比特幣（BTC）在FOMC公告之前徘徊在$ 83K

比特幣目前處於至關重要的十字路口，測試了可以決定下一個大動作的鑰匙阻力水平。從歷史上看，當比特幣在牛市中面臨這些水平時

Bitcoin is currently at a crucial crossroads, testing key resistance levels that could determine the next big move.

比特幣目前處於至關重要的十字路口，測試了可以決定下一個大動作的鑰匙阻力水平。

Many traders are fearing a market crash if the Fed hints at keeping interest rates high for a longer period. However, in a latest X post, Lark Dewis, a Bitcoin investor and entrepreneur, is referring to a chart created 150 years ago by a farmer from Ohio that shows when to make the most money in markets.

如果美聯儲提示更長的時間保持利率高，許多交易者會擔心市場崩潰。但是，在最新的X帖子中，比特幣投資者和企業家Lark Dewis提到了150年前俄亥俄州農民創建的圖表，該圖表表明何時在市場上賺錢最多。

This chart has been remarkably accurate in the past, notably predicting the market crash in 2008 by advising people to exit in 2007. The chart divides the market into cycles and signals the “good times”, “hard times,” and years in which panics have occurred, with specific years marked for optimal profit-taking.

過去，該圖表非常準確，特別是通過建議人們在2007年退出2008年的市場崩潰。該圖表將市場劃分為周期，並指示“好時代”，“艱難時期”，以及發生恐慌的年份，特定的年份標記為最佳利潤。

According to the chart, 2026 will be a “year of good times,” likely indicating a great time to sell and take profits. The question is, will this market cycle extend to 2026 and will we see a new all-time high for Bitcoin next year? Only time will tell.

根據圖表，2026年將是“美好時光的一年”，這可能表明出售和獲利的好時機。問題是，這個市場週期會延長到2026年嗎？明年我們會看到比特幣的新歷史高峰嗎？只有時間會證明。

As on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin’s market might be changing, recently, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that the bull run could be finished, and we may observe prices either moving slowly or dropping for the next 6 to 12 months.

正如鍊上的數據表明，CryptoQuant的首席執行官Ki Young Ju表示，Bull-Quant of Bull un un可能會完成，我們可能會觀察到價格在接下來的6到12個月內下降。

Analysts predict Bitcoin could hit new all-time highs by June 2025. However, a rising wedge pattern on the BTC chart suggests that it might happen even sooner. The wedge is nearing its breaking point, and if Bitcoin breaks out, we could see a huge price surge. On the other hand, a rejection could lead to more downside for the cryptocurrency.

分析師預測，比特幣可能在2025年6月之前達到新的歷史最高點。但是，BTC圖表上的楔形模式上升表明它可能會更快地發生。楔子正在接近其突破點，如果比特幣爆發，我們會看到巨大的價格上漲。另一方面，拒絕可能會導致加密貨幣的更多缺點。

Bitcoin has dropped 30% since hitting new highs in mid-January. While this may seem concerning, it’s actually a typical pullback in a bull market. In past bull runs, Bitcoin has fallen as much as 55% before going on to hit new all-time highs.

自從1月中旬達到新高點以來，比特幣下降了30％。儘管這似乎令人擔憂，但實際上它是牛市中典型的回調。在過去的公牛奔跑中，比特幣下跌了55％，然後才能達到新的歷史新高。

Besides, despite a bearish outlook, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2029, citing its history of growth after dips. He believes a “dip then rip” trend may happen again.

此外，儘管看跌了前景，但Bitwise Cio Matt Hougan預測，比特幣在2029年可能達到100萬美元，理由是其下降後的增長史。他認為可能再次發生“浸入然後撕裂”趨勢。

Bitcoin is currently hovering around $83,500 with little movement as the market awaits tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. With uncertainty in the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%.

由於市場等待明天的FOMC會議，因此比特幣目前徘徊在83,500美元左右，幾乎沒有動作。由於美國經濟的不確定性，美聯儲有望保持利率保持不變的4.25％-4.5％。

The Fed is playing it safe in March, offering little guidance on what’s next, which has left the market uncertain. If rates stay the same, Bitcoin and crypto could see some momentum, especially since Polymarket is predicting a 100% chance of a rate cut in May.

美聯儲將於3月份安全地進行比賽，幾乎沒有關於下一步的指導，這使市場不確定。如果費率保持不變，比特幣和加密貨幣可以看到一定的動力，尤其是因為Polymarket預測5月份降低利率的機會有100％。