BCH 價格預測：人工智慧模型設定看漲和看跌目標，市場等待交替季節

比特幣現金（BCH）的歷史可以追溯到 2017 年，是領先的加密貨幣比特幣（BTC）的硬分叉，旨在解決 BTC 的一些可擴展性問題。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price predictions for 2024: up 43% or down 20%?

2024 年比特幣現金 (BCH) 價格預測：上漲 43% 還是下跌 20%？

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a cryptocurrency that was created in 2017 as a hard fork of Bitcoin (BTC). It was designed to address some of BTC’s scalability issues by increasing the block size limit.

比特幣現金 (BCH) 是一種加密貨幣，作為比特幣 (BTC) 的硬分叉於 2017 年創建。它旨在透過增加區塊大小限制來解決 BTC 的一些可擴展性問題。

As a result, BCH can handle more transactions per second than BTC, and it also has lower transaction fees. However, BCH has faced some challenges, including an internal disagreement that led to another fork and the creation of Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV) in 2018.

因此，BCH 每秒可以處理比 BTC 更多的交易，而且交易費用也更低。然而，BCH 面臨著一些挑戰，包括導致另一次分叉的內部分歧以及 2018 年比特幣中本聰願景 (BSV) 的創建。

Despite its advantages, BCH has not been able to achieve a market capitalization that is comparable to its older cousin. At the time of writing, BTC’s market cap was $1.8 trillion, while BCH’s market cap was only $9.9 billion.

儘管 BCH 具有優勢，但其市值仍無法與其老表兄弟相媲美。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 的市值為 1.8 兆美元，而 BCH 的市值僅為 99 億美元。

However, BCH has performed well in 2024, with a price increase of 43.49% over the last 30 days. One BCH was trading for $505.69, and its year-to-date (YTD) returns were 94.76%. While this still fell short of BTC's YTD return of 122.30%, BCH remained one of the most established cryptocurrencies and boasted an impressive performance of its own.

不過，BCH在2024年表現良好，近30天價格上漲43.49%。一枚 BCH 的交易價格為 505.69 美元，年初至今 (YTD) 回報率為 94.76%。儘管這仍然低於 BTC 年初至今 122.30% 的回報率，但 BCH 仍然是最成熟的加密貨幣之一，並且具有令人印象深刻的表現。

To assess potential price movements, Finbold consulted some of the most advanced publicly available AI models for price targets, considering both bullish and bearish factors.

為了評估潛在的價格走勢，芬博爾德參考了一些最先進的公開人工智慧模型作為價格目標，同時考慮了看漲和看跌因素。

ChatGPT-4o outlined bullish and bearish factors for BCH

ChatGPT-4o 概述了 BCH 的看漲和看跌因素

When prompted, the large language model first highlighted two sets of factors — bullish and bearish — which it identified as the most important.

當出現提示時，大型語言模型首先強調了兩組因素——看漲和看跌——它認為這是最重要的。

On the bullish side, ChatGPT-4o pointed to the increasing adoption of BCH, especially among underbanked populations, and several strategic partnerships aimed at improving accessibility.

從樂觀的角度來看，ChatGPT-4o 指出 BCH 的採用率越來越高，尤其是在銀行服務不足的人群中，以及一些旨在提高可及性的策略合作夥伴關係。

Additionally, it noted the current positive sentiment of the broader cryptocurrency market and Bitcoin Cash’s continued popularity due to its fast and cheap transactions as bullish factors.

此外，它指出當前更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的積極情緒以及比特幣現金因其快速且廉價的交易而持續受歡迎是看漲因素。

What about the bearish factors? While GPT-4o did mention the often-cited volatile nature of cryptocurrencies and potential regulatory issues as two possible obstacles, those issues are inherent in cryptocurrencies as a whole.

利空因素又如何呢？雖然 GPT-4o 確實提到了經常被提及的加密貨幣的波動性和潛在的監管問題作為兩個可能的障礙，但這些問題是整個加密貨幣所固有的。

However, the third point raised by the AI model — growing competition from rivals like Solana (SOL) or Ethereum (ETH) layer 2 solutions — carries more weight. Notably, Solana supports even faster and cheaper transactions, making it a primary competitor to BCH.

然而，人工智慧模型提出的第三點——來自 Solana (SOL) 或以太坊 (ETH) 第 2 層解決方案等競爭對手的日益激烈的競爭——更具分量。值得注意的是，Solana 支援更快、更便宜的交易，使其成為 BCH 的主要競爭對手。

ChatGPT-4o set two contrasting price targets

ChatGPT-4o 設定了兩個截然不同的價格目標

After some persuasion, ChatGPT-4o, which was initially hesitant, set two concrete price targets — one aligned with a more bullish scenario and the other likely to occur if bearish factors proved to be more significant.

經過一番勸說，最初猶豫不決的 ChatGPT-4o 設定了兩個具體的價格目標——一個與更看漲的情況一致，另一個可能在看跌因素被證明更為重要時出現。

In the optimistic case, the AI model suggested that BCH could reach prices as high as $650 by the end of the year. For this to happen, the market optimism would have to continue, and the start of the long-awaited alt season could propel prices to this level. It’s worth noting that this is still below the asset’s yearly high of $695, which was set in early April.

在樂觀的情況下，人工智慧模型表明 BCH 的價格可能會在今年年底達到 650 美元的高點。要實現這一點，市場的樂觀情緒必須持續下去，而期待已久的山寨幣季節的開始可能會將價格推升至這一水平。值得注意的是，這仍低於該資產 4 月初創下的 695 美元的年度高點。

Unsurprisingly, the bearish scenario, which outlines a drop to $400, would largely depend on whether the broader cryptocurrency market experiences a crash before the end of the year. If met, this mark would indicate a 20% decrease from the current BCH price. While many analysts are warning that a flash crash — a sudden plummet followed by a rapid recovery — is possible, only the most bearish researchers see a serious risk of a crash in 2024.

毫不奇怪，看跌情景（即跌至 400 美元）將在很大程度上取決於更廣泛的加密貨幣市場是否會在年底前經歷崩盤。如果滿足，該標記將表明當前 BCH 價格下降 20%。儘管許多分析師警告稱，閃電崩盤（突然暴跌後迅速復甦）是可能的，但只有最悲觀的研究人員認為 2024 年崩盤的風險很大。