美國：比特幣在市場波動中嘗試復甦

比特幣價格在經歷了一周的拋售並跌至 65,000 美元之後，目標是恢復至 67,000 美元以上。儘管市場波動影響了以太坊和 Solana 等山寨幣，但長期投資者似乎仍在拋售，以滿足新投資者的需求，這些新投資者目前持有約 44% 的網路總財富。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Attempts Recovery Amidst Market Volatility

比特幣價格分析：比特幣在市場波動中嘗試復甦

Introduction

介紹

The cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility in recent weeks, with Bitcoin (BTC) facing intense selling pressure that pushed its price below $65,000. As the week draws to a close, BTC is attempting a recovery, but market sentiment remains uncertain.

最近幾週，加密貨幣市場經歷了大幅波動，比特幣 (BTC) 面臨巨大的拋售壓力，導致其價格跌破 65,000 美元。隨著本週接近尾聲，比特幣正在嘗試復甦，但市場情緒仍然不確定。

Long-Term Investors Sell at All-Time Highs

長期投資者以歷史高點賣出

Blockchain data analysis suggests that long-term Bitcoin investors have been selling their holdings near all-time highs. This selling activity has been driven by the surge in demand for BTC from newer investors, who now hold approximately 44% of the network's total wealth.

區塊鏈數據分析表明，長期比特幣投資者一直在接近歷史高點拋售其持有的比特幣。這種拋售活動是由新投資者對 BTC 的需求激增所推動的，這些新投資者目前持有該網路總財富的約 44%。

Correlation with Altcoins Declines

與山寨幣的相關性下降

A recent report by Kaiko reveals that Bitcoin's 60-day correlation with altcoins has dropped to its lowest level in years during the first quarter of 2024. This indicates that altcoins are no longer closely following Bitcoin's price movements as they have in the past.

Kaiko 最近的一份報告顯示，比特幣與山寨幣的 60 天相關性在 2024 年第一季已降至多年來的最低水準。這表明山寨幣不再像過去那樣密切關注比特幣的價格走勢。

Whales Sell Amidst Halving Speculation

鯨魚在減半投機中拋售

Following a brief recovery above $70,000 in March, Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain its momentum due to selling pressure from large investors known as "whales." Blockchain data indicates that these whales have been taking profits while anticipating a surge in demand for BTC ahead of the April halving.

在 3 月短暫回升至 7 萬美元以上之後，由於被稱為「鯨魚」的大型投資者的拋售壓力，比特幣的價格一直難以維持其勢頭。區塊鏈數據表明，這些鯨魚一直在獲利了結，同時預計 4 月減半之前對 BTC 的需求將激增。

Government BTC Sales Dampen Market Sentiment

政府出售比特幣削弱了市場情緒

The United States government's recent announcement that it sold nearly 10,000 BTC from its seizure of the Silk Road darknet marketplace has further dampened market sentiment. Traders have expressed concerns about potential additional sales and the impact on the price of BTC.

美國政府最近宣佈出售了查獲的絲路暗網市場近1萬枚比特幣，進一步打擊了市場情緒。交易員對潛在的額外銷售以及對比特幣價格的影響表示擔憂。

Technical Analysis

技術分析

After briefly retesting its previous day's open at $68,485, Bitcoin's price has stabilized around $67,972. Technical analysis suggests that the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $67,802 provides immediate support for BTC. Breaking above this level could lead to a potential surge towards areas above $70,000.

在短暫重新測試前一日開盤價 68,485 美元後，比特幣價格穩定在 67,972 美元附近。技術分析表明，50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 位於 67,802 美元，為 BTC 提供了直接支撐。突破這一水平可能會導致價格飆升至 70,000 美元以上的區域。

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below its trendline resistance, indicating potential sell-side pressure. In case of further downward movement, the 20-day EMA at $67,336 and the 200-day EMA at $65,773 may serve as support levels to prevent significant losses.

然而，相對強弱指數（RSI）仍低於其趨勢線阻力，顯示潛在的賣方壓力。如果進一步下跌，20日均線67,336美元和200日均線65,773美元可能作為支撐位，以防止重大損失。

Conclusion

結論

The Bitcoin market is facing a period of uncertainty as it attempts to recover from recent losses. Long-term investors have taken profits, while whales have been selling amidst speculation about the upcoming halving. The government's sale of seized BTC has also weighed on market sentiment.

比特幣市場正面臨一段不確定時期，因為它試圖從最近的損失中恢復過來。長期投資者已經獲利了結，而鯨魚則在對即將到來的減半的猜測中拋售。政府出售扣押的比特幣也打壓了市場情緒。

Technical analysis suggests that BTC is facing immediate support at the 50-day EMA, but further selling pressure could push the price lower. Investors should monitor the RSI and the broader market dynamics to assess the likelihood of a sustained recovery or potential further declines.

技術分析表明，BTC 立即面臨 50 日均線的支撐，但進一步的拋售壓力可能會壓低價格。投資者應監控 RSI 和更廣泛的市場動態，以評估持續復甦或潛在進一步下跌的可能性。