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自 2024 年美國大選以來,比特幣 (BTC) 一直在上漲。這尤其由於加密貨幣倡導者唐納德·川普重新當選總統。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been buzzing since the 2024 US election, particularly driven by cryptocurrency advocate Donald Trump clinching back the presidency. Promises of a crypto-friendly regime and the passage of new laws favoring BTC fueled optimism, propelling the coin toward a series of new all-time highs.
自 2024 年美國大選以來,比特幣 (BTC) 的價格走勢一直備受關注,尤其是在加密貨幣倡導者唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 重新當選總統的推動下。對加密貨幣友善的製度的承諾以及有利於比特幣的新法律的通過激發了人們的樂觀情緒,推動比特幣創下一系列新的歷史新高。
With institutional adoption growing exponentially and a friendlier crypto regulatory climate on the horizon in the US, Bitcoin’s rally is undoubtedly set to continue. However, key indicators suggest that a potential correction may be approaching.
隨著機構採用率呈指數級增長以及美國即將出現更友好的加密貨幣監管環境,比特幣的上漲無疑將繼續下去。然而,關鍵指標表明潛在的調整可能即將到來。
Bitcoin Market Sentiment Gets Overly Greedy
比特幣市場情緒變得太貪婪
Interestingly, the Fear & Greed Indices from popular platforms like Alternative.me and CoinMarketCap have synchronized their dials at 83. Based on a 0 to 100 metric where the lowest indicates an overly cautious market and the highest displays aggressive investor behavior, the latest score is treading at the “Extreme Greed” territory.
有趣的是,Alternative.me 和CoinMarketCap 等熱門平台的恐懼與貪婪指數已將其刻度盤同步為83。為踏入「極度貪婪」的領域。
At this point, FOMO (fear of missing out) is likely influencing the buying spree in the market as Bitcoin and other altcoins are either experiencing new record highs or taking significant recoveries from their previous losses during the long crypto winter. The heightened investor interest in these crypto assets is a sign of increased adoption, but an extremely greedy trading behavior in the consensus normally marks a possible correction coming up.
此時此刻,FOMO(害怕錯過)可能會影響市場的購買熱潮,因為比特幣和其他山寨幣要么正在經歷新的紀錄高點,要么在漫長的加密冬季期間從之前的損失中大幅恢復。投資者對這些加密資產興趣的增加是採用增加的跡象,但共識中極其貪婪的交易行為通常標誌著可能出現的調整。
In a nutshell, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index puts forward the following assumptions:
簡而言之,加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數提出以下假設:
RSI Readings Treading the Overbought Zone
RSI 讀數處於超買區域
Bitcoin seems to be gearing up toward establishing a strong foothold of the $90K line. However, the 14-range Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings in the one-day to one-week charts are hovering above the 70 line.
比特幣似乎正準備在 9 萬美元一線站穩腳跟。然而,一日至一週圖表中的 14 個範圍的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 讀數徘徊在 70 線上方。
A score of above 70 means an asset is already overbought or overvalued. It’s usually a precursor to a pullback or trend reversal.
分數高於 70 表示資產已經超買或高估。它通常是回調或趨勢逆轉的前兆。
On the other hand, the trend might merely position Bitcoin toward a pullback as the prime crypto asset has not yet exhausted its climb due to the euphoria surrounding the upcoming crypto-friendly administration in the US. In this case, the event could present a good buying opportunity for BTC investors before prices would eventually blow off the roof.
另一方面,這一趨勢可能只會使比特幣走向回調,因為由於美國即將上任的加密貨幣友善政府的興奮,主要加密資產尚未耗盡其上漲勢頭。在這種情況下,該事件可能會在比特幣價格最終飆升之前為比特幣投資者提供良好的買入機會。
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