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經過 10 月的艱難開局後,比特幣 (BTC) 迅速起飛,恢復了先前 65,000 美元至 67,000 美元之間的穩定水平
As October nears its conclusion, Bitcoin has experienced a rapid ascent, returning to its previously stable range between $65,000 and $67,000, sparking optimism among investors regarding the possibility of the world’s leading cryptocurrency reaching new all-time highs (ATH).
隨著10 月接近尾聲,比特幣經歷了快速上漲,回到之前65,000 美元至67,000 美元之間的穩定區間,引發了投資者對全球領先加密貨幣達到新的歷史高點(ATH) 的可能性的樂觀情緒。
However, many traders appear to be anticipating that BTC is nearing the upper limit of the current rally, as 58.23% of Binance accounts with open Bitcoin positions have begun shorting the cryptocurrency, according to data shared on X by prominent analyst Ali Martinez.
然而,根據著名分析師 Ali Martinez 在 X 上分享的數據,許多交易者似乎預計 BTC 即將接近當前反彈的上限,因為 58.23% 的持有比特幣頭寸的幣安賬戶已開始做空該加密貨幣。
While Bitcoin does not fully encompass the realm of cryptocurrencies, and Binance hardly corresponds to the entirety of the crypto market, their sheer size and influence have made them a convenient barometer for gauging the overall direction and sentiment.
雖然比特幣並沒有完全涵蓋加密貨幣領域,而幣安也很難對應整個加密貨幣市場,但其龐大的規模和影響力使其成為衡量整體方向和情緒的便捷晴雨表。
Although Binance's market share in terms of centralized platforms’ volume fell some 20% from August to October, it remains a dominant exchange, handling 36.6% as of early October.
儘管幣安在中心化平台交易量方面的市佔率從 8 月到 10 月下降了約 20%,但它仍然是主導交易所,截至 10 月初,其處理量為 36.6%。
Investors wary of a pullback despite eyeing new ATH
儘管關注新的ATH,投資者仍對回調持謹慎態度
The increasing proportion of shorts on Binance reflects a broader uncertainty regarding Bitcoin’s next move.
幣安空頭比例的增加反映出比特幣下一步走勢存在更廣泛的不確定性。
On the one hand, its recent rise – and the staggering surge of inflows for institutions offering Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) – signal confidence. On the other hand, it is worth noting that the recent surge occurred over October 14-16, with trading largely moving sideways since then.
一方面,比特幣近期的上漲 — — 以及提供比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的機構資金流入的驚人激增 — — 表明了信心。另一方面,值得注意的是,最近的飆升發生在 10 月 14 日至 16 日期間,此後交易基本上呈現橫盤整理。
However, the overall trend appears to be up, with Martinez identifying on October 17 a critical level for BTC to hold at $66,780, leading to optimism among investors that it will rocket to $86,600 – a decisive new ATH, given the coin's current price at $67,780.
然而,總體趨勢似乎是向上的,馬丁內斯在10 月17 日確定BTC 的關鍵水平為66,780 美元,這導致投資者樂觀地認為BTC 將飆升至86,600 美元——考慮到該代幣目前的價格為67,780 美元,這是一個決定性的新ATH 。
The month of ‘Uptober’ also bolsters the bull case from a psychological perspective.
「Uptober」月份也從心理學角度支持了牛市。
Historically, the tenth month of the year has been strong for Bitcoin and served as a prelude for a period of upward trading – usually lasting until May – as several experts noted when setting their Halloween BTC price targets.
從歷史上看,比特幣在今年的第十個月表現強勁,並成為一段上漲交易的前奏——通常持續到五月——正如幾位專家在設定萬聖節比特幣價格目標時指出的那樣。
But the positivity does not preclude the possibility of a sharp pullback, given the volatility inherent in cryptocurrency markets. Despite bullishness prevailing for most of 2024, Bitcoin has experienced several deep and sudden plunges.
但考慮到加密貨幣市場固有的波動性,這種正面情緒並不排除大幅回檔的可能性。儘管 2024 年大部分時間看漲情緒盛行,但比特幣還是經歷了幾次深度和突然的暴跌。
Recent transfers by Elon Musk's electric vehicle maker Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have also raised the prospect of substantial selling pressure.
馬斯克 (Elon Musk) 旗下電動車製造商特斯拉 (NASDAQ: TSLA) 最近的轉讓也引發了巨大拋售壓力的前景。
Bitcoin price chart
比特幣價格走勢圖
Irrespective of Bitcoin's next move, its recent performance has been strong overall, with a price of $67,780 at press time on October 18. In the 30-day chart, BTC is up 12.99%.
無論比特幣下一步走勢如何,其近期表現總體強勁,截至 10 月 18 日發稿時價格為 67,780 美元。
Zooming out, the world’s premier cryptocurrency has risen significantly in 2024 and is up 59.55% year-to-date (YTD). However, it remains below the ATH of around $73,000 that it had reached in March.
縮小範圍來看,全球首屈一指的加密貨幣在 2024 年大幅上漲,年初至今 (YTD) 上漲了 59.55%。然而,它仍低於 3 月達到的 73,000 美元左右的最高水平。
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