比特幣（BTC）和Altcoins Fischer變換指示燈匯總看跌

技術專家Tony Severino警告說，比特幣和Altcoins Fischer轉換指標自2021年以來首次翻轉看跌。

Technical expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin and altcoins Fischer Transform indicator has flipped bearish for the first time since 2021. The analyst also revealed the implications of this development and how exactly it could impact these crypto assets.

技術專家Tony Severino警告說，比特幣和Altcoins Fischer轉換指標自2021年以來首次翻轉看跌。分析師還揭示了這一發展的含義以及它如何確切影響這些加密資產。

Technical Expert Reveals Implications Of Bitcoin, Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Flipping Bearish

技術專家揭示了比特幣，Altcoins Fischer轉換指標翻轉看跌的含義

技術專家揭示了比特幣，Altcoins Fischer轉換指標翻轉看跌的含義

In an X post, Severino revealed that the total crypto market cap 12-week Fisher Transform has flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021. Before then, the indicator had flipped bearish in January 2018. In 2021 and 2018, the total crypto market cap dropped 66% and 82%, respectively. This provides a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins, suggesting they could suffer a massive crash soon enough.

在X帖子中，Severino透露，自2021年12月以來，Crypto Market Cap 12週的Fisher Transform首次翻轉看跌。在此之前，該指標在2018年1月傾斜了看跌。在2021年和2018年，Crypto市值分別下降了66％和82％。這為比特幣和山寨幣提供了看跌的前景，這表明它們可能很快就會遭受大規模崩潰。

After the FTX collapse, the technical expert noted that the indicator had been showing some promise of a potential bottom in February 2023. However, it seems that the bottom never came as the indicator has now flipped bearish. This time, the implication is that the crypto market could fall by 82% from the highs, which would send Bitcoin to lows of around $22,000.

FTX崩潰後，技術專家指出，該指標在2023年2月表現出了潛在的底部的希望。但是，似乎底部從未出現，因為該指標現在已經翻轉了看跌。這次，這意味著加密貨幣市場可能會從高點下降82％，這將使比特幣降至22,000美元左右。

The 12-week Fischer Transform on the total crypto market cap has now flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021 (previous in January 2018).

自2021年12月（2018年1月之前）以來，總加密貨幣市值為12週的Fischer轉型現在首次翻轉看跌。

After FTX, it looked like we might get a bottom, but no. This is a 66% drop from the highs (2021) and a potential 82% drop (2018). pic.twitter.com/Q9i9u9y88Z

FTX之後，看起來我們可能會得到底部，但沒有。這是高高（2021）下降66％，潛在的82％下降（2018年）。 pic.twitter.com/Q9I9U9Y88Z

— Tony "The Kraken" Severino (@ajseverino) September 6, 2023

- 2023年9月6日

In another X post, the technical expert revealed that Bitcoin’s 12-week Fischer Transform has also flipped bearish. Severino noted that this indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. In the process, it helps generate clear signals that help pinpoint major market turning points.

在另一篇X帖子中，技術專家透露，比特幣的12週Fischer轉型也使看跌。 Severino指出，該指標將價格轉換為高斯正態分佈，以平滑價格數據並過濾噪音。在此過程中，它有助於生成明確的信號，有助於查明主要市場轉折點。

The 12-week Fischer Transform for Bitcoin has also flipped bearish.

比特幣的為期12週的Fischer轉型也使看跌。

This indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. It helps generate clear signals for major market turning points.

該指標將價格轉換為高斯正態分佈，以平滑價格數據並過濾噪音。它有助於為主要市場轉折生成明顯的信號。

On this timeframe, it has never missed a top or bottom call.

在這個時間範圍內，它從未錯過頂部或底部通話。

— Tony "The Kraken" Severino (@ajseverino) September 7, 2023

- 2023年9月7日，托尼“海王” Severino（@ajseverino）

Severino asserted that this indicator on the 12-week timeframe has never missed a top or bottom call, indicating that Bitcoin and altcoins may have indeed topped out. The expert has been warning for a while now that the Bitcoin top might be in and that a massive crash could be on the horizon for the flagship crypto.

Severino斷言，在12週的時間範圍內的這一指標從未錯過頂部或底部的電話，這表明比特幣和山寨幣確實可能已經淘汰了。專家已經警告了一段時間，現在比特幣頂部可能會出現，並且旗艦加密貨幣可能會發生巨大的撞車事故。

He recently alluded to the Elliott Wave Theory and market cycles to explain why he is no longer bullish on Bitcoin and altcoins. Severino also highlighted other indicators, such as the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) and Average Directional Index (ADX), to show that BTC’s bullish momentum is fading. The expert also warned that a sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000.

他最近提到了埃利奧特（Elliott）波浪理論和市場週期，以解釋為什麼他不再看好比特幣和山寨幣。 Severino還強調了其他指標，例如拋物線SAR（停止和反向）和平均方向指數（ADX），以表明BTC的看漲勢頭正在消失。專家還警告說，賣出信號可能會使BTC陷入超級趨勢趨勢，而旗艦加密貨幣的下降到低至22,000美元。

Crypto Analyst Provides Different Perspective On Bitcoin Price Action

加密分析師提供了對比特幣價格動作的不同觀點

加密分析師提供了對比特幣價格動作的不同觀點

While Severino is bearish on Bitcoin and altcoins, crypto analyst Kevin Capital provided a different perspective on the matter.

儘管Severino對比特幣和Altcoins看跌，但加密分析師Kevin Capital就此事提供了不同的觀點。

Taking to X, the analyst noted that Bitcoin is in a correctional phase, but the time for this phase to end is quickly approaching. According to Kevin Capital, the question is not whether this phase will end with the announcement of Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs as the main focus of attention in the macroeconomic sphere. Instead, it is about how strong Bitcoin’s bounce will be and whether the flagship crypto will make new highs or record a lackluster lower high followed by a bear market.

分析師拿到X，指出比特幣處於矯正階段，但是該階段結束的時間正在迅速接近。根據凱文資本（Kevin Capital）的說法，問題不是這個階段是否會以唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的互惠關稅為宏觀經濟領域的主要重點。取而代之的是，這是關於比特幣的反彈能力，以及旗艦加密貨幣是否會成為新的高點或記錄低較低的高高，其次是熊市。

The analyst stated that the optimists are already pricing in an extremely deep correction, adding that if the pivot in the Total crypto market cap 12-week Fischer Transform occurs at the same time as the announcement of the reciprocal tariffs, then this will serve as a perfect pivot for an 82% decline from the highs.

這位分析師表示，樂觀主義者已經以極為深刻的校正定價，並補充說，如果與宣布相互關稅的同時，加密貨幣市場上的樞紐率為12週的Fischer轉換發生，那麼這將成為高高點82％的完美樞紐。

Kevin Capital added that Bitcoin’s price action when that time comes will also be trackeable using other methods, such as money flow, macro fundamentals, and overall spot volume. The major focus is on the macro fundamentals as market participants look forward to Donald Trump’s much-anticipated reciprocal tariffs, which will be announced tomorrow.

凱文資本（Kevin Capital）補充說，使用其他方法（例如貨幣流，宏觀基本面和整體現貨量），比特幣的價格動作也將是可以跟踪的。主要的重點是宏觀基本面，因為市場參與者期待唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）備受期待的相互關稅，這將於明天宣布。