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加密貨幣新聞文章

隨著看跌訊號消退,比特幣接近關鍵時刻

2024/04/30 03:55

鏈上分析師 Willy Woo 表示,隨著看跌勢頭減弱,比特幣 (BTC) 的關鍵時刻即將到來。 Woo 分析了關鍵指標,包括累積交易量增量 (CVD)、交易所庫存、比特幣風險訊號以及週/月圖表,以評估看漲逆轉的潛力。雖然CVD和交易所庫存下降等一些指標顯示看漲,但周線和月線圖表中看跌勢頭很明顯。 Woo 的結論是,比特幣的價格走勢可能由更廣泛的宏觀流動性決定。

隨著看跌訊號消退,比特幣接近關鍵時刻

Bitcoin Nears Critical Juncture as Bearish Momentum Wanes

隨著看跌勢頭減弱,比特幣接近關鍵時刻

Renowned on-chain analyst Willy Woo has issued a crucial update on Bitcoin (BTC), highlighting a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency as bearish momentum appears to be waning.

著名鏈上分析師 Willy Woo 發布了關於比特幣(BTC)的重要更新,強調了加密貨幣的關鍵時刻,因為看跌勢頭似乎正在減弱。

Bullish Signals Emerge

看漲訊號出現

Woo, who boasts over 1.1 million followers on social media, has meticulously analyzed key indicators, which suggest that Bitcoin could soon experience a bullish reversal. He emphasizes that while technical indicators hint at bearishness, the majority of his fundamental signals point towards bullishness.

Woo 在社群媒體上擁有超過 110 萬粉絲,他仔細分析了關鍵指標,這些指標表明比特幣可能很快就會經歷看漲逆轉。他強調,雖然技術指標暗示看跌,但他大部分的基本面訊號都指向看漲。

"It's crunch time," Woo writes. "BTC needs to make a decision. Technical indicators point bearish. The majority of my fundamentals signals point bullish. Macro liquidity will probably decide this."

「現在是關鍵時刻,」吳寫道。 “比特幣需要做出決定。技術指標顯示看跌。我的大部分基本面信號顯示看漲。宏觀流動性可能會決定這一點。”

Volume Delta Signals Shift

成交量增量訊號轉變

One significant indicator Woo examines is Bitcoin's cumulative volume delta (CVD), which identifies divergences by comparing buying and selling volume over a specific period. Woo notes that the CVD is indicating a less bearish sentiment.

Woo 研究的一個重要指標是比特幣的累積交易量增量(CVD),它透過比較特定期間的買賣量來識別差異。 Woo 指出,CVD 顯示悲觀情緒有所減弱。

"Finally urgent market sells (CVD) is subsiding, i.e. local bearish regime subsiding," he says. "That dotted line is $59,600 which historically is the line between bullish and bearish regimes. Bitcoin needs to stay above this."

他表示:“最終,緊急市場拋售(CVD)正在消退,即當地看跌局面正在消退。” 「這條虛線是 59,600 美元,從歷史上看,這是看漲和看跌政權之間的界線。比特幣需要保持在這一水平之上。”

Exchange Flows Indicate Bullishness

外匯流量顯示看漲

Woo also points to a decline in Bitcoin held on crypto exchanges, a trend that is often interpreted as bullish as it suggests more coins are being stored in cold storage and are therefore less likely to be sold immediately.

Woo 也指出,加密貨幣交易所持有的比特幣數量下降,這一趨勢通常被解讀為看漲,因為它表明更多的比特幣被儲存在冷庫中,因此不太可能立即出售。

"Bulls will like the inventory of paper and spot BTC declining," Woo observes. "History says this is a bullish divergence."

「多頭會喜歡紙幣和現貨 BTC 的庫存下降,」Woo 觀察到。 “歷史表明,這是看漲背離。”

Risk Signal Encourages

風險訊號鼓勵

Another bullish indicator, according to Woo, is the Bitcoin Risk Signal, which compares BTC's network flows to price action and assesses the risk level of a significant price dip.

Woo 表示,另一個看漲指標是比特幣風險訊號,它將 BTC 的網路流量與價格行為進行比較,並評估價格大幅下跌的風險程度。

"On the positive side, risk signal has been dropping," he notes.

「從積極的方面來看,風險訊號一直在下降,」他指出。

Bearish Weekly and Monthly Charts

看跌週線圖和月線圖

Despite the bullish signals, Woo acknowledges that the weekly and monthly Bitcoin charts still indicate bearish momentum.

儘管出現了看漲訊號,吳承認,每周和每月的比特幣圖表仍然顯示出看跌勢頭。

"Bears will like the bearish divergence that's printed on weekly candles, soon to be monthly candles in a day when the month closes. Price needs to rip to break this divergence."

「空頭會喜歡每週蠟燭上印出的看跌背離,很快就會在月底的一天中出現月度蠟燭。價格需要大幅上漲才能打破這種背離。”

Current Market Conditions

目前的市場狀況

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $63,001, down 4.6% over the past seven days. The market is closely monitoring developments and awaits further signals to determine Bitcoin's future trajectory.

截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 63,001 美元,過去 7 天下跌 4.6%。市場正在密切關注事態發展,並等待進一步的訊號來確定比特幣的未來軌跡。

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