比特幣 (BTC) 重新測試 10 萬美元水平後面臨回調擔憂

比特幣 (BTC) 在重新測試 100,000 美元水平後最近形成看跌吞沒蠟燭，引發了人們對 90,000 美元以下潛在回調的擔憂。

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped sharply on Jan. 8 after retesting the $100,000 level, forming a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart. The drop came as key U.S. economic data signaled strength in the labor market.

1 月 8 日，比特幣 (BTC) 價格在重新測試 10 萬美元水準後大幅下跌，在日線圖上形成看跌吞沒蠟燭。下跌之際，美國主要經濟數據顯示勞動市場強勁。

The BTC price flash crashed from $102,760 to $92,500 on Jan. 8 after data showed a stronger-than-expected increase in private payrolls in the United States. The data put pressure on equities and crypto markets, as traders anticipated a response from the Federal Reserve.

1 月 8 日，數據顯示美國私人就業人數成長強於預期後，比特幣價格從 102,760 美元暴跌至 92,500 美元。這些數據給股市和加密貨幣市場帶來壓力，因為交易員預計聯準會將做出回應。

However, analysts pointed to the increasing supply of stablecoins as a potential driver of future capital inflows into Bitcoin. Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher noted that stablecoins had entered “price discovery,” indicating the availability of liquidity that could support a BTC recovery in the coming months.

然而，分析師指出，穩定幣供應的增加是未來資本流入比特幣的潛在驅動力。加密貨幣分析師 Miles Deutscher 指出，穩定幣已進入「價格發現」階段，這表明流動性的可用性可以支持 BTC 在未來幾個月的復甦。

“Stablecoins now in price discovery, signaling liquidity for the capital to flow back into BTC in the upcoming months,” Deutscher said in a Jan. 8 tweet.

「穩定幣現在處於價格發現階段，這表明資金的流動性將在未來幾個月回流到 BTC，」Deutscher 在 1 月 8 日的推文中表示。

Stablecoin supply signals liquidity expansion

穩定幣供應顯示流動性擴張

Similarly, market analyst Jamie Coutts highlighted the increase in liquidity, which, when paired with strong dollar performance, could lead to higher Bitcoin prices within six months.

同樣，市場分析師 Jamie Coutts強調了流動性的增加，如果與強勁的美元表現相結合，可能會在六個月內導致比特幣價格上漲。

“Six months ago, the dollar was tanking and there was no liquidity in the market, hence the BTC price drop,” Coutts stated in a Jan. 8 analysis.

Coutts 在 1 月 8 日的分析中表示：“六個月前，美元下跌，市場沒有流動性，因此 BTC 價格下跌。”

“Now, the dollar is strong and there's a huge amount of liquidity left in the market, setting up for new BTC price highs within six months.”)

「現在，美元走強，市場上還剩下大量流動性，比特幣價格將在六個月內創下新高。」）

Data from Binance spot markets showed a progressive rise in USD volumes throughout the year, with America’s market share hitting an all-time high of 42% in the 2024-2025 session. The growth in USD volumes highlights the strength of the current market and suggests robust demand for BTC.

幣安現貨市場的數據顯示，全年美元交易量逐步上升，美國市佔率在 2024-2025 年期間創下 42% 的歷史新高。美元交易量的成長凸顯了當前市場的實力，並顯示對比特幣的強勁需求。

Binance spot volumes reach all-time high

幣安現貨交易量創歷史新高

Despite these positive liquidity signals, Bitcoin’s 5.15% drop on Jan. 8 erased four days of bullish momentum. Historical data shows that BTC has only recovered immediately after such dips 20% of the time.

儘管有這些積極的流動性訊號，比特幣 1 月 8 日的 5.15% 下跌抹去了四天的看漲勢頭。歷史數據顯示，20% 的情況下，BTC 只會在下跌後立即恢復。

Out of 15 pullbacks of 5% or more since January 2024, Bitcoin has registered an immediate rebound on just three occasions, suggesting a low probability of an uptrend in the short term.

自 2024 年 1 月以來，比特幣經歷了 15 次 5% 或以上的回調，其中只有 3 次立即反彈，這表明短期內上漲趨勢的可能性很小。

“Four days of green candles erased after a 5% drop, historically BTC has only recovered immediately after such dips 20% of the time,” Miles Deutscher noted in a Jan. 8 analysis.

Miles Deutscher 在 1 月 8 日的分析中指出：“在下跌 5% 後，連續四天的綠色蠟燭消失了，從歷史上看，只有 20% 的情況下，BTC 才會在下跌後立即反彈。”

“This time around, we're in a bull market and after a 5% drop, BTC has recovered immediately three out of 15 times since January 2024.”)

「這一次，我們正處於牛市，在下跌 5% 後，自 2024 年 1 月以來，BTC 15 次中有 3 次立即反彈。」）

Crypto trader Krillin predicted that Bitcoin could consolidate between $92,000 and $90,000 throughout January before a potential market pump in February.

加密貨幣交易員 Krillin 預測，在 2 月市場出現潛在上漲之前，整個 1 月比特幣可能會在 92,000 美元至 90,000 美元之間盤整。

“Consolidating between $92,000 and $90,000 for the rest of the month before another market pump in February,” Krillin stated in a Jan. 8 analysis.

Krillin 在 1 月 8 日的分析中表示：“在 2 月市場再次上漲之前，本月剩餘時間價格將在 92,000 美元至 90,000 美元之間盤整。”

“Taking out equal lows of around $90,000 before aiming for new highs.”)

「在瞄準新高之前，先跌破約 9 萬美元的同等低點。」）

If Bitcoin closes below $90,000 on the daily chart, analysts warn of a deeper crash. A confirmed inverse head-and-shoulders pattern could lead to a further 20% drop, potentially targeting $71,500.

如果比特幣在日線圖上收在 9 萬美元以下，分析師警告稱，可能會出現更嚴重的崩盤。確認的反向頭肩形態可能會導致進一步下跌 20%，目標價可能為 71,500 美元。