meanwhile, on-chain metrics indicate a potential sustained correction for Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark. There seems to be a growing presence of spoofing on trading platforms, where large walls of sell orders (ask liquidity) are strategically placed to push the market lower toward support levels.

与此同时，链上指标表明比特币可能会持续修正至 10 万美元大关以下。交易平台上的欺骗行为似乎越来越多，这些平台上策略性地放置了大量的卖单（要求流动性），以将市场推向支撑位。

This creates bearish sentiment, as these walls are often used to manipulate short-term price movements, contributing to the volatility below $100,000.

这会产生看跌情绪，因为这些墙经常被用来操纵短期价格走势，导致波动性低于 100,000 美元。

Amid the current market momentum, the overall sentiment remains bullish on Bitcoin hitting the next $100,000 resistance, despite the uncertainty about the asset's next move after this target.

在当前的市场势头中，尽管该资产在该目标之后的下一步走势存在不确定性，但整体情绪仍然看涨比特币触及下一个 100,000 美元阻力位。

While some anticipate a sharp correction, other analysts maintain that Bitcoin will likely target as high as $150,000.

虽然一些人预计比特币将出现大幅调整，但其他分析师则坚持认为比特币的目标可能高达 15 万美元。

For example, Caleb Franzen, founder of financial research resource Cubic Analytics, stated on November 23 that the asset could target $175,000 by 2025, adding that the current bull market is “right on schedule.”

例如，金融研究资源 Cubic Analytics 创始人 Caleb Franzen 于 11 月 23 日表示，该资产到 2025 年的目标可能是 175,000 美元，并补充说当前的牛市“正按计划进行”。

On the other hand, technical indicators and historical price movement suggest that the premier digital asset might target the $135,000 level in December 2024.

另一方面，技术指标和历史价格走势表明，这一主要数字资产可能会在 2024 年 12 月达到 135,000 美元的目标。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin's price stood at $97,390 at the time of writing, showing a 1.1% decrease over the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, BTC is still up over 7%.

截至撰写本文时，比特币的价格为 97,390 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌了 1.1%。周线图上，BTC涨幅仍超过7%。

In conclusion, Bitcoin faces potential short-term corrections, but the overall market sentiment remains bullish on claiming the $100,000 mark. However, with technicals indicating a possible pullback, bulls must aim to keep the asset's valuation above the $97,000 resistance.

总而言之，比特币面临潜在的短期调整，但整体市场情绪仍然看涨，有望突破 10 万美元大关。然而，由于技术面显示可能出现回调，多头必须致力于将资产估值保持在 97,000 美元阻力位之上。

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