比特币（BTC）和Altcoins Fischer变换指示灯汇总看跌

技术专家Tony Severino警告说，比特币和Altcoins Fischer转换指标自2021年以来首次翻转看跌。

Technical expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin and altcoins Fischer Transform indicator has flipped bearish for the first time since 2021. The analyst also revealed the implications of this development and how exactly it could impact these crypto assets.

技术专家Tony Severino警告说，比特币和Altcoins Fischer转换指标自2021年以来首次翻转看跌。分析师还揭示了这一发展的含义以及它如何确切影响这些加密资产。

Technical Expert Reveals Implications Of Bitcoin, Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Flipping Bearish

技术专家揭示了比特币，Altcoins Fischer转换指标翻转看跌的含义

技术专家揭示了比特币，Altcoins Fischer转换指标翻转看跌的含义

In an X post, Severino revealed that the total crypto market cap 12-week Fisher Transform has flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021. Before then, the indicator had flipped bearish in January 2018. In 2021 and 2018, the total crypto market cap dropped 66% and 82%, respectively. This provides a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins, suggesting they could suffer a massive crash soon enough.

在X帖子中，Severino透露，自2021年12月以来，Crypto Market Cap 12周的Fisher Transform首次翻转看跌。在此之前，该指标在2018年1月倾斜了看跌。在2021年和2018年，Crypto市值分别下降了66％和82％。这为比特币和山寨币提供了看跌的前景，这表明它们可能很快就会遭受大规模崩溃。

After the FTX collapse, the technical expert noted that the indicator had been showing some promise of a potential bottom in February 2023. However, it seems that the bottom never came as the indicator has now flipped bearish. This time, the implication is that the crypto market could fall by 82% from the highs, which would send Bitcoin to lows of around $22,000.

FTX崩溃后，技术专家指出，该指标在2023年2月表现出了潜在的底部的希望。但是，似乎底部从未出现，因为该指标现在已经翻转了看跌。这次，这意味着加密货币市场可能会从高点下降82％，这将使比特币降至22,000美元左右。

The 12-week Fischer Transform on the total crypto market cap has now flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021 (previous in January 2018).

自2021年12月（2018年1月之前）以来，总加密货币市值为12周的Fischer转型现在首次翻转看跌。

After FTX, it looked like we might get a bottom, but no. This is a 66% drop from the highs (2021) and a potential 82% drop (2018). pic.twitter.com/Q9i9u9y88Z

FTX之后，看起来我们可能会得到底部，但没有。这是高高（2021）下降66％，潜在的82％下降（2018年）。 pic.twitter.com/Q9I9U9Y88Z

— Tony "The Kraken" Severino (@ajseverino) September 6, 2023

- 2023年9月6日

In another X post, the technical expert revealed that Bitcoin’s 12-week Fischer Transform has also flipped bearish. Severino noted that this indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. In the process, it helps generate clear signals that help pinpoint major market turning points.

在另一篇X帖子中，技术专家透露，比特币的12周Fischer转型也使看跌。 Severino指出，该指标将价格转换为高斯正态分布，以平滑价格数据并过滤噪音。在此过程中，它有助于生成明确的信号，有助于查明主要市场转折点。

The 12-week Fischer Transform for Bitcoin has also flipped bearish.

比特币的为期12周的Fischer转型也使看跌。

This indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. It helps generate clear signals for major market turning points.

该指标将价格转换为高斯正态分布，以平滑价格数据并过滤噪音。它有助于为主要市场转折生成明显的信号。

On this timeframe, it has never missed a top or bottom call.

在这个时间范围内，它从未错过顶部或底部通话。

— Tony "The Kraken" Severino (@ajseverino) September 7, 2023

- 2023年9月7日，托尼“海王” Severino（@ajseverino）

Severino asserted that this indicator on the 12-week timeframe has never missed a top or bottom call, indicating that Bitcoin and altcoins may have indeed topped out. The expert has been warning for a while now that the Bitcoin top might be in and that a massive crash could be on the horizon for the flagship crypto.

Severino断言，在12周的时间范围内的这一指标从未错过顶部或底部的电话，这表明比特币和山寨币确实可能已经淘汰了。专家已经警告了一段时间，现在比特币顶部可能会出现，并且旗舰加密货币可能会发生巨大的撞车事故。

He recently alluded to the Elliott Wave Theory and market cycles to explain why he is no longer bullish on Bitcoin and altcoins. Severino also highlighted other indicators, such as the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) and Average Directional Index (ADX), to show that BTC’s bullish momentum is fading. The expert also warned that a sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000.

他最近提到了埃利奥特（Elliott）波浪理论和市场周期，以解释为什么他不再看好比特币和山寨币。 Severino还强调了其他指标，例如抛物线SAR（停止和反向）和平均方向指数（ADX），以表明BTC的看涨势头正在消失。专家还警告说，卖出信号可能会使BTC陷入超级趋势趋势，而旗舰加密货币的下降到低至22,000美元。

Crypto Analyst Provides Different Perspective On Bitcoin Price Action

加密分析师提供了对比特币价格动作的不同观点

加密分析师提供了对比特币价格动作的不同观点

While Severino is bearish on Bitcoin and altcoins, crypto analyst Kevin Capital provided a different perspective on the matter.

尽管Severino对比特币和Altcoins看跌，但加密分析师Kevin Capital就此事提供了不同的观点。

Taking to X, the analyst noted that Bitcoin is in a correctional phase, but the time for this phase to end is quickly approaching. According to Kevin Capital, the question is not whether this phase will end with the announcement of Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs as the main focus of attention in the macroeconomic sphere. Instead, it is about how strong Bitcoin’s bounce will be and whether the flagship crypto will make new highs or record a lackluster lower high followed by a bear market.

分析师拿到X，指出比特币处于矫正阶段，但是该阶段结束的时间正在迅速接近。根据凯文资本（Kevin Capital）的说法，问题不是这个阶段是否会以唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的互惠关税为宏观经济领域的主要重点。取而代之的是，这是关于比特币的反弹能力，以及旗舰加密货币是否会成为新的高点或记录低较低的高高，其次是熊市。

The analyst stated that the optimists are already pricing in an extremely deep correction, adding that if the pivot in the Total crypto market cap 12-week Fischer Transform occurs at the same time as the announcement of the reciprocal tariffs, then this will serve as a perfect pivot for an 82% decline from the highs.

这位分析师表示，乐观主义者已经以极为深刻的校正定价，并补充说，如果与宣布相互关税的同时，加密货币市场上的枢纽率为12周的Fischer转换发生，那么这将成为高高点82％的完美枢纽。

Kevin Capital added that Bitcoin’s price action when that time comes will also be trackeable using other methods, such as money flow, macro fundamentals, and overall spot volume. The major focus is on the macro fundamentals as market participants look forward to Donald Trump’s much-anticipated reciprocal tariffs, which will be announced tomorrow.

凯文资本（Kevin Capital）补充说，使用其他方法（例如货币流，宏观基本面和整体现货量），比特币的价格动作也将是可以跟踪的。主要的重点是宏观基本面，因为市场参与者期待唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）备受期待的相互关税，这将于明天宣布。