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自 2024 年美国大选以来,比特币 (BTC) 一直在上涨。这尤其是由于加密货币倡导者唐纳德·特朗普重新当选总统。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has been buzzing since the 2024 US election, particularly driven by cryptocurrency advocate Donald Trump clinching back the presidency. Promises of a crypto-friendly regime and the passage of new laws favoring BTC fueled optimism, propelling the coin toward a series of new all-time highs.
自 2024 年美国大选以来,比特币 (BTC) 的价格走势一直备受关注,尤其是在加密货币倡导者唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 重新当选总统的推动下。对加密货币友好的制度的承诺以及有利于比特币的新法律的通过激发了人们的乐观情绪,推动比特币创下一系列新的历史新高。
With institutional adoption growing exponentially and a friendlier crypto regulatory climate on the horizon in the US, Bitcoin’s rally is undoubtedly set to continue. However, key indicators suggest that a potential correction may be approaching.
随着机构采用率呈指数级增长以及美国即将出现更友好的加密货币监管环境,比特币的上涨无疑将继续下去。然而,关键指标表明潜在的调整可能即将到来。
Bitcoin Market Sentiment Gets Overly Greedy
比特币市场情绪变得过于贪婪
Interestingly, the Fear & Greed Indices from popular platforms like Alternative.me and CoinMarketCap have synchronized their dials at 83. Based on a 0 to 100 metric where the lowest indicates an overly cautious market and the highest displays aggressive investor behavior, the latest score is treading at the “Extreme Greed” territory.
有趣的是,Alternative.me 和 CoinMarketCap 等热门平台的恐惧与贪婪指数已将其刻度盘同步为 83。基于 0 到 100 的指标,最低值表明市场过于谨慎,最高值表明投资者行为激进,最新得分为踏入“极度贪婪”的领地。
At this point, FOMO (fear of missing out) is likely influencing the buying spree in the market as Bitcoin and other altcoins are either experiencing new record highs or taking significant recoveries from their previous losses during the long crypto winter. The heightened investor interest in these crypto assets is a sign of increased adoption, but an extremely greedy trading behavior in the consensus normally marks a possible correction coming up.
此时此刻,FOMO(害怕错过)可能会影响市场的购买热潮,因为比特币和其他山寨币要么正在经历新的纪录高点,要么在漫长的加密冬季期间从之前的损失中大幅恢复。投资者对这些加密资产兴趣的增加是采用增加的迹象,但共识中极其贪婪的交易行为通常标志着可能出现的调整。
In a nutshell, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index puts forward the following assumptions:
简而言之,加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数提出以下假设:
RSI Readings Treading the Overbought Zone
RSI 读数处于超买区域
Bitcoin seems to be gearing up toward establishing a strong foothold of the $90K line. However, the 14-range Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings in the one-day to one-week charts are hovering above the 70 line.
比特币似乎正准备在 9 万美元一线站稳脚跟。然而,一日至一周图表中的 14 个范围的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 读数徘徊在 70 线上方。
A score of above 70 means an asset is already overbought or overvalued. It’s usually a precursor to a pullback or trend reversal.
分数高于 70 意味着资产已经超买或高估。它通常是回调或趋势逆转的前兆。
On the other hand, the trend might merely position Bitcoin toward a pullback as the prime crypto asset has not yet exhausted its climb due to the euphoria surrounding the upcoming crypto-friendly administration in the US. In this case, the event could present a good buying opportunity for BTC investors before prices would eventually blow off the roof.
另一方面,这一趋势可能只会使比特币走向回调,因为由于美国即将上任的加密货币友好型政府的兴奋,主要加密资产尚未耗尽其上涨势头。在这种情况下,该事件可能会在比特币价格最终暴涨之前为比特币投资者提供良好的买入机会。
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