網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）說

彼得森分析了過去的模式，發現BTC在其運動中表現出季節性行為。他的模型表明，比特幣在接下來的兩個半月中具有很大的接觸可能性。

Network economist Timothy Peterson has predicted that Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high by June if history repeats itself.

網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）預測，如果歷史重演，比特幣可能會在6月達到新的歷史最高水平。

The economist, who specializes in Bitcoin analysis, has identified a seasonal behavior in the cryptocurrency’s price movements. According to his model, there’s a strong possibility that BTC could touch new highs in the next two and a half months.

專門從事比特幣分析的經濟學家已經確定了加密貨幣價格變動中的季節性行為。根據他的模型，BTC很有可能在接下來的兩個半月中觸及新的高點。

At the moment, Bitcoin is at the low point of its all-time seasonal range, which bodes well for a strong comeback, according to Peterson. Nearly all of the year’s gains occur in the April and October months, which reinforces the possibility of a new all-time high in June.

彼得森說，目前，比特幣正處於其歷史季節性範圍的低點，這對於捲土重來的重返次數很好。幾乎所有一年的收益都發生在4月和10月的幾個月中，這加強了6月有新歷史最高高點的可能性。

“Nearly all of Bitcoin’s annual performance occurs in 2 months: April and October,” Peterson stated. “It is entirely possible Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high before June.”

彼得森說：“幾乎所有比特幣的年度表現都發生在兩個月內：四月和十月。” “完全有可能比特幣在六月之前達到新的歷史最高水平。”

Peterson’s analysis indicates that BTC is repeating its previous cycles, particularly the massive rallies of prior bull cycles. Bitcoin’s price has decreased by about 30% from its January mid-cycle peak, which he considers typical of bull market corrections.

彼得森的分析表明，BTC正在重複其先前的周期，尤其是先前牛週期的大規模集會。比特幣的價格從1月的中期峰值開始下降了約30％，他認為這是牛市校正的典型。

Despite this correction, Peterson remains bullish on Bitcoin’s upside potential. His model predicts a median value of $126,000 for Bitcoin by June 1.

儘管採取了這種修正，但彼得森仍然對比特幣的上升潛力看漲。他的模型預測，到6月1日，比特幣的中位價值為126,000美元。

Lower Price Forward Model Suggests $69K Is New Support Level

較低的價格遠期模型表明$ 69K是新的支持水平

One of Peterson’s most significant Bitcoin price indicators, the Lowest Price Forward model, has accurately predicted support levels in the longer term. In 2020, the model had forecast that Bitcoin would no longer fall below $10,000 by September, and as predicted, the cryptocurrency remained above this level.

彼得森最重要的比特幣價格指標之一，即最低的價格遠期模型，從長遠來看可以準確地預測支持水平。在2020年，該模型預測，到9月，比特幣將不再低於10,000美元，正如預測的那樣，加密貨幣仍然高於此水平。

This year, the model suggests a similar level at $69,000, with a 95% probability of becoming a new support level. The model attests to the fact that Bitcoin’s recent decline is only a temporary setback and not a failure in the market.

今年，該模型的水平相似，為69,000美元，有95％的可能性成為新的支持水平。該模型證明了比特幣最近的下降只是暫時的挫折，而不是市場上的失敗。

Peterson adds that the average period of its below-trend stay is around four months, and the present weakness may be ending. His model’s dotted red trendline places BTC at $126,000 on June 1st, aligning with its previous movement patterns.

彼得森補充說，其低於趨勢的平均期限約為四個月，目前的弱點可能已經結束。他的模特點綴的紅色趨勢線在6月1日將BTC的$ 126,000置於126,000美元，與先前的運動模式保持一致。

A broader market cycle of Bitcoin also hints at an extremely bullish argument. Bitcoin may be on the verge of a huge breakthrough and could surpass the $150,000 level in the latter part of this year if it follows the trend of previous bull cycles.

比特幣的更廣泛的市場週期也暗示了一個極其看漲的論點。比特幣可能處於巨大突破的邊緣，如果遵循以前的公牛週期的趨勢，今年後期可能會超過15萬美元的水平。

Bitcoin's 2024-2025 cycle mirrors 2020's explosive rally. Some analysts like Trader Tardigrade predict the current movement in BTC looks almost identical to its 2020 cycle.

比特幣的2024-2025循環循環反映了2020年的爆炸性集會。像Trader Tardigrade這樣的一些分析師預測，BTC的當前運動看起來幾乎與其2020年周期相同。

In 2020, Bitcoin consolidated and then broke out in the latter half of the year in a move that took it from around $10,000 to over $60,000 in a few months. If history repeats itself, Bitcoin might have another parabolic run higher above $150,000 and could potentially reach $160,000 by the end of 2025.

2020年，比特幣合併，然後在下半年爆發，此舉使它從大約10,000美元到幾個月內的60,000美元以上。如果歷史重演，比特幣可能會有另一種拋物線質量高於150,000美元，並可能在2025年底之前達到160,000美元。

The analogy between the two cycles confirms the argument for an extended bull run. In January 2024, there was a rally similar to the rally in April 2020, opening the doors for an extended upswing. If it follows the trend, it could be on the cusp of a second major rally similar to its previous doubling effect after consolidation.

兩個循環之間的類比證實了擴展的公牛奔跑的論點。 2024年1月，有一個與2020年4月的集會相似的集會，為延長上升的大門打開了大門。如果趨勢趨於趨勢，則可能是第二個主要集會的風口，與鞏固後其先前的加倍效應相似。

As market sentiment repeats itself in the past, BTC’s near-term volatility might be only a stepping point toward all-time highs. With the present market structure in place, it could easily test its $100,000 resistance and push into uncharted territory in the near term.

隨著過去的市場情緒在過去重演，BTC的近期波動率可能只是朝著歷史最高高點的一個步驟。有了當前的市場結構，它可以輕鬆地測試其100,000美元的阻力，並在短期內推向未知領域。

If history repeats itself, the next few months might be historic for investors in Bitcoin.

如果歷史重演，那麼接下來的幾個月對於比特幣投資者來說可能是歷史性的。