比特幣減半後突破障礙：分析師預測六位數的飆升

分析師查爾斯愛德華茲 (Charles Edwards) 預測，比特幣近期減半後可能會出現三種情況：價格大幅上漲、約 15% 的礦工退出或交易費用持續上漲。儘管目前的交易水平存在折扣，Edwards 認為這些結果的結合是有可能的，包括比特幣的價格上漲至 10 萬美元以上。這項預測與前一次減半所設定的歷史先例一致，正如 Michael Saylor 指出的那樣，比特幣的價值在前一次減半中增長了 800%。

Bitcoin Enters Uncharted Territory Post Halving: Analyst Predicts Surge to Six Figures

減半後比特幣進入未知領域：分析師預測將飆升至六位數

In the wake of the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, analyst Charles Edwards, founder of the Capriole Investment fund, has outlined three potential trajectories for the world's leading cryptocurrency.

在備受期待的比特幣減半事件之後，Capriole 投資基金創始人分析師 Charles Edwards 概述了全球領先加密貨幣的三種潛在發展軌跡。

Surge in Bitcoin Miner Price

比特幣礦機價格飆升

Edwards, via Twitter, revealed that Bitcoin's electrical costs had spiked to a staggering $77,400 following the halving on Saturday. This figure represents the raw electricity expenses incurred by Bitcoin miners to mint new BTC.

Edwards 透過 Twitter 透露，週六減半後，比特幣的電力成本已飆升至驚人的 77,400 美元。這個數字代表了比特幣礦工鑄造新比特幣所產生的原始電力費用。

However, Edwards also noted that the overall Bitcoin miner price had soared to a record-breaking $244,000, attributed to a combination of block rewards and fees associated with each Bitcoin mined. Notably, transaction fees have escalated to over $230, marking a significant four-fold increase compared to the previous peak of $68 set in 2021.

然而，Edwards 也指出，由於與開採的每個比特幣相關的區塊獎勵和費用，比特幣礦機的整體價格已飆升至破紀錄的 244,000 美元。值得注意的是，交易費用已升至 230 美元以上，與 2021 年創下的 68 美元高峰相比大幅增加了四倍。

Three Potential Scenarios

三種可能的情況

Edwards proposes three potential scenarios for Bitcoin's future trajectory:

愛德華茲提出了比特幣未來軌跡的三種潛在情景：

1. Price Surge: Bitcoin's price could experience a significant surge.
2. Miner Exodus: Approximately 15% of Bitcoin miners may discontinue operations due to increased production costs.
3. Sustained High Transaction Fees: Transaction fees could remain elevated, indicating sustained network usage.

Edwards anticipates a combination of these scenarios, ultimately predicting a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, stating that "Bitcoin's days under $100K are numbered."

價格飆升：比特幣的價格可能會大幅上漲。持續。

Michael Saylor's Bitcoin Price Forecast

Michael Saylor 的比特幣價格預測

MicroStrategy founder and prominent Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor echoed Edwards' sentiment, harking back to the previous halving, when Bitcoin's price soared 800% from $8,618 to its current peak.

MicroStrategy 創辦人兼著名比特幣倡導者 Michael Saylor 呼應了 Edwards 的觀點，讓人回想起先前的減半，當時比特幣的價格從 8,618 美元飆升 800% 至目前的高峰。

Saylor's remarks hint at similar growth expectations, with the price potentially reaching approximately $528,300 based on current market conditions.

Saylor 的言論暗示了類似的成長預期，根據當前市場狀況，價格可能達到約 528,300 美元。

Halving's Impact on Bitcoin's Value

減半對比特幣價值的影響

Influencer Samson Mow emphasizes that Bitcoin halvings induce "quantitative hardening," a reduction in supply that increases scarcity and drives up price.

影響者 Samson Mow 強調，比特幣減半會導致“定量硬化”，即供應減少，從而增加稀缺性並推高價格。

Market Outlook

市場展望

As the Bitcoin market navigates post-halving dynamics, analysts remain optimistic about its long-term potential. Edwards' scenarios and Saylor's historical comparison provide a framework for understanding Bitcoin's potential trajectory.

隨著比特幣市場在減半後的動態發展，分析師對其長期潛力仍持樂觀態度。愛德華茲的情景和塞勒的歷史比較為理解比特幣的潛在軌跡提供了一個框架。

Investors should monitor the evolving market conditions and consider expert insights when making investment decisions. While Bitcoin's price path is inherently uncertain, the halving event has undoubtedly introduced a transformative element into the market, with the potential to shape Bitcoin's future valuation.

投資者在做出投資決策時應監控不斷變化的市場狀況並考慮專家的見解。雖然比特幣的價格走勢本質上是不確定的，但減半事件無疑為市場帶來了變革性的元素，有可能影響比特幣的未來估值。