美国：比特币在市场波动中尝试复苏

比特币价格在经历了一周的抛售并跌至 65,000 美元之后，目标是恢复至 67,000 美元以上。尽管市场波动影响了以太坊和 Solana 等山寨币，但长期投资者似乎仍在抛售，以满足新投资者的需求，这些新投资者目前持有约 44% 的网络总财富。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Attempts Recovery Amidst Market Volatility

比特币价格分析：比特币在市场波动中尝试复苏

Introduction

介绍

The cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility in recent weeks, with Bitcoin (BTC) facing intense selling pressure that pushed its price below $65,000. As the week draws to a close, BTC is attempting a recovery, but market sentiment remains uncertain.

最近几周，加密货币市场经历了大幅波动，比特币 (BTC) 面临巨大的抛售压力，导致其价格跌破 65,000 美元。随着本周接近尾声，比特币正在尝试复苏，但市场情绪仍然不确定。

Long-Term Investors Sell at All-Time Highs

长期投资者以历史高点卖出

Blockchain data analysis suggests that long-term Bitcoin investors have been selling their holdings near all-time highs. This selling activity has been driven by the surge in demand for BTC from newer investors, who now hold approximately 44% of the network's total wealth.

区块链数据分析表明，长期比特币投资者一直在接近历史高点抛售其持有的比特币。这种抛售活动是由新投资者对 BTC 的需求激增推动的，这些新投资者目前持有该网络总财富的约 44%。

Correlation with Altcoins Declines

与山寨币的相关性下降

A recent report by Kaiko reveals that Bitcoin's 60-day correlation with altcoins has dropped to its lowest level in years during the first quarter of 2024. This indicates that altcoins are no longer closely following Bitcoin's price movements as they have in the past.

Kaiko 最近的一份报告显示，比特币与山寨币的 60 天相关性在 2024 年第一季度已降至多年来的最低水平。这表明山寨币不再像过去那样密切关注比特币的价格走势。

Whales Sell Amidst Halving Speculation

鲸鱼在减半投机中抛售

Following a brief recovery above $70,000 in March, Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain its momentum due to selling pressure from large investors known as "whales." Blockchain data indicates that these whales have been taking profits while anticipating a surge in demand for BTC ahead of the April halving.

在 3 月份短暂回升至 70,000 美元以上之后，由于被称为“鲸鱼”的大型投资者的抛售压力，比特币的价格一直难以维持其势头。区块链数据表明，这些鲸鱼一直在获利了结，同时预计 4 月份减半之前对 BTC 的需求将激增。

Government BTC Sales Dampen Market Sentiment

政府出售比特币削弱了市场情绪

The United States government's recent announcement that it sold nearly 10,000 BTC from its seizure of the Silk Road darknet marketplace has further dampened market sentiment. Traders have expressed concerns about potential additional sales and the impact on the price of BTC.

美国政府最近宣布出售了查获的丝绸之路暗网市场近10,000枚比特币，进一步打击了市场情绪。交易员对潜在的额外销售以及对比特币价格的影响表示担忧。

Technical Analysis

技术分析

After briefly retesting its previous day's open at $68,485, Bitcoin's price has stabilized around $67,972. Technical analysis suggests that the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $67,802 provides immediate support for BTC. Breaking above this level could lead to a potential surge towards areas above $70,000.

在短暂重新测试前一日开盘价 68,485 美元后，比特币价格稳定在 67,972 美元附近。技术分析表明，50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 位于 67,802 美元，为 BTC 提供了直接支撑。突破这一水平可能会导致价格飙升至 70,000 美元以上的区域。

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below its trendline resistance, indicating potential sell-side pressure. In case of further downward movement, the 20-day EMA at $67,336 and the 200-day EMA at $65,773 may serve as support levels to prevent significant losses.

然而，相对强弱指数（RSI）仍低于其趋势线阻力，表明潜在的卖方压力。如果进一步下跌，20日均线67,336美元和200日均线65,773美元可能作为支撑位，以防止出现重大损失。

Conclusion

结论

The Bitcoin market is facing a period of uncertainty as it attempts to recover from recent losses. Long-term investors have taken profits, while whales have been selling amidst speculation about the upcoming halving. The government's sale of seized BTC has also weighed on market sentiment.

比特币市场正面临一段不确定时期，因为它试图从最近的损失中恢复过来。长期投资者已经获利了结，而鲸鱼则在对即将到来的减半的猜测中抛售。政府出售扣押的比特币也打压了市场情绪。

Technical analysis suggests that BTC is facing immediate support at the 50-day EMA, but further selling pressure could push the price lower. Investors should monitor the RSI and the broader market dynamics to assess the likelihood of a sustained recovery or potential further declines.

技术分析表明，BTC 立即面临 50 日均线的支撑，但进一步的抛售压力可能会压低价格。投资者应监控 RSI 和更广泛的市场动态，以评估持续复苏或潜在进一步下跌的可能性。