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链上分析师 Willy Woo 表示,随着看跌势头减弱,比特币 (BTC) 的关键时刻即将到来。 Woo 分析了关键指标,包括累积交易量增量 (CVD)、交易所库存、比特币风险信号以及周/月图表,以评估看涨逆转的潜力。虽然CVD和交易所库存下降等一些指标表明看涨,但周线和月线图表中看跌势头很明显。 Woo 的结论是,比特币的价格走势可能由更广泛的宏观流动性决定。
Bitcoin Nears Critical Juncture as Bearish Momentum Wanes
随着看跌势头减弱,比特币接近关键时刻
Renowned on-chain analyst Willy Woo has issued a crucial update on Bitcoin (BTC), highlighting a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency as bearish momentum appears to be waning.
著名链上分析师 Willy Woo 发布了关于比特币(BTC)的重要更新,强调了加密货币的关键时刻,因为看跌势头似乎正在减弱。
Bullish Signals Emerge
看涨信号出现
Woo, who boasts over 1.1 million followers on social media, has meticulously analyzed key indicators, which suggest that Bitcoin could soon experience a bullish reversal. He emphasizes that while technical indicators hint at bearishness, the majority of his fundamental signals point towards bullishness.
Woo 在社交媒体上拥有超过 110 万粉丝,他仔细分析了关键指标,这些指标表明比特币可能很快就会经历看涨逆转。他强调,虽然技术指标暗示看跌,但他的大部分基本面信号都指向看涨。
"It's crunch time," Woo writes. "BTC needs to make a decision. Technical indicators point bearish. The majority of my fundamentals signals point bullish. Macro liquidity will probably decide this."
“现在是关键时刻,”吴写道。 “比特币需要做出决定。技术指标显示看跌。我的大部分基本面信号显示看涨。宏观流动性可能会决定这一点。”
Volume Delta Signals Shift
成交量增量信号转变
One significant indicator Woo examines is Bitcoin's cumulative volume delta (CVD), which identifies divergences by comparing buying and selling volume over a specific period. Woo notes that the CVD is indicating a less bearish sentiment.
Woo 研究的一个重要指标是比特币的累积交易量增量(CVD),它通过比较特定时期的买卖量来识别差异。 Woo 指出,CVD 表明悲观情绪有所减弱。
"Finally urgent market sells (CVD) is subsiding, i.e. local bearish regime subsiding," he says. "That dotted line is $59,600 which historically is the line between bullish and bearish regimes. Bitcoin needs to stay above this."
他表示:“最终,紧急市场抛售(CVD)正在消退,即当地看跌局面正在消退。” “这条虚线是 59,600 美元,从历史上看,这是看涨和看跌政权之间的界线。比特币需要保持在这一水平之上。”
Exchange Flows Indicate Bullishness
外汇流量显示看涨
Woo also points to a decline in Bitcoin held on crypto exchanges, a trend that is often interpreted as bullish as it suggests more coins are being stored in cold storage and are therefore less likely to be sold immediately.
Woo 还指出,加密货币交易所持有的比特币数量有所下降,这一趋势通常被解读为看涨,因为它表明更多的比特币被存储在冷库中,因此不太可能立即出售。
"Bulls will like the inventory of paper and spot BTC declining," Woo observes. "History says this is a bullish divergence."
“多头会喜欢纸币和现货 BTC 的库存下降,”Woo 观察到。 “历史表明,这是看涨背离。”
Risk Signal Encourages
风险信号鼓励
Another bullish indicator, according to Woo, is the Bitcoin Risk Signal, which compares BTC's network flows to price action and assesses the risk level of a significant price dip.
Woo 表示,另一个看涨指标是比特币风险信号,它将 BTC 的网络流量与价格行为进行比较,并评估价格大幅下跌的风险水平。
"On the positive side, risk signal has been dropping," he notes.
“从积极的方面来看,风险信号一直在下降,”他指出。
Bearish Weekly and Monthly Charts
看跌周线图和月线图
Despite the bullish signals, Woo acknowledges that the weekly and monthly Bitcoin charts still indicate bearish momentum.
尽管出现了看涨信号,但吴承认,每周和每月的比特币图表仍然显示出看跌势头。
"Bears will like the bearish divergence that's printed on weekly candles, soon to be monthly candles in a day when the month closes. Price needs to rip to break this divergence."
“空头会喜欢每周蜡烛上印出的看跌背离,很快就会在月底的一天中出现月度蜡烛。价格需要大幅上涨才能打破这种背离。”
Current Market Conditions
目前的市场状况
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $63,001, down 4.6% over the past seven days. The market is closely monitoring developments and awaits further signals to determine Bitcoin's future trajectory.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 63,001 美元,过去 7 天下跌 4.6%。市场正在密切关注事态发展,并等待进一步的信号来确定比特币的未来轨迹。
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